2026-03-16T16:00:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:00:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=98.54 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 75W-33L 已实现PnL=$+14.49 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=6106
2026-03-16T16:01:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:01:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=98.54 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 75W-33L 已实现PnL=$+14.49 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=6208
2026-03-16T16:01:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:01:59 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x8146b93d8a00a3
2026-03-16T16:01:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:01:59 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x8146b93d8a00a3 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T16:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-179s | p=UP99% σ=0.46 | Up=0.98/46 Dn=0.03/522 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73637.69 +25.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.98/46 Dn=0.03/522 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73637.69 +25.0bp
2026-03-16T16:02:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-174s | p=UP99% σ=0.46 | Up=0.99/16333 Dn=0.02/801 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73633.90 +24.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.99/16092 Dn=0.02/326 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73633.85 +24.5bp
2026-03-16T16:02:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-168s | p=UP99% σ=0.47 | Up=0.99/15938 Dn=0.03/1863 spd=0.02 | beat=73454.25 px=73631.89 +24.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-162s | p=UP99% σ=0.47 | Up=0.99/16858 Dn=0.02/560 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73648.28 +26.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.99/16140 Dn=0.02/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73660.00 +28.0bp
2026-03-16T16:02:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-156s | p=UP100% σ=0.46 | Up=0.99/15961 Dn=0.02/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73661.46 +28.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-151s | p=UP100% σ=0.46 | Up=0.99/14589 Dn=0.02/1608 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73663.04 +28.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6295
2026-03-16T16:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.99/14183 Dn=0.02/3090 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73662.43 +28.3bp
2026-03-16T16:02:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-145s | p=UP100% σ=0.46 | Up=0.99/13934 Dn=0.02/3284 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73661.14 +28.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648000 T-139s | p=UP100% σ=0.46 | Up=0.99/11394 Dn=0.02/2571 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73661.60 +28.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:02:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:02:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.99/10760 Dn=0.02/2160 spd=0.01 | beat=73454.25 px=73661.26 +28.2bp
2026-03-16T16:03:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:03:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6390
2026-03-16T16:04:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:04:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6491
2026-03-16T16:05:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:05:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6588
2026-03-16T16:06:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:06:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6689
2026-03-16T16:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-179s | p=DN69% σ=0.23 | Up=0.41/58 Dn=0.60/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73659.71 -2.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.068 thr=0.070 margin=-0.002 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.41/58 Dn=0.60/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73659.71 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T16:07:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=near_beat diff=3.0bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.41/189 Dn=0.60/71 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73658.31 -3.0bp
2026-03-16T16:07:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-174s | p=DN71% σ=0.23 | Up=0.41/116 Dn=0.60/235 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73658.21 -3.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:07:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.48/84 Dn=0.59/130 spd=0.07 | beat=73680.19 px=73658.21 -3.0bp
2026-03-16T16:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-169s | p=DN69% σ=0.26 | Up=0.67/120 Dn=0.40/128 spd=0.07 | beat=73680.19 px=73658.50 -2.9bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T16:07:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=near_beat diff=2.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.64/53 Dn=0.37/155 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73660.27 -2.7bp
2026-03-16T16:07:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-163s | p=UP63% σ=0.26 | Up=0.65/6 Dn=0.37/32 spd=0.02 | beat=73680.19 px=73694.95 +2.0bp | nb=6.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑7s ↓2s
2026-03-16T16:07:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.014 thr=0.070 margin=-0.084 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.65/6 Dn=0.37/32 spd=0.02 | beat=73680.19 px=73694.95 +2.0bp
2026-03-16T16:07:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.74/90 Dn=0.30/20 spd=0.04 | beat=73680.19 px=73701.70 +2.9bp
2026-03-16T16:07:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-157s | p=UP69% σ=0.27 | Up=0.74/513 Dn=0.27/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73702.13 +3.0bp | nb=8.9bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.002 thr=0.070 margin=-0.068 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.67/61 Dn=0.35/70 spd=0.02 | beat=73680.19 px=73702.78 +3.1bp
2026-03-16T16:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-151s | p=UP70% σ=0.27 | Up=0.70/84 Dn=0.35/2 spd=0.05 | beat=73680.19 px=73702.94 +3.1bp | nb=8.9bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:07:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6775
2026-03-16T16:07:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-146s | p=UP71% σ=0.27 | Up=0.69/98 Dn=0.32/165 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73703.90 +3.2bp | nb=8.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:07:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/17 Dn=0.32/206 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73703.90 +3.2bp
2026-03-16T16:07:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.016 thr=0.070 margin=-0.054 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.67/80 Dn=0.34/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73680.19 px=73703.69 +3.2bp
2026-03-16T16:07:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648300 T-140s | p=UP71% σ=0.27 | Up=0.67/120 Dn=0.35/49 spd=0.02 | beat=73680.19 px=73703.96 +3.2bp | nb=8.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:07:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:51 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T16:07:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:07:51 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T16:08:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:08:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6870
2026-03-16T16:09:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:09:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6971
2026-03-16T16:10:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:10:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7068
2026-03-16T16:11:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:11:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=103.58 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7169
2026-03-16T16:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648600 T-180s | p=UP90% σ=0.32 | Up=0.86/249 Dn=0.15/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73696.46 px=73769.01 +9.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.025 thr=0.067 margin=-0.042 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.86/249 Dn=0.15/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73696.46 px=73769.01 +9.8bp
2026-03-16T16:12:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.82/17 Dn=0.19/42 spd=0.01 | beat=73696.46 px=73768.26 +9.7bp
2026-03-16T16:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648600 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.058 thr=0.067 margin=-0.009 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.81/153 Dn=0.20/117 spd=0.01 | beat=73696.46 px=73764.09 +9.2bp
2026-03-16T16:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648600 T-174s | p=UP90% σ=0.30 | Up=0.81/120 Dn=0.20/135 spd=0.01 | beat=73696.46 px=73763.03 +9.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:12 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773648600 | Up avg≈0.800 9.0shares limit=0.800 order=0x2dad3a014a227b3a61d4a4268d0017a78120ebf59059744d4c9ff644abbcd844
2026-03-16T16:12:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:12:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=96.38 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648600 Up | 扫描=7247
2026-03-16T16:13:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:13:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.10 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648600 Up | 扫描=7316
2026-03-16T16:14:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:14:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.10 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648600 Up | 扫描=7385
2026-03-16T16:15:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:15:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.10 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648600 Up | 扫描=7467
2026-03-16T16:16:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:16:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.10 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 76W-33L 已实现PnL=$+15.28 | BTC5 trade=28 16W-11L WR=59.3% PnL=$-15.74 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648600 Up | 扫描=7567
2026-03-16T16:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648900 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773648900 T-179s | p=DN95% σ=0.43 | Up=0.14/0 Dn=0.88/311 spd=0.02 | beat=73516.06 px=73393.61 -16.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.058 thr=0.067 margin=-0.009 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/0 Dn=0.88/311 spd=0.02 | beat=73516.06 px=73393.61 -16.7bp
2026-03-16T16:17:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773648900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.16/171 Dn=0.88/568 spd=0.04 | beat=73516.06 px=73393.61 -16.7bp
2026-03-16T16:17:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:10 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773648900 | Down avg≈0.860 10.0shares limit=0.860 order=0xf63129e242ebbfc0e9101f19cf57fd13f4330f283deb369ecd2a9e95dd29ba01
2026-03-16T16:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:11 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x4f3894e793a4d5
2026-03-16T16:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:11 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x4f3894e793a4d5 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T16:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:16    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x3e48da0afc597420f7d7f1e52c20a61eef465385880f366851ecb3cae4fb818d
2026-03-16T16:17:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:26 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773648600 outcome=Up tx=0x3e48da0afc597420f7d7f1e52c20a61eef465385880f366851ecb3cae4fb818d
2026-03-16T16:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:17:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=90.40 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 77W-34L 已实现PnL=$+10.70 | BTC5 trade=29 16W-12L WR=57.1% PnL=$-22.94 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648900 Down | 扫描=7626
2026-03-16T16:18:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:18:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.30 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 77W-34L 已实现PnL=$+10.70 | BTC5 trade=29 16W-12L WR=57.1% PnL=$-22.94 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648900 Down | 扫描=7694
2026-03-16T16:19:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:19:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.30 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 77W-34L 已实现PnL=$+10.70 | BTC5 trade=29 16W-12L WR=57.1% PnL=$-22.94 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648900 Down | 扫描=7762
2026-03-16T16:20:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:20:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.30 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 77W-34L 已实现PnL=$+10.70 | BTC5 trade=29 16W-12L WR=57.1% PnL=$-22.94 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648900 Down | 扫描=7844
2026-03-16T16:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:21:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.30 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 77W-34L 已实现PnL=$+10.70 | BTC5 trade=29 16W-12L WR=57.1% PnL=$-22.94 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773648900 Down | 扫描=7944
2026-03-16T16:21:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:21:56    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0xc65dbadc1ff6be1b3fdde3e8c33625f0f48edde87391c11daed057138e68e2c6
2026-03-16T16:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:00 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773648900 outcome=Down tx=0xc65dbadc1ff6be1b3fdde3e8c33625f0f48edde87391c11daed057138e68e2c6
2026-03-16T16:22:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:05 查询官方 market 结果未收敛到二值 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773648900 outcome=Down
2026-03-16T16:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649200 | 进入决策窗口 T-174s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649200 T-174s | p=DN81% σ=0.34 | Up=0.42/8 Dn=0.59/197 spd=0.01 | beat=73478.54 px=73426.50 -7.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:22:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:12 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773649200 | Down avg≈0.590 15.76594shares limit=0.590 order=0x4a623172294f8bc8a5eb5c4055c9d516bd9d9db400343eaa6c46134f6976469a
2026-03-16T16:22:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:22:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=89.05 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-35L 已实现PnL=$+10.19 | BTC5 trade=30 17W-12L WR=58.6% PnL=$-21.34 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649200 Down | 扫描=7999
2026-03-16T16:23:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:23:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=87.69 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-35L 已实现PnL=$+10.19 | BTC5 trade=30 17W-12L WR=58.6% PnL=$-21.34 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649200 Down | 扫描=8067
2026-03-16T16:24:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:24:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=87.69 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-35L 已实现PnL=$+10.19 | BTC5 trade=30 17W-12L WR=58.6% PnL=$-21.34 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649200 Down | 扫描=8135
2026-03-16T16:25:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:25:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=87.69 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-35L 已实现PnL=$+10.19 | BTC5 trade=30 17W-12L WR=58.6% PnL=$-21.34 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649200 Down | 扫描=8219
2026-03-16T16:26:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:26:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=87.69 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-35L 已实现PnL=$+10.19 | BTC5 trade=30 17W-12L WR=58.6% PnL=$-21.34 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649200 Down | 扫描=8319
2026-03-16T16:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-180s | p=DN98% σ=0.33 | Up=0.07/49 Dn=0.94/602 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73409.71 -16.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.07/49 Dn=0.94/602 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73409.71 -16.5bp
2026-03-16T16:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-175s | p=DN98% σ=0.34 | Up=0.08/193 Dn=0.93/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73409.48 -16.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:10    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x7a61eeed201a79be70511069c23af937ac0cf405daa5ffa14fb05026631b1e46
2026-03-16T16:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:22 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773649200 outcome=Down tx=0x7a61eeed201a79be70511069c23af937ac0cf405daa5ffa14fb05026631b1e46
2026-03-16T16:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-157s | p=DN97% σ=0.34 | Up=0.10/51 Dn=0.91/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73430.69 -13.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.020 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/51 Dn=0.91/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73430.69 -13.6bp
2026-03-16T16:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-152s | p=DN96% σ=0.33 | Up=0.10/299 Dn=0.92/99 spd=0.02 | beat=73530.90 px=73438.12 -12.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:27:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/175 Dn=0.93/294 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73438.46 -12.6bp
2026-03-16T16:27:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-146s | p=DN97% σ=0.32 | Up=0.08/296 Dn=0.93/286 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73438.51 -12.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:27:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649500 T-140s | p=DN97% σ=0.32 | Up=0.06/273 Dn=0.95/1262 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73438.12 -12.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:27:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=83.79 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-36L 已实现PnL=$+0.75 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8379
2026-03-16T16:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:27:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.06/232 Dn=0.95/1324 spd=0.01 | beat=73530.90 px=73431.99 -13.5bp
2026-03-16T16:28:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:28:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=83.79 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-36L 已实现PnL=$+0.75 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8478
2026-03-16T16:29:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:29:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=83.79 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-36L 已实现PnL=$+0.75 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8579
2026-03-16T16:30:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:30:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=83.79 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-36L 已实现PnL=$+0.75 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8674
2026-03-16T16:31:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:31:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=83.79 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 78W-36L 已实现PnL=$+0.75 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8773
2026-03-16T16:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 T-180s | p=DN87% σ=0.32 | Up=0.23/91 Dn=0.78/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73302.74 -8.4bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.23/91 Dn=0.78/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73302.74 -8.4bp
2026-03-16T16:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:04 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-16T16:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:04 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | Down limit=0.780 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-16T16:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T16:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 T-175s | p=DN87% σ=0.31 | Up=0.18/13 Dn=0.83/128 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73304.92 -8.2bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.023 thr=0.067 margin=-0.044 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/13 Dn=0.83/128 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73304.92 -8.2bp
2026-03-16T16:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 T-170s | p=DN88% σ=0.31 | Up=0.11/202 Dn=0.90/53 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73302.58 -8.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.10/135 Dn=0.91/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73302.58 -8.5bp
2026-03-16T16:32:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 T-165s | p=DN88% σ=0.32 | Up=0.08/172 Dn=0.93/1184 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73301.02 -8.7bp | nb=6.7bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:32:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.056 thr=0.067 margin=-0.011 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.16/586 Dn=0.85/893 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73290.86 -10.1bp
2026-03-16T16:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.056 thr=0.067 margin=-0.011 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.16/52 Dn=0.87/105 spd=0.03 | beat=73364.73 px=73283.30 -11.1bp
2026-03-16T16:32:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 T-159s | p=DN95% σ=0.32 | Up=0.14/51 Dn=0.87/228 spd=0.01 | beat=73364.73 px=73279.20 -11.7bp | nb=6.7bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:32:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:27 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773649800 | Down avg≈0.870 9.96803shares limit=0.870 order=0xc1709ecf8e2e5549f82aaec800a5700ac1d4481eb5ff2f55069df1cb275a0d6a
2026-03-16T16:32:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:32:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=80.73 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 80W-36L 已实现PnL=$+2.49 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649800 Down | 扫描=8844
2026-03-16T16:33:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:33:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=80.73 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 80W-36L 已实现PnL=$+2.49 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649800 Down | 扫描=8912
2026-03-16T16:34:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:34:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=80.73 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 80W-36L 已实现PnL=$+2.49 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649800 Down | 扫描=8981
2026-03-16T16:35:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:35:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=80.73 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 80W-36L 已实现PnL=$+2.49 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649800 Down | 扫描=9068
2026-03-16T16:36:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:36:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=80.73 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 80W-36L 已实现PnL=$+2.49 | BTC5 trade=31 17W-13L WR=56.7% PnL=$-30.78 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773649800 Down | 扫描=9166
2026-03-16T16:36:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:36:54 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x11de96d421a827
2026-03-16T16:36:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:36:54 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x11de96d421a827 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T16:37:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:03    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x659862babf45439b0ff70427a57d4b8ea01156ae704ba74521f9c7879b9de2df
2026-03-16T16:37:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:07 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773649800 outcome=Down tx=0x659862babf45439b0ff70427a57d4b8ea01156ae704ba74521f9c7879b9de2df
2026-03-16T16:37:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:07 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | 进入决策窗口 T-172s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:37:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:08 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-172s | p=UP80% σ=0.31 | Up=0.73/192 Dn=0.29/250 spd=0.02 | beat=73247.11 px=73293.07 +6.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.054 thr=0.070 margin=-0.015 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.73/192 Dn=0.29/250 spd=0.02 | beat=73247.11 px=73293.07 +6.3bp
2026-03-16T16:37:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.68/10 Dn=0.33/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73292.70 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T16:37:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:13 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-167s | p=UP80% σ=0.32 | Up=0.73/144 Dn=0.31/16 spd=0.04 | beat=73247.11 px=73292.39 +6.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.73/144 Dn=0.31/16 spd=0.04 | beat=73247.11 px=73292.39 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T16:37:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-162s | p=UP80% σ=0.31 | Up=0.72/403 Dn=0.29/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73289.88 +5.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.056 thr=0.070 margin=-0.014 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.72/403 Dn=0.29/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73289.88 +5.8bp
2026-03-16T16:37:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=near_beat diff=5.6bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.66/80 Dn=0.37/34 spd=0.03 | beat=73247.11 px=73288.10 +5.6bp
2026-03-16T16:37:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-156s | p=UP79% σ=0.32 | Up=0.64/201 Dn=0.38/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73247.11 px=73287.85 +5.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-151s | p=UP75% σ=0.31 | Up=0.61/247 Dn=0.40/114 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73281.08 +4.6bp | nb=6.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.069 thr=0.070 margin=-0.001 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.62/90 Dn=0.40/763 spd=0.02 | beat=73247.11 px=73274.65 +3.8bp
2026-03-16T16:37:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=near_beat diff=3.6bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.59/130 Dn=0.42/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73273.34 +3.6bp
2026-03-16T16:37:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-146s | p=UP70% σ=0.31 | Up=0.59/370 Dn=0.42/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73273.00 +3.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.54/7 Dn=0.47/342 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73272.14 +3.4bp
2026-03-16T16:37:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-141s | p=UP69% σ=0.31 | Up=0.55/146 Dn=0.47/299 spd=0.02 | beat=73247.11 px=73271.90 +3.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:37:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.209 thr=0.070 margin=-0.279 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.45/17 Dn=0.56/88 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73265.98 +2.6bp
2026-03-16T16:37:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650100 T-136s | p=UP63% σ=0.31 | Up=0.45/30 Dn=0.56/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73262.88 +2.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑7s ↓5s
2026-03-16T16:37:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650100 | rej=near_beat diff=2.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.45/30 Dn=0.56/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73247.11 px=73262.88 +2.2bp
2026-03-16T16:37:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:37:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=90.70 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 81W-36L 已实现PnL=$+3.76 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9231
2026-03-16T16:38:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:38:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.54 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 81W-36L 已实现PnL=$+3.76 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9329
2026-03-16T16:39:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:39:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.54 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 81W-36L 已实现PnL=$+3.76 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9428
2026-03-16T16:40:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:40:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.54 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 81W-36L 已实现PnL=$+3.76 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9521
2026-03-16T16:41:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:41:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=88.54 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 81W-36L 已实现PnL=$+3.76 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9621
2026-03-16T16:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-180s | p=DN67% σ=0.61 | Up=0.38/11 Dn=0.65/282 spd=0.03 | beat=73208.48 px=73161.24 -6.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.069 margin=-0.077 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/11 Dn=0.65/282 spd=0.03 | beat=73208.48 px=73161.24 -6.5bp
2026-03-16T16:42:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-175s | p=DN65% σ=0.62 | Up=0.30/90 Dn=0.72/105 spd=0.02 | beat=73208.48 px=73167.64 -5.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-169s | p=DN65% σ=0.62 | Up=0.27/67 Dn=0.74/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73167.78 -5.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.102 thr=0.070 margin=-0.172 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.27/67 Dn=0.74/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73167.78 -5.6bp
2026-03-16T16:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.26/65 Dn=0.75/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73167.78 -5.6bp
2026-03-16T16:42:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-164s | p=DN69% σ=0.62 | Up=0.30/271 Dn=0.74/376 spd=0.04 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.60 -6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-159s | p=DN69% σ=0.62 | Up=0.23/258 Dn=0.80/113 spd=0.03 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.60 -6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.118 thr=0.069 margin=-0.187 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.23/258 Dn=0.80/113 spd=0.03 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.60 -6.9bp
2026-03-16T16:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-154s | p=DN69% σ=0.62 | Up=0.24/223 Dn=0.77/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.47 -7.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.24/223 Dn=0.77/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.47 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T16:42:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-149s | p=DN70% σ=0.63 | Up=0.34/84 Dn=0.70/71 spd=0.04 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.13 -7.0bp | nb=6.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.026 thr=0.069 margin=-0.095 Up:contrarian_trend_accelerating Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.31/205 Dn=0.70/210 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73157.13 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T16:42:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-143s | p=DN70% σ=0.65 | Up=0.24/417 Dn=0.83/28 spd=0.07 | beat=73208.48 px=73154.06 -7.4bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.24/417 Dn=0.83/28 spd=0.07 | beat=73208.48 px=73154.06 -7.4bp
2026-03-16T16:42:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650400 T-138s | p=DN74% σ=0.65 | Up=0.22/165 Dn=0.81/22 spd=0.03 | beat=73208.48 px=73144.91 -8.7bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:42:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.064 thr=0.067 margin=-0.131 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/5 Dn=0.79/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.48 px=73144.91 -8.7bp
2026-03-16T16:42:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:42:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9697
2026-03-16T16:43:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:43:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9797
2026-03-16T16:44:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:44:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9896
2026-03-16T16:45:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:45:48 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9991
2026-03-16T16:46:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:46:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10090
2026-03-16T16:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-180s | p=UP82% σ=1.16 | Up=0.93/1154 Dn=0.08/215 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73115.22 +25.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.93/1154 Dn=0.08/215 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73115.22 +25.4bp
2026-03-16T16:47:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.116 thr=0.067 margin=-0.183 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.92/34 Dn=0.09/294 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73107.18 +24.3bp
2026-03-16T16:47:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-174s | p=UP81% σ=1.16 | Up=0.92/6 Dn=0.09/260 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73103.43 +23.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-169s | p=UP80% σ=1.16 | Up=0.91/645 Dn=0.10/736 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73093.72 +22.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.121 thr=0.067 margin=-0.188 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.91/488 Dn=0.10/311 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73090.44 +22.0bp
2026-03-16T16:47:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-164s | p=UP79% σ=1.17 | Up=0.91/133 Dn=0.10/153 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73088.87 +21.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:19 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.95/53 Dn=0.07/326 spd=0.02 | beat=72929.71 px=73082.21 +20.9bp
2026-03-16T16:47:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-159s | p=UP78% σ=1.17 | Up=0.96/232 Dn=0.05/44 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73078.85 +20.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-153s | p=UP79% σ=1.17 | Up=0.96/140 Dn=0.05/65 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73080.13 +20.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.97/1530 Dn=0.04/250 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73093.11 +22.4bp
2026-03-16T16:47:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-148s | p=UP81% σ=1.16 | Up=0.97/1333 Dn=0.04/612 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73093.42 +22.4bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-143s | p=UP82% σ=1.15 | Up=0.97/1175 Dn=0.04/6 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73094.29 +22.6bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773650700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.97/824 Dn=0.04/448 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73096.95 +22.9bp
2026-03-16T16:47:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773650700 T-138s | p=UP83% σ=1.15 | Up=0.97/564 Dn=0.04/452 spd=0.01 | beat=72929.71 px=73099.31 +23.3bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:47:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:47:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10166
2026-03-16T16:48:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:48:42 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T16:48:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:48:42 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T16:48:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:48:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10265
2026-03-16T16:49:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:49:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10365
2026-03-16T16:50:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:50:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10460
2026-03-16T16:51:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:51:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=91.51 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10560
2026-03-16T16:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-180s | p=DN94% σ=0.57 | Up=0.12/606 Dn=0.91/39 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=72934.24 -20.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.015 thr=0.067 margin=-0.052 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/606 Dn=0.91/39 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=72934.24 -20.8bp
2026-03-16T16:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-175s | p=DN94% σ=0.58 | Up=0.12/150 Dn=0.90/63 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=72934.72 -20.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:52:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.14/588 Dn=0.92/283 spd=0.06 | beat=73086.44 px=72936.67 -20.5bp
2026-03-16T16:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-170s | p=DN90% σ=0.58 | Up=0.15/622 Dn=0.87/11 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=72957.60 -17.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.004 thr=0.067 margin=-0.071 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.15/400 Dn=0.88/125 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=72965.50 -16.5bp
2026-03-16T16:52:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-164s | p=DN87% σ=0.59 | Up=0.14/17 Dn=0.88/2 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=72973.21 -15.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:52:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-159s | p=DN85% σ=0.58 | Up=0.14/6 Dn=0.87/39 spd=0.01 | beat=73086.44 px=72988.24 -13.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.034 thr=0.067 margin=-0.101 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.17/150 Dn=0.85/94 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=72995.63 -12.4bp
2026-03-16T16:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.17/39 Dn=0.87/33 spd=0.04 | beat=73086.44 px=73002.56 -11.5bp
2026-03-16T16:52:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-154s | p=DN80% σ=0.58 | Up=0.17/10 Dn=0.86/70 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=73007.56 -10.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:52:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-149s | p=DN78% σ=0.58 | Up=0.19/54 Dn=0.83/43 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=73014.54 -9.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.20/237 Dn=0.85/0 spd=0.05 | beat=73086.44 px=73014.54 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T16:52:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-144s | p=DN75% σ=0.64 | Up=0.20/87 Dn=0.84/15 spd=0.04 | beat=73086.44 px=73020.81 -9.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:52:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.124 thr=0.067 margin=-0.191 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.16/20 Dn=0.86/154 spd=0.02 | beat=73086.44 px=73021.94 -8.8bp
2026-03-16T16:52:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651000 T-139s | p=DN73% σ=0.63 | Up=0.21/221 Dn=0.82/80 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=73025.56 -8.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:52:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=near_beat diff=3.1bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.21/167 Dn=0.82/50 spd=0.03 | beat=73086.44 px=73063.80 -3.1bp
2026-03-16T16:52:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.22/432 Dn=0.82/50 spd=0.04 | beat=73086.44 px=73079.61 -0.9bp
2026-03-16T16:52:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:52:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=10637
2026-03-16T16:53:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:53:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=10737
2026-03-16T16:54:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:54:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=10836
2026-03-16T16:55:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:55:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=10931
2026-03-16T16:56:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:56:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-36L 已实现PnL=$+4.57 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11031
2026-03-16T16:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T16:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-180s | p=UP56% σ=0.40 | Up=0.59/67 Dn=0.42/232 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73186.15 +1.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.000 thr=0.070 margin=-0.070 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.59/67 Dn=0.42/232 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73186.15 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T16:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-175s | p=UP56% σ=0.40 | Up=0.54/32 Dn=0.48/94 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73185.87 +1.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T16:57:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.48/11 Dn=0.53/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73184.00 +1.3bp
2026-03-16T16:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-170s | p=UP55% σ=0.40 | Up=0.51/139 Dn=0.51/2 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73182.41 +1.1bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.02 | ↑5s ↓5s
2026-03-16T16:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.059 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.51/139 Dn=0.51/2 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73182.41 +1.1bp
2026-03-16T16:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.42/66 Dn=0.60/19 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73182.33 +1.0bp
2026-03-16T16:57:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-165s | p=DN62% σ=0.39 | Up=0.45/222 Dn=0.57/81 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73155.32 -2.6bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T16:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-159s | p=DN69% σ=0.38 | Up=0.43/93 Dn=0.58/297 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.66 -4.2bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=near_beat diff=4.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.43/93 Dn=0.58/297 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.66 -4.2bp
2026-03-16T16:57:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.42/480 Dn=0.59/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.49 -4.3bp
2026-03-16T16:57:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.048 thr=0.070 margin=-0.022 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/79 Dn=0.62/149 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.49 -4.3bp
2026-03-16T16:57:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-154s | p=DN70% σ=0.38 | Up=0.37/238 Dn=0.65/17 spd=0.02 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.49 -4.3bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T16:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=near_beat diff=4.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.43/59 Dn=0.58/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73142.59 -4.4bp
2026-03-16T16:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-148s | p=DN77% σ=0.29 | Up=0.43/286 Dn=0.58/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73141.68 -4.5bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:57:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-142s | p=DN75% σ=0.29 | Up=0.41/107 Dn=0.60/172 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73144.16 -4.2bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓12s
2026-03-16T16:57:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.41/195 Dn=0.60/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73143.12 -4.3bp
2026-03-16T16:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=near_beat diff=4.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.40/73 Dn=0.61/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73145.36 -4.0bp
2026-03-16T16:57:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.065 thr=0.070 margin=-0.005 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.35/59 Dn=0.66/210 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73145.36 -4.0bp
2026-03-16T16:57:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651300 T-136s | p=DN75% σ=0.28 | Up=0.34/15 Dn=0.67/92 spd=0.01 | beat=73174.70 px=73145.58 -4.0bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T16:57:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:57:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=82.53 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-37L 已实现PnL=$-2.31 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11109
2026-03-16T16:58:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:58:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=79.03 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-37L 已实现PnL=$-2.31 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11210
2026-03-16T16:59:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 16:59:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=79.03 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-37L 已实现PnL=$-2.31 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11310
2026-03-16T17:00:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:00:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=79.03 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-37L 已实现PnL=$-2.31 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11405
2026-03-16T17:01:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:01:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=79.03 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 82W-37L 已实现PnL=$-2.31 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11504
2026-03-16T17:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-180s | p=UP73% σ=0.28 | Up=0.58/114 Dn=0.43/60 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73168.32 +4.0bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=near_beat diff=4.0bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.58/114 Dn=0.43/60 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73168.32 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T17:02:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.57/8 Dn=0.44/118 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73168.40 +4.1bp
2026-03-16T17:02:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-175s | p=UP74% σ=0.27 | Up=0.51/378 Dn=0.52/9 spd=0.03 | beat=73138.71 px=73168.40 +4.1bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-170s | p=UP72% σ=0.27 | Up=0.37/20 Dn=0.64/112 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73165.61 +3.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=near_beat diff=3.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.37/20 Dn=0.64/112 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73165.61 +3.7bp
2026-03-16T17:02:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.39/10 Dn=0.62/99 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73163.38 +3.4bp
2026-03-16T17:02:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-165s | p=UP57% σ=0.27 | Up=0.42/392 Dn=0.59/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73146.13 +1.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-160s | p=UP52% σ=0.27 | Up=0.31/35 Dn=0.70/868 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73140.68 +0.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=near_beat diff=0.3bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.31/35 Dn=0.70/868 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73140.68 +0.3bp
2026-03-16T17:02:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.223 thr=0.070 margin=-0.293 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.30/6 Dn=0.71/198 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73140.31 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T17:02:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-154s | p=UP51% σ=0.27 | Up=0.27/0 Dn=0.74/68 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73139.60 +0.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T17:02:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=near_beat diff=0.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.29/367 Dn=0.72/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73138.77 +0.0bp
2026-03-16T17:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-149s | p=DN50% σ=0.26 | Up=0.26/200 Dn=0.75/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73138.61 -0.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-16T17:02:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.203 thr=0.070 margin=-0.273 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.26/12 Dn=0.77/179 spd=0.03 | beat=73138.71 px=73131.98 -0.9bp
2026-03-16T17:02:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-144s | p=DN57% σ=0.27 | Up=0.27/330 Dn=0.76/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73138.71 px=73131.65 -1.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:02:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.35/14 Dn=0.69/31 spd=0.04 | beat=73138.71 px=73131.27 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T17:02:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651600 T-139s | p=DN57% σ=0.27 | Up=0.40/91 Dn=0.63/22 spd=0.03 | beat=73138.71 px=73131.27 -1.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-16T17:02:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651600 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.31/85 Dn=0.70/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73138.71 px=73131.27 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T17:02:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:02:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=84.19 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11581
2026-03-16T17:03:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:03:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.42 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11680
2026-03-16T17:04:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:04:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.42 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11774
2026-03-16T17:05:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:05:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.42 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11865
2026-03-16T17:06:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:06:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.42 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11960
2026-03-16T17:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651900 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651900 T-179s | p=DN77% σ=0.26 | Up=0.26/95 Dn=0.75/343 spd=0.01 | beat=73126.40 px=73092.52 -4.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.009 thr=0.070 margin=-0.061 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.26/95 Dn=0.75/343 spd=0.01 | beat=73126.40 px=73092.52 -4.6bp
2026-03-16T17:07:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.27/161 Dn=0.74/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73126.40 px=73090.76 -4.9bp
2026-03-16T17:07:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773651900 T-174s | p=DN82% σ=0.24 | Up=0.28/150 Dn=0.75/273 spd=0.03 | beat=73126.40 px=73087.80 -5.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:07:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773651900 | rej=near_beat diff=5.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.28/1 Dn=0.73/124 spd=0.01 | beat=73126.40 px=73083.69 -5.8bp
2026-03-16T17:07:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:13 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773651900 | Down avg≈0.710 8.90462shares limit=0.710 order=0x06a41dfbca8b3c13d51c74739e0ffd6c623ee6dee9cb2af4edec98e03e4c69e3
2026-03-16T17:07:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:07:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.03 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12027
2026-03-16T17:08:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:08:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12095
2026-03-16T17:09:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:09:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12164
2026-03-16T17:10:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:10:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12256
2026-03-16T17:11:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:11:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12356
2026-03-16T17:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-180s | p=UP55% σ=0.25 | Up=0.50/288 Dn=0.51/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73176.53 +0.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.033 thr=0.070 margin=-0.037 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.50/288 Dn=0.51/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73176.53 +0.8bp
2026-03-16T17:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-174s | p=UP53% σ=0.25 | Up=0.46/248 Dn=0.56/147 spd=0.02 | beat=73170.51 px=73174.25 +0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-16T17:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.037 thr=0.070 margin=-0.107 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.47/354 Dn=0.54/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73164.41 -0.8bp
2026-03-16T17:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-168s | p=DN58% σ=0.25 | Up=0.45/88 Dn=0.56/243 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73161.77 -1.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:12:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-162s | p=DN59% σ=0.25 | Up=0.44/135 Dn=0.57/121 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73161.48 -1.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:12:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.003 thr=0.070 margin=-0.073 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.46/212 Dn=0.57/252 spd=0.03 | beat=73170.51 px=73161.46 -1.2bp
2026-03-16T17:12:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-157s | p=DN62% σ=0.25 | Up=0.47/176 Dn=0.54/190 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73158.02 -1.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:26 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53254 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:26 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=near_beat diff=1.7bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.54/160 Dn=0.49/34 spd=0.03 | beat=73170.51 px=73158.02 -1.7bp
2026-03-16T17:12:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-152s | p=DN62% σ=0.26 | Up=0.55/18 Dn=0.46/530 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73158.02 -1.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:12:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.66/115 Dn=0.40/54 spd=0.06 | beat=73170.51 px=73158.63 -1.6bp
2026-03-16T17:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-147s | p=DN61% σ=0.25 | Up=0.69/218 Dn=0.35/103 spd=0.04 | beat=73170.51 px=73159.43 -1.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T17:12:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=near_beat diff=0.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.71/174 Dn=0.30/125 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73171.19 +0.1bp
2026-03-16T17:12:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-141s | p=UP55% σ=0.25 | Up=0.71/54 Dn=0.30/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73175.41 +0.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T17:12:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.050 thr=0.070 margin=-0.020 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.65/126 Dn=0.36/91 spd=0.01 | beat=73170.51 px=73177.36 +0.9bp
2026-03-16T17:12:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652200 T-136s | p=UP67% σ=0.25 | Up=0.67/208 Dn=0.36/433 spd=0.03 | beat=73170.51 px=73186.87 +2.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:12:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:46 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53234 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:12:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:46 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:12:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:12:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12432
2026-03-16T17:13:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:07 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53213 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:13:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:07 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:13:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:27 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53193 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:13:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:27 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:13:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:48 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53172 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:13:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:48 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:13:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:13:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12531
2026-03-16T17:14:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:09 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53151 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:14:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:09 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:14:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:29 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53131 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:14:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:29 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:14:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:50 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53110 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:14:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:50 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:14:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:14:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12629
2026-03-16T17:15:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:11 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53089 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:15:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:11 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:15:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:31 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53069 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:15:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:31 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:15:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:52 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53048 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:15:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:52 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:15:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:15:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12723
2026-03-16T17:16:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:13 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53027 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:16:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:13 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:16:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:33 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 53007 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:16:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:33 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:16:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:54 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52986 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:16:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:54 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:16:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:16:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12821
2026-03-16T17:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-180s | p=UP75% σ=0.28 | Up=0.52/2 Dn=0.53/661 spd=0.05 | beat=73139.78 px=73173.33 +4.6bp | nb=6.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.52/2 Dn=0.53/661 spd=0.05 | beat=73139.78 px=73173.33 +4.6bp
2026-03-16T17:17:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=near_beat diff=6.0bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.58/28 Dn=0.45/85 spd=0.03 | beat=73139.78 px=73183.37 +6.0bp
2026-03-16T17:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-175s | p=UP81% σ=0.29 | Up=0.58/3 Dn=0.43/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73183.48 +6.0bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-169s | p=UP82% σ=0.30 | Up=0.50/136 Dn=0.53/56 spd=0.03 | beat=73139.78 px=73187.24 +6.5bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=near_beat diff=6.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.50/34 Dn=0.51/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73190.27 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T17:17:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:14 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52966 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:17:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:14 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-163s | p=UP83% σ=0.30 | Up=0.50/14 Dn=0.51/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73187.24 +6.5bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.50/14 Dn=0.51/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73187.24 +6.5bp
2026-03-16T17:17:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-158s | p=UP77% σ=0.30 | Up=0.42/16 Dn=0.60/9 spd=0.02 | beat=73139.78 px=73175.64 +4.9bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=near_beat diff=4.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.45/92 Dn=0.56/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73175.91 +4.9bp
2026-03-16T17:17:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-153s | p=UP77% σ=0.31 | Up=0.49/1693 Dn=0.54/80 spd=0.03 | beat=73139.78 px=73176.19 +5.0bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.50/17 Dn=0.52/15 spd=0.02 | beat=73139.78 px=73176.29 +5.0bp
2026-03-16T17:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-148s | p=UP78% σ=0.31 | Up=0.50/285 Dn=0.51/108 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73176.36 +5.0bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=near_beat diff=5.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.47/24 Dn=0.54/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73183.12 +5.9bp
2026-03-16T17:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:35 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52945 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:35 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:17:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-142s | p=UP84% σ=0.31 | Up=0.52/114 Dn=0.51/79 spd=0.03 | beat=73139.78 px=73188.28 +6.6bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.54/4 Dn=0.47/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73139.78 px=73188.28 +6.6bp
2026-03-16T17:17:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652500 T-137s | p=UP84% σ=0.31 | Up=0.46/14 Dn=0.57/96 spd=0.03 | beat=73139.78 px=73185.98 +6.3bp | nb=6.2bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:56 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52924 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:56 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:17:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:17:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12898
2026-03-16T17:18:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:11 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T17:18:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:12 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 60 个 token
2026-03-16T17:18:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:17 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52903 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:18:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:17 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:18:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:38 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52882 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:18:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:38 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:18:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:58 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52862 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:18:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:58 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:18:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:18:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.80 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=12995
2026-03-16T17:19:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:19:19 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52841 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:19:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:19:19 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:19:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:19:40 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52820 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:19:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:19:40 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:19:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:19:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.80 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13092
2026-03-16T17:20:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:03 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52797 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:20:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:03 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:20:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:24 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52776 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:20:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:24 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:20:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:44 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52756 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:20:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:20:44 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:21:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.80 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13185
2026-03-16T17:21:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:05 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52735 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:21:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:05 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:21:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:16 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T17:21:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:16 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T17:21:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:25 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52715 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:21:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:25 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:21:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:46 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52694 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:21:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:46 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:21:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xf5b04c02d804eb
2026-03-16T17:21:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:21:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xf5b04c02d804eb 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T17:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.80 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13281
2026-03-16T17:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:22:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:01 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-179s | p=DN55% σ=0.35 | Up=0.35/47 Dn=0.66/52 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73200.65 -1.0bp | nb=7.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.35/47 Dn=0.66/52 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73200.65 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T17:22:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.068 thr=0.070 margin=-0.002 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/126 Dn=0.65/230 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73199.96 -1.1bp
2026-03-16T17:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-174s | p=DN57% σ=0.33 | Up=0.36/104 Dn=0.65/210 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73197.55 -1.4bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:07 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52673 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:22:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:07 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-169s | p=DN57% σ=0.33 | Up=0.40/2036 Dn=0.61/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73197.48 -1.4bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=near_beat diff=1.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.33/51 Dn=0.68/50 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73197.48 -1.4bp
2026-03-16T17:22:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.082 thr=0.070 margin=-0.152 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/15 Dn=0.65/38 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73197.60 -1.4bp
2026-03-16T17:22:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-163s | p=DN56% σ=0.33 | Up=0.39/15 Dn=0.63/294 spd=0.02 | beat=73208.02 px=73199.79 -1.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-158s | p=DN54% σ=0.33 | Up=0.40/1174 Dn=0.61/64 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73202.49 -0.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.068 thr=0.070 margin=-0.002 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.38/58 Dn=0.63/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73204.12 -0.5bp
2026-03-16T17:22:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-153s | p=DN53% σ=0.32 | Up=0.38/29 Dn=0.63/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73204.19 -0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:27 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52653 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:22:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:27 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:22:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=near_beat diff=0.5bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.32/20 Dn=0.69/405 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73204.30 -0.5bp
2026-03-16T17:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-148s | p=DN53% σ=0.32 | Up=0.32/113 Dn=0.69/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73204.42 -0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓12s
2026-03-16T17:22:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-143s | p=DN53% σ=0.32 | Up=0.35/346 Dn=0.66/79 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73204.14 -0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=near_beat diff=0.8bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.32/128 Dn=0.69/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73208.02 px=73201.99 -0.8bp
2026-03-16T17:22:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773652800 T-138s | p=DN55% σ=0.32 | Up=0.32/47 Dn=0.70/27 spd=0.02 | beat=73208.02 px=73201.78 -0.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:22:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773652800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.34/316 Dn=0.70/32 spd=0.04 | beat=73208.02 px=73201.77 -0.9bp
2026-03-16T17:22:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:48 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52632 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:22:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:22:48 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:23:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.80 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13356
2026-03-16T17:23:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:08 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52612 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:23:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:08 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:23:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:29 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52591 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:23:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:29 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:23:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:50 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52570 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:23:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:23:50 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:24:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.40 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13451
2026-03-16T17:24:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:10 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52550 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:24:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:10 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:24:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:31 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52529 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:24:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:31 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:24:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:51 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52509 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:24:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:24:51 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:25:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-37L 已实现PnL=$-0.65 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13546
2026-03-16T17:25:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:12 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52488 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:25:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:12 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:25:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:33 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52467 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:25:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:33 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:25:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:53 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52447 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:25:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:25:53 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:26:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13642
2026-03-16T17:26:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:14 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52426 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:26:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:14 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:26:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:34 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52406 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:26:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:34 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:26:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:55 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52385 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:26:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:26:55 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-180s | p=UP92% σ=0.26 | Up=0.93/359 Dn=0.08/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73249.34 +8.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:量不足 | Up=0.93/359 Dn=0.08/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73249.34 +8.6bp
2026-03-16T17:27:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13737
2026-03-16T17:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-175s | p=UP92% σ=0.26 | Up=0.94/1068 Dn=0.09/227 spd=0.03 | beat=73186.55 px=73249.37 +8.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-169s | p=UP97% σ=0.26 | Up=0.92/160 Dn=0.09/142 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.54 +11.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.043 thr=0.067 margin=-0.024 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/160 Dn=0.09/142 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.54 +11.3bp
2026-03-16T17:27:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:15 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52365 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:27:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:15 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-164s | p=UP97% σ=0.26 | Up=0.92/211 Dn=0.10/165 spd=0.02 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.69 +11.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/2 Dn=0.09/475 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.69 +11.4bp
2026-03-16T17:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-159s | p=UP98% σ=0.26 | Up=0.95/1186 Dn=0.06/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.07 +11.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-154s | p=UP97% σ=0.27 | Up=0.95/422 Dn=0.07/998 spd=0.02 | beat=73186.55 px=73269.07 +11.3bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.95/442 Dn=0.06/84 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73270.07 +11.4bp
2026-03-16T17:27:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-149s | p=UP97% σ=0.27 | Up=0.95/297 Dn=0.06/942 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73270.56 +11.5bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:36 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52344 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:36 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-144s | p=UP98% σ=0.27 | Up=0.94/114 Dn=0.07/420 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73272.72 +11.8bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.94/234 Dn=0.07/179 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73271.77 +11.6bp
2026-03-16T17:27:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.049 thr=0.067 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/25 Dn=0.10/204 spd=0.02 | beat=73186.55 px=73270.73 +11.5bp
2026-03-16T17:27:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653100 T-138s | p=UP98% σ=0.27 | Up=0.93/63 Dn=0.08/96 spd=0.01 | beat=73186.55 px=73270.48 +11.5bp | nb=6.2bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:27:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:56 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52324 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:27:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:27:56 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:28:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13814
2026-03-16T17:28:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:17 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52303 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:28:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:17 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:28:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:38 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52282 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:28:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:38 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:28:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:58 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52262 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:28:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:28:58 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:29:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:29:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=13910
2026-03-16T17:29:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:29:19 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52241 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:29:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:29:19 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:29:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:29:39 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52221 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:29:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:29:39 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:30:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:00 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52200 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:30:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:00 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:30:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=14002
2026-03-16T17:30:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:21 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52179 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:30:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:21 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:30:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:42 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52158 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:30:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:30:42 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:31:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:02 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52138 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:31:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:02 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:31:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=14100
2026-03-16T17:31:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:23 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52117 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:31:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:23 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:31:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:44 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52096 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:31:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:31:44 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653400 T-180s | p=DN96% σ=0.30 | Up=0.12/296 Dn=0.90/142 spd=0.02 | beat=73282.75 px=73194.36 -12.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.046 thr=0.067 margin=-0.021 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/296 Dn=0.90/142 spd=0.02 | beat=73282.75 px=73194.36 -12.1bp
2026-03-16T17:32:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.11/67 Dn=0.90/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73282.75 px=73193.43 -12.2bp
2026-03-16T17:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:04 CTF redeem (gasless) 失败: RelayerApiException[status_code=429, error_message={'error': 'quota exceeded: 0 units remaining, resets in 52076 seconds'}]
2026-03-16T17:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:04 redeem 未拿到 tx_hash，稍后重试 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773651900
2026-03-16T17:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 83W-38L 已实现PnL=$-2.01 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773651900 Down | 扫描=14197
2026-03-16T17:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653400 T-174s | p=DN96% σ=0.30 | Up=0.06/25 Dn=0.95/1231 spd=0.01 | beat=73282.75 px=73192.95 -12.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T17:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653400 T-168s | p=DN96% σ=0.30 | Up=0.08/112 Dn=0.93/101 spd=0.01 | beat=73282.75 px=73193.74 -12.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:32:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773653400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/33 Dn=0.93/61 spd=0.01 | beat=73282.75 px=73193.99 -12.1bp
2026-03-16T17:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[67304]: 2026-03-16 17:32:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773653400 T-163s | p=DN96% σ=0.30 | Up=0.08/5 Dn=0.93/52 spd=0.01 | beat=73282.75 px=73196.67 -11.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T17:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopping polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot...
2026-03-16T17:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Deactivated successfully.
2026-03-16T17:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopped polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T17:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Consumed 14min 7.119s CPU time, 2.8M memory peak, 0B memory swap peak.
2026-03-16T17:49:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Started polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T17:49:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:45 gasless: RelayClient 初始化成功 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE auth=relayer_api_key signer=0xb9Fa...B54d funder=0x242C...5a36
2026-03-16T17:49:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:45 builder attribution: 已配置 BuilderConfig
2026-03-16T17:49:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:45 ✅ ClobClient 原生初始化完成 | 钱包=0x242Cd7135180B30e38f86341249103867Ef15a36 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE | CLOB=builder | onchain=relay
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 gasless preflight: trading approvals ready | 6 项全部就绪
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 OrderBookWebSocketFeed 启动
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 Telegram 通知: 已启用 (chat_id=344102987)
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 🚀 Polymarket BTC 5m v11 fair value live bot | v11.1.0 (2026-03-15)
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┣━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 策略   raw -> adjust -> cal(identity) | window=135~180s | edge raw>0.030 net>0.070
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 配置   /root/polymarket-bot/configs/runtime/btc5m.conf | 已加载77项
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 参数   主链决策=53 (Market 15 + Entry 38) | 执行=13 | 历史兼容=8 | 提醒: 保持低维adjust，避免过度拟合
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 调整   distilled (gap=0.06, vol=0.04; clip=0.12/0.03) | cal=identity
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 风控   guard=near-beat/confirmation | ask=0.08~0.92 spread≤0.030
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 数据   ref=Chainlink RTDS btc/usd | sigma/tape=binance-perp(btcusdt) | sigma_lookback=300s
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 仓位   动态 Kelly on(q=0.25, floor=max(market,$2), cap=10%) | min_shares≥1
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 运行   shadow=off | poll=0.50s | user_ws=on | market_ws=on
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┃ 执行   recheck=1.0s | fill_timeout=12.0s | Chainlink BTC/USD
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 ┗━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 配置快照 /root/polymarket-bot/runtime_logs/v11/btc_5m_effective_config.json | 已写入
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 📡 价格流启动: binance-perp
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 UserOrderFeed 启动
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 MarketResolutionFeed 启动
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 📡 Chainlink RTDS 已连接 | symbol=btc/usd
2026-03-16T17:49:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:46 📡 binance-perp WS 已连接
2026-03-16T17:49:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:49 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T17:49:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:49 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 2 个 token
2026-03-16T17:49:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:49:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=64.44 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 83W-39L 已实现PnL=$-8.40 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=3 | 扫描=1
2026-03-16T17:50:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:50:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.87 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 84W-39L 已实现PnL=$-7.63 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=2 | 扫描=99
2026-03-16T17:51:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:51:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.85 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-40L 已实现PnL=$-9.42 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=204
2026-03-16T17:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-180s | p=UP63% σ=0.35 | Up=0.58/19 Dn=0.44/19 spd=0.02 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.74 +2.8bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.58/19 Dn=0.44/19 spd=0.02 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.74 +2.8bp
2026-03-16T17:52:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.035 thr=0.070 margin=-0.035 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.57/63 Dn=0.44/19 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.65 +2.8bp
2026-03-16T17:52:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-173s | p=UP67% σ=0.34 | Up=0.49/14 Dn=0.52/97 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73323.77 +3.6bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=near_beat diff=3.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.47/67 Dn=0.54/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73325.00 +3.8bp
2026-03-16T17:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.45/0 Dn=0.56/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73325.00 +3.8bp
2026-03-16T17:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-168s | p=UP68% σ=0.34 | Up=0.50/32 Dn=0.55/184 spd=0.05 | beat=73297.40 px=73325.00 +3.8bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-162s | p=UP67% σ=0.34 | Up=0.44/50 Dn=0.62/115 spd=0.06 | beat=73297.40 px=73322.39 +3.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:19 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.243 thr=0.070 margin=-0.313 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.43/15 Dn=0.58/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73321.26 +3.3bp
2026-03-16T17:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=near_beat diff=3.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.45/71 Dn=0.56/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73297.40 px=73320.66 +3.2bp
2026-03-16T17:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.45/44 Dn=0.61/128 spd=0.06 | beat=73297.40 px=73320.02 +3.1bp
2026-03-16T17:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-157s | p=UP65% σ=0.35 | Up=0.45/1 Dn=0.58/128 spd=0.03 | beat=73297.40 px=73319.66 +3.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-151s | p=UP64% σ=0.34 | Up=0.41/234 Dn=0.61/35 spd=0.02 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.80 +2.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=near_beat diff=2.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.35/31 Dn=0.67/202 spd=0.02 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.35 +2.7bp
2026-03-16T17:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.31/53 Dn=0.75/9 spd=0.06 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.19 +2.7bp
2026-03-16T17:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-145s | p=UP64% σ=0.35 | Up=0.32/19 Dn=0.76/155 spd=0.08 | beat=73297.40 px=73317.07 +2.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654600 T-140s | p=UP62% σ=0.35 | Up=0.46/115 Dn=0.60/80 spd=0.06 | beat=73297.40 px=73313.14 +2.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:52:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654600 | rej=near_beat diff=2.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.29/45 Dn=0.73/2 spd=0.02 | beat=73297.40 px=73312.52 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T17:52:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:52:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.45 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-40L 已实现PnL=$-9.42 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=286
2026-03-16T17:53:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:53:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=391
2026-03-16T17:54:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:54:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=495
2026-03-16T17:55:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:55:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=593
2026-03-16T17:56:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:56:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=697
2026-03-16T17:56:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:56:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x066df2f8d13256
2026-03-16T17:56:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:56:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x066df2f8d13256 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T17:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T17:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-180s | p=UP54% σ=0.21 | Up=0.47/48 Dn=0.54/554 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73284.87 +0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.047 thr=0.070 margin=-0.023 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.47/48 Dn=0.54/554 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73284.87 +0.5bp
2026-03-16T17:57:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-174s | p=UP51% σ=0.21 | Up=0.47/30 Dn=0.54/473 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.52 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.007 thr=0.070 margin=-0.063 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.49/239 Dn=0.52/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.50 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T17:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-168s | p=UP51% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/33 Dn=0.53/486 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.49 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-163s | p=UP52% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/37 Dn=0.53/108 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.52 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.040 thr=0.070 margin=-0.030 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.46/86 Dn=0.55/166 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73283.04 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T17:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-158s | p=UP52% σ=0.20 | Up=0.47/127 Dn=0.55/110 spd=0.02 | beat=73281.23 px=73283.04 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-152s | p=UP52% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/45 Dn=0.53/263 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.84 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.055 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.48/150 Dn=0.53/231 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.37 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T17:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-146s | p=UP51% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/137 Dn=0.53/525 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.37 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-141s | p=UP51% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/32 Dn=0.53/864 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.31 +0.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773654900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.062 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.49/298 Dn=0.52/124 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.43 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T17:57:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773654900 T-136s | p=UP52% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/191 Dn=0.53/233 spd=0.01 | beat=73281.23 px=73282.45 +0.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T17:57:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:57:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=778
2026-03-16T17:58:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:58:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=883
2026-03-16T17:59:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 17:59:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=988
2026-03-16T18:00:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:00:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1089
2026-03-16T18:01:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:01:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1193
2026-03-16T18:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-180s | p=UP91% σ=0.41 | Up=0.96/921 Dn=0.05/285 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73361.38 +13.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.96/921 Dn=0.05/285 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73361.38 +13.4bp
2026-03-16T18:02:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-174s | p=UP92% σ=0.41 | Up=0.96/429 Dn=0.05/22 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73362.09 +13.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.94/110 Dn=0.07/381 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73364.47 +13.8bp
2026-03-16T18:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-168s | p=UP92% σ=0.42 | Up=0.93/25 Dn=0.08/123 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73364.47 +13.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-163s | p=UP89% σ=0.42 | Up=0.95/258 Dn=0.06/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73350.00 +11.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.96/112 Dn=0.06/26 spd=0.02 | beat=73263.46 px=73342.29 +10.8bp
2026-03-16T18:02:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-157s | p=UP87% σ=0.42 | Up=0.97/2594 Dn=0.04/202 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73342.55 +10.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-151s | p=UP88% σ=0.43 | Up=0.95/7 Dn=0.06/717 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73345.45 +11.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.97/2546 Dn=0.04/659 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73348.42 +11.6bp
2026-03-16T18:02:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-146s | p=UP90% σ=0.43 | Up=0.97/2292 Dn=0.04/526 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73350.57 +11.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655200 T-140s | p=UP90% σ=0.43 | Up=0.97/1898 Dn=0.04/805 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73349.95 +11.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.97/1524 Dn=0.04/217 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.46 px=73349.94 +11.8bp
2026-03-16T18:02:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1275
2026-03-16T18:02:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:54 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T18:02:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:02:54 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T18:03:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:03:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1378
2026-03-16T18:04:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:04:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1482
2026-03-16T18:05:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:05:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1582
2026-03-16T18:06:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:06:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1686
2026-03-16T18:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-180s | p=DN83% σ=0.37 | Up=0.21/15 Dn=0.80/191 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73347.11 -8.3bp | nb=8.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.009 thr=0.067 margin=-0.058 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.21/15 Dn=0.80/191 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73347.11 -8.3bp
2026-03-16T18:07:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.16/22 Dn=0.88/400 spd=0.04 | beat=73408.38 px=73347.17 -8.3bp
2026-03-16T18:07:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-174s | p=DN83% σ=0.38 | Up=0.12/160 Dn=0.89/105 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73347.17 -8.3bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.096 thr=0.067 margin=-0.163 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.09/97 Dn=0.92/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73346.84 -8.4bp
2026-03-16T18:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-168s | p=DN83% σ=0.38 | Up=0.08/20 Dn=0.94/858 spd=0.02 | beat=73408.38 px=73345.78 -8.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:07:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/78 Dn=0.96/1296 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73332.51 -10.3bp
2026-03-16T18:07:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-163s | p=DN91% σ=0.38 | Up=0.05/85 Dn=0.96/1159 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73324.11 -11.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-157s | p=DN96% σ=0.38 | Up=0.05/214 Dn=0.96/477 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73301.97 -14.5bp | nb=6.9bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:07:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/237 Dn=0.96/338 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73301.95 -14.5bp
2026-03-16T18:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-152s | p=DN96% σ=0.37 | Up=0.06/29 Dn=0.95/104 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73301.77 -14.5bp | nb=7.4bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:07:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-146s | p=DN97% σ=0.37 | Up=0.07/126 Dn=0.94/320 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73301.09 -14.6bp | nb=8.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:07:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.039 thr=0.067 margin=-0.028 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.09/40 Dn=0.92/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73299.85 -14.8bp
2026-03-16T18:07:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.09/117 Dn=0.92/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73299.37 -14.8bp
2026-03-16T18:07:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655500 T-141s | p=DN97% σ=0.37 | Up=0.07/211 Dn=0.94/91 spd=0.01 | beat=73408.38 px=73298.87 -14.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:07:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:07:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1767
2026-03-16T18:08:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:08:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1871
2026-03-16T18:09:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:09:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1975
2026-03-16T18:10:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:10:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2074
2026-03-16T18:11:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:11:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2179
2026-03-16T18:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-180s | p=DN51% σ=0.28 | Up=0.34/31 Dn=0.67/109 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73370.54 -0.2bp | nb=6.9bp flip=0.03 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-16T18:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=near_beat diff=0.2bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.34/31 Dn=0.67/109 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73370.54 -0.2bp
2026-03-16T18:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-175s | p=DN57% σ=0.28 | Up=0.31/99 Dn=0.70/475 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73363.75 -1.1bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.001 thr=0.070 margin=-0.071 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.31/93 Dn=0.70/453 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73346.30 -3.5bp
2026-03-16T18:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-169s | p=DN79% σ=0.26 | Up=0.32/512 Dn=0.69/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.56 -4.8bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.32/512 Dn=0.69/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.56 -4.8bp
2026-03-16T18:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=near_beat diff=4.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.35/109 Dn=0.67/131 spd=0.02 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.55 -4.8bp
2026-03-16T18:12:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-163s | p=DN79% σ=0.26 | Up=0.34/322 Dn=0.68/15 spd=0.02 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.54 -4.9bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:12:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-158s | p=DN80% σ=0.26 | Up=0.33/170 Dn=0.69/277 spd=0.02 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.54 -4.9bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:12:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=near_beat diff=4.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.32/132 Dn=0.69/255 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.54 -4.9bp
2026-03-16T18:12:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.069 thr=0.070 margin=-0.001 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.30/26 Dn=0.71/213 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73336.41 -4.9bp
2026-03-16T18:12:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-152s | p=DN81% σ=0.26 | Up=0.27/93 Dn=0.75/112 spd=0.02 | beat=73372.13 px=73335.88 -4.9bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-147s | p=DN86% σ=0.26 | Up=0.26/68 Dn=0.75/400 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73328.09 -6.0bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=near_beat diff=6.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.26/68 Dn=0.75/400 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73328.09 -6.0bp
2026-03-16T18:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-141s | p=DN87% σ=0.26 | Up=0.30/398 Dn=0.72/22 spd=0.02 | beat=73372.13 px=73327.52 -6.1bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:12:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.25/264 Dn=0.76/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73330.77 -5.6bp
2026-03-16T18:12:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773655800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.064 thr=0.070 margin=-0.006 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.24/5 Dn=0.77/527 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73330.88 -5.6bp
2026-03-16T18:12:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773655800 T-135s | p=DN85% σ=0.26 | Up=0.24/6 Dn=0.77/519 spd=0.01 | beat=73372.13 px=73330.88 -5.6bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:12:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:12:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.80 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2261
2026-03-16T18:13:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:13:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.14 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2364
2026-03-16T18:14:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:14:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.14 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2466
2026-03-16T18:15:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:15:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.14 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2565
2026-03-16T18:16:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:16:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.14 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 85W-41L 已实现PnL=$-10.47 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2668
2026-03-16T18:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-180s | p=UP74% σ=0.24 | Up=0.68/104 Dn=0.33/220 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73373.34 +3.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.042 thr=0.070 margin=-0.028 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.68/104 Dn=0.33/220 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73373.34 +3.7bp
2026-03-16T18:17:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.75/12 Dn=0.27/13 spd=0.02 | beat=73346.05 px=73371.66 +3.5bp
2026-03-16T18:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-175s | p=UP73% σ=0.25 | Up=0.75/18 Dn=0.26/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73371.66 +3.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-169s | p=UP79% σ=0.25 | Up=0.80/8 Dn=0.21/412 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73380.17 +4.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.006 thr=0.070 margin=-0.064 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.81/134 Dn=0.20/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73385.64 +5.4bp
2026-03-16T18:17:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.81/10 Dn=0.20/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73388.00 +5.7bp
2026-03-16T18:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-164s | p=UP85% σ=0.25 | Up=0.87/247 Dn=0.14/102 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73389.52 +5.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-158s | p=UP87% σ=0.25 | Up=0.84/58 Dn=0.20/157 spd=0.04 | beat=73346.05 px=73390.89 +6.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.019 thr=0.070 margin=-0.051 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/73 Dn=0.17/68 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73391.52 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T18:17:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 T-152s | p=UP88% σ=0.24 | Up=0.85/20 Dn=0.16/51 spd=0.01 | beat=73346.05 px=73392.39 +6.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:17:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.80/5 Dn=0.22/8 spd=0.02 | beat=73346.05 px=73392.55 +6.3bp
2026-03-16T18:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:34 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T18:17:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:38 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773656100 | Up avg≈0.740 9.0shares limit=0.740 order=0x9ca072e5105a073e0e67d7983be821fa60534e06c32d2b5d63c8f88382f255f9
2026-03-16T18:17:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:17:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-41L 已实现PnL=$-8.22 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773656100 Up | 扫描=2738
2026-03-16T18:18:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:18:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-41L 已实现PnL=$-8.22 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773656100 Up | 扫描=2809
2026-03-16T18:19:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:19:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-41L 已实现PnL=$-8.22 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773656100 Up | 扫描=2880
2026-03-16T18:20:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:20:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-41L 已实现PnL=$-8.22 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773656100 Up | 扫描=2975
2026-03-16T18:21:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:21:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-41L 已实现PnL=$-8.22 | BTC5 trade=32 18W-13L WR=58.1% PnL=$-29.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773656100 Up | 扫描=3077
2026-03-16T18:21:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:21:59 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xf1c883aed43d3e
2026-03-16T18:21:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:21:59 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xf1c883aed43d3e 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T18:22:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:04    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x83b9e0749ff27001a62e7137c18c2cf0f867354d36d806f5770a1939077e9e18
2026-03-16T18:22:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:14 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773656100 outcome=Up tx=0x83b9e0749ff27001a62e7137c18c2cf0f867354d36d806f5770a1939077e9e18
2026-03-16T18:22:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | 进入决策窗口 T-165s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:22:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-165s | p=UP78% σ=0.29 | Up=0.81/50 Dn=0.20/104 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73370.42 +5.1bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.044 thr=0.070 margin=-0.114 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.81/50 Dn=0.20/104 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73370.42 +5.1bp
2026-03-16T18:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-159s | p=UP82% σ=0.30 | Up=0.88/161 Dn=0.13/265 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73378.14 +6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.88/14 Dn=0.13/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73395.41 +8.5bp
2026-03-16T18:22:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.007 thr=0.067 margin=-0.060 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.90/44 Dn=0.11/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73400.30 +9.2bp
2026-03-16T18:22:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-153s | p=UP92% σ=0.30 | Up=0.89/79 Dn=0.12/127 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73400.57 +9.2bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-148s | p=UP94% σ=0.30 | Up=0.94/212 Dn=0.07/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73407.35 +10.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.94/210 Dn=0.07/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73407.42 +10.1bp
2026-03-16T18:22:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-142s | p=UP97% σ=0.30 | Up=0.94/54 Dn=0.08/591 spd=0.02 | beat=73333.07 px=73422.63 +12.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656400 T-136s | p=UP98% σ=0.30 | Up=0.92/121 Dn=0.09/560 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73422.27 +12.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:22:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.020 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/121 Dn=0.09/560 spd=0.01 | beat=73333.07 px=73422.27 +12.2bp
2026-03-16T18:22:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:22:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.03 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.88 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3139
2026-03-16T18:23:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:23:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.03 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.88 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3242
2026-03-16T18:24:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:24:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.03 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.88 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3344
2026-03-16T18:25:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:42 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:42 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:43 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:44 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:45 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:46 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T18:25:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:47 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 18 个 token
2026-03-16T18:25:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:25:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.03 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.88 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3443
2026-03-16T18:26:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:26:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x2165473a0035f9
2026-03-16T18:26:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:26:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x2165473a0035f9 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T18:26:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:26:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.01 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 86W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.88 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3546
2026-03-16T18:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-179s | p=UP52% σ=0.33 | Up=0.53/348 Dn=0.48/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.31 +0.5bp | nb=6.6bp flip=0.01 | ↑5s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.53/348 Dn=0.48/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.31 +0.5bp
2026-03-16T18:27:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | 参考价格不足 (Chainlink RTDS / sigma)，跳过
2026-03-16T18:27:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.51/71 Dn=0.57/530 spd=0.08 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.58 +0.5bp
2026-03-16T18:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-174s | p=UP53% σ=0.33 | Up=0.48/155 Dn=0.53/55 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.55 +0.5bp | nb=6.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑8s ↓1s
2026-03-16T18:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.006 thr=0.070 margin=-0.076 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.54/116 Dn=0.47/153 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.14 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T18:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-169s | p=UP52% σ=0.33 | Up=0.55/36 Dn=0.46/22 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.07 +0.4bp | nb=6.6bp flip=0.03 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-16T18:27:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-163s | p=UP52% σ=0.32 | Up=0.54/67 Dn=0.48/269 spd=0.02 | beat=73451.96 px=73454.68 +0.4bp | nb=6.6bp flip=0.03 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T18:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.027 thr=0.070 margin=-0.043 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.58/47 Dn=0.43/69 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.03 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T18:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-157s | p=UP52% σ=0.32 | Up=0.58/10 Dn=0.43/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.03 +0.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:27:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.58/14 Dn=0.46/71 spd=0.04 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.18 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T18:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-151s | p=UP53% σ=0.31 | Up=0.55/18 Dn=0.46/69 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.27 +0.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:27:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.013 thr=0.070 margin=-0.083 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.53/114 Dn=0.48/441 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73455.98 +0.5bp
2026-03-16T18:27:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-146s | p=UP54% σ=0.31 | Up=0.56/42 Dn=0.45/238 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73456.41 +0.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:27:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773656700 T-140s | p=UP54% σ=0.31 | Up=0.56/28 Dn=0.45/144 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73456.76 +0.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.62/223 Dn=0.45/48 spd=0.07 | beat=73451.96 px=73456.56 +0.6bp
2026-03-16T18:27:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:27:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773656700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.059 thr=0.070 margin=-0.129 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.59/28 Dn=0.42/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.96 px=73456.63 +0.6bp
2026-03-16T18:28:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:28:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.65 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3627
2026-03-16T18:29:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:29:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.88 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3729
2026-03-16T18:30:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[106035]: 2026-03-16 18:30:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.88 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3829
2026-03-16T18:30:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopping polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot...
2026-03-16T18:30:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Deactivated successfully.
2026-03-16T18:30:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopped polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T18:30:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Consumed 3min 34.491s CPU time.
2026-03-16T18:30:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Started polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 gasless: RelayClient 初始化成功 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE auth=relayer_api_key signer=0xb9Fa...B54d funder=0x242C...5a36
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 builder attribution: 已配置 BuilderConfig
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ✅ ClobClient 原生初始化完成 | 钱包=0x242Cd7135180B30e38f86341249103867Ef15a36 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE | CLOB=builder | onchain=relay
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 gasless preflight: trading approvals ready | 6 项全部就绪
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 OrderBookWebSocketFeed 启动
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 Telegram 通知: 已启用 (chat_id=344102987)
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 🚀 Polymarket BTC 5m v11 fair value live bot | v11.1.0 (2026-03-15)
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┣━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 策略   raw -> adjust -> cal(identity) | window=135~180s | edge raw>0.030 net>0.070
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 配置   /root/polymarket-bot/configs/runtime/btc5m.conf | 已加载77项
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 参数   主链决策=53 (Market 15 + Entry 38) | 执行=13 | 历史兼容=8 | 提醒: 保持低维adjust，避免过度拟合
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 调整   distilled (gap=0.06, vol=0.04; clip=0.12/0.03) | cal=identity
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 风控   guard=near-beat/confirmation | ask=0.08~0.92 spread≤0.030
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 数据   ref=Chainlink RTDS btc/usd | sigma/tape=binance-perp(btcusdt) | sigma_lookback=300s
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 仓位   动态 Kelly on(q=0.25, floor=max(market,$2), cap=10%) | min_shares≥1
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 运行   shadow=off | poll=0.50s | user_ws=on | market_ws=on
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┃ 执行   recheck=1.0s | fill_timeout=12.0s | Chainlink BTC/USD
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 ┗━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 配置快照 /root/polymarket-bot/runtime_logs/v11/btc_5m_effective_config.json | 已写入
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 📡 价格流启动: binance-perp
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 UserOrderFeed 启动
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 MarketResolutionFeed 启动
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 📡 Chainlink RTDS 已连接 | symbol=btc/usd
2026-03-16T18:30:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:30:57 📡 binance-perp WS 已连接
2026-03-16T18:31:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:31:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 2 个 token
2026-03-16T18:31:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:31:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.88 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1
2026-03-16T18:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-180s | p=DN61% σ=0.30 | Up=0.43/279 Dn=0.58/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73432.72 -2.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.012 thr=0.070 margin=-0.058 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.43/279 Dn=0.58/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73432.72 -2.0bp
2026-03-16T18:32:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.88 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 无持仓 | 扫描=103
2026-03-16T18:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-174s | p=DN61% σ=0.30 | Up=0.42/732 Dn=0.59/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73432.72 -2.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.050 thr=0.070 margin=-0.020 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.31/109 Dn=0.70/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73431.56 -2.2bp
2026-03-16T18:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-169s | p=DN62% σ=0.30 | Up=0.30/49 Dn=0.71/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73431.56 -2.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:32:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-163s | p=DN69% σ=0.34 | Up=0.24/35 Dn=0.77/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73419.56 -3.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:32:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.24/35 Dn=0.77/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73419.56 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T18:32:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.125 thr=0.070 margin=-0.195 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/57 Dn=0.88/166 spd=0.02 | beat=73447.51 px=73407.75 -5.4bp
2026-03-16T18:32:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-157s | p=DN80% σ=0.34 | Up=0.17/17 Dn=0.88/114 spd=0.05 | beat=73447.51 px=73401.21 -6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:32:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-152s | p=DN88% σ=0.34 | Up=0.21/197 Dn=0.80/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73447.51 px=73383.05 -8.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T18:32:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.18/8 Dn=0.86/149 spd=0.04 | beat=73447.51 px=73382.76 -8.8bp
2026-03-16T18:32:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.17/5 Dn=0.89/164 spd=0.06 | beat=73447.51 px=73379.17 -9.3bp
2026-03-16T18:32:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-146s | p=DN90% σ=0.34 | Up=0.17/2 Dn=0.85/10 spd=0.02 | beat=73447.51 px=73378.56 -9.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-141s | p=DN90% σ=0.35 | Up=0.18/44 Dn=0.85/75 spd=0.03 | beat=73447.51 px=73377.95 -9.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.037 thr=0.067 margin=-0.030 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/44 Dn=0.85/75 spd=0.03 | beat=73447.51 px=73377.95 -9.5bp
2026-03-16T18:32:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.18/122 Dn=0.87/225 spd=0.05 | beat=73447.51 px=73377.95 -9.5bp
2026-03-16T18:32:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657000 T-136s | p=DN91% σ=0.35 | Up=0.14/122 Dn=0.88/40 spd=0.02 | beat=73447.51 px=73377.95 -9.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:32:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:32:46 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T18:33:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:33:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.32 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=183
2026-03-16T18:34:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:34:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.32 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=285
2026-03-16T18:35:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:35:02 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.32 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=386
2026-03-16T18:36:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:36:02 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.32 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=488
2026-03-16T18:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 T-180s | p=DN89% σ=0.33 | Up=0.20/136 Dn=0.81/57 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73237.42 -9.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.067 thr=0.067 margin=-0.000 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.20/136 Dn=0.81/57 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73237.42 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T18:37:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.21/183 Dn=0.80/4 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73236.01 -10.0bp
2026-03-16T18:37:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:02 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.31 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 87W-42L 已实现PnL=$-14.26 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=589
2026-03-16T18:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:06 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T18:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:06 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-16T18:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:06 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | Down limit=0.790 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-16T18:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T18:37:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:07 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 T-173s | p=DN91% σ=0.33 | Up=0.20/71 Dn=0.81/50 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73234.42 -10.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T18:37:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.066 thr=0.067 margin=-0.001 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/92 Dn=0.83/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73234.42 -10.2bp
2026-03-16T18:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.049 thr=0.067 margin=-0.018 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.17/58 Dn=0.84/98 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73237.52 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T18:37:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 T-167s | p=DN90% σ=0.33 | Up=0.18/49 Dn=0.84/723 spd=0.02 | beat=73309.40 px=73237.48 -9.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T18:37:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.20/10 Dn=0.81/4 spd=0.01 | beat=73309.40 px=73237.48 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T18:37:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:37:21 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773657300 | Down avg≈0.810 8.94671shares limit=0.810 order=0xed5803dbadf0cd5d54c2a4b22842d0b2f317d17f14eeb2055fabd4c0117c34ba
2026-03-16T18:38:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:38:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.12 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 88W-42L 已实现PnL=$-13.83 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773657300 Down | 扫描=651
2026-03-16T18:39:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:39:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.12 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 88W-42L 已实现PnL=$-13.83 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773657300 Down | 扫描=722
2026-03-16T18:40:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:40:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.12 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 88W-42L 已实现PnL=$-13.83 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773657300 Down | 扫描=788
2026-03-16T18:41:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:41:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.12 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 88W-42L 已实现PnL=$-13.83 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773657300 Down | 扫描=890
2026-03-16T18:41:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:41:54 txn 019cf63c-df8f-7bca-9c3d-8c50c7dbc991 failed onchain, transaction_hash: 0xaf6adce5b52ab803a64e2e970f370cce1e26569089901497486bb61eba376f3e!
2026-03-16T18:41:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:41:54    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0xaf6adce5b52ab803a64e2e970f370cce1e26569089901497486bb61eba376f3e
2026-03-16T18:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:25 redeem 已发出但持仓仍未清空 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773657300 tx=0xaf6adce5b52ab803a64e2e970f370cce1e26569089901497486bb61eba376f3e receipt=False
2026-03-16T18:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:25 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657600 | 进入决策窗口 T-155s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:25 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657600 T-155s | p=UP83% σ=0.21 | Up=0.80/237 Dn=0.21/279 spd=0.01 | beat=73237.49 px=73270.94 +4.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.018 thr=0.070 margin=-0.052 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.80/237 Dn=0.21/279 spd=0.01 | beat=73237.49 px=73270.94 +4.6bp
2026-03-16T18:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.27 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 89W-42L 已实现PnL=$-12.57 | BTC5 trade=33 18W-14L WR=56.2% PnL=$-36.18 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773657300 Down | 扫描=969
2026-03-16T18:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.83/8 Dn=0.21/156 spd=0.04 | beat=73237.49 px=73271.96 +4.7bp
2026-03-16T18:42:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657600 T-149s | p=UP85% σ=0.22 | Up=0.85/117 Dn=0.20/29 spd=0.05 | beat=73237.49 px=73274.18 +5.0bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:42:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657600 T-143s | p=UP93% σ=0.22 | Up=0.84/14 Dn=0.17/98 spd=0.01 | beat=73237.49 px=73288.50 +7.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:42:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/14 Dn=0.17/98 spd=0.01 | beat=73237.49 px=73288.53 +7.0bp
2026-03-16T18:42:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657600 T-138s | p=UP93% σ=0.23 | Up=0.89/14 Dn=0.13/4 spd=0.02 | beat=73237.49 px=73289.09 +7.0bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:42:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.027 thr=0.069 margin=-0.041 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.89/38 Dn=0.13/4 spd=0.02 | beat=73237.49 px=73289.18 +7.1bp
2026-03-16T18:42:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:50    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0xaa598a50c0a99a5a394f621eaae352a03445ab1de60432cef72b6a67e1d2e46f
2026-03-16T18:42:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:42:58 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773657300 outcome=Down tx=0xaa598a50c0a99a5a394f621eaae352a03445ab1de60432cef72b6a67e1d2e46f
2026-03-16T18:43:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:43:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.32 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 90W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.91 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1039
2026-03-16T18:44:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:44:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.32 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 90W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.91 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1140
2026-03-16T18:45:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:45:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.32 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 90W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.91 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1238
2026-03-16T18:46:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:46:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.32 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 90W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.91 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1341
2026-03-16T18:46:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:46:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x31606915671b12
2026-03-16T18:46:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:46:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x31606915671b12 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T18:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-180s | p=UP62% σ=0.30 | Up=0.80/118 Dn=0.22/32 spd=0.02 | beat=73253.98 px=73270.51 +2.3bp | nb=8.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=near_beat diff=2.3bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.80/118 Dn=0.22/32 spd=0.02 | beat=73253.98 px=73270.51 +2.3bp
2026-03-16T18:47:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.170 thr=0.070 margin=-0.240 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.80/43 Dn=0.21/4 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73271.51 +2.4bp
2026-03-16T18:47:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.80/12 Dn=0.23/105 spd=0.03 | beat=73253.98 px=73277.63 +3.2bp
2026-03-16T18:47:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-174s | p=UP76% σ=0.30 | Up=0.83/247 Dn=0.21/95 spd=0.04 | beat=73253.98 px=73289.64 +4.9bp | nb=8.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-168s | p=UP81% σ=0.30 | Up=0.82/103 Dn=0.19/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73298.12 +6.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.012 thr=0.070 margin=-0.082 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.82/55 Dn=0.19/19 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73299.66 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T18:47:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-163s | p=UP83% σ=0.30 | Up=0.83/247 Dn=0.19/34 spd=0.02 | beat=73253.98 px=73300.66 +6.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-157s | p=UP84% σ=0.30 | Up=0.84/484 Dn=0.17/39 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73301.49 +6.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.013 thr=0.069 margin=-0.083 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.84/78 Dn=0.17/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73301.55 +6.5bp
2026-03-16T18:47:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.08 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 91W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.24 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1431
2026-03-16T18:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-152s | p=UP86% σ=0.29 | Up=0.85/506 Dn=0.17/68 spd=0.02 | beat=73253.98 px=73303.74 +6.8bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/12 Dn=0.17/434 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73304.72 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T18:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-146s | p=UP87% σ=0.29 | Up=0.87/14 Dn=0.14/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73304.77 +6.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773657900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.013 thr=0.069 margin=-0.081 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.87/84 Dn=0.14/44 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73304.86 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T18:47:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:47:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773657900 T-141s | p=UP89% σ=0.29 | Up=0.90/292 Dn=0.11/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73253.98 px=73307.20 +7.3bp | nb=6.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:48:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:48:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.08 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 91W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.24 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1525
2026-03-16T18:49:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:49:28 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.08 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 91W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.24 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1629
2026-03-16T18:50:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:50:28 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.08 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 91W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.24 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1728
2026-03-16T18:51:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:51:28 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.08 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 91W-42L 已实现PnL=$-10.24 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1832
2026-03-16T18:51:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:51:53 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xf19c580043326d
2026-03-16T18:51:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:51:53 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xf19c580043326d 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T18:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-180s | p=UP78% σ=0.44 | Up=0.86/3 Dn=0.17/101 spd=0.03 | beat=73453.93 px=73513.44 +8.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.86/3 Dn=0.17/101 spd=0.03 | beat=73453.93 px=73513.44 +8.1bp
2026-03-16T18:52:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.064 thr=0.067 margin=-0.132 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.84/57 Dn=0.18/12 spd=0.02 | beat=73453.93 px=73513.80 +8.2bp
2026-03-16T18:52:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-174s | p=UP78% σ=0.44 | Up=0.81/231 Dn=0.20/127 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73513.80 +8.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-168s | p=UP77% σ=0.45 | Up=0.89/162 Dn=0.12/98 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73509.60 +7.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.120 thr=0.068 margin=-0.188 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_trend_accelerating | Up=0.89/214 Dn=0.12/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73509.60 +7.6bp
2026-03-16T18:52:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.93/1148 Dn=0.09/295 spd=0.02 | beat=73453.93 px=73509.60 +7.6bp
2026-03-16T18:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-162s | p=UP76% σ=0.48 | Up=0.94/807 Dn=0.07/247 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73509.60 +7.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-157s | p=UP83% σ=0.48 | Up=0.94/14 Dn=0.07/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73528.43 +10.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.93/138 Dn=0.08/183 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73529.87 +10.3bp
2026-03-16T18:52:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.090 thr=0.067 margin=-0.157 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.92/101 Dn=0.09/86 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73530.64 +10.4bp
2026-03-16T18:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-151s | p=UP84% σ=0.48 | Up=0.95/1011 Dn=0.06/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73531.00 +10.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1922
2026-03-16T18:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-146s | p=UP84% σ=0.48 | Up=0.95/360 Dn=0.06/103 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73530.04 +10.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:52:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.94/81 Dn=0.07/541 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73530.52 +10.4bp
2026-03-16T18:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:52:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658200 T-140s | p=UP85% σ=0.48 | Up=0.96/478 Dn=0.05/180 spd=0.01 | beat=73453.93 px=73530.27 +10.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:53:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:53:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2018
2026-03-16T18:54:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:54:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2122
2026-03-16T18:55:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:55:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2222
2026-03-16T18:56:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:56:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2325
2026-03-16T18:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T18:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-180s | p=UP83% σ=0.72 | Up=0.87/5 Dn=0.15/35 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.73 px=73689.78 +16.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.87/5 Dn=0.15/35 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.73 px=73689.78 +16.3bp
2026-03-16T18:57:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.069 thr=0.067 margin=-0.136 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.89/47 Dn=0.12/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73690.03 +16.4bp
2026-03-16T18:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-174s | p=UP83% σ=0.72 | Up=0.90/16 Dn=0.11/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73689.78 +16.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-169s | p=UP81% σ=0.73 | Up=0.96/1069 Dn=0.06/173 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.73 px=73678.53 +14.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.96/1069 Dn=0.06/173 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.73 px=73678.53 +14.8bp
2026-03-16T18:57:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-164s | p=UP82% σ=0.71 | Up=0.95/71 Dn=0.06/280 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73678.53 +14.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.95/14 Dn=0.06/56 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73704.15 +18.3bp
2026-03-16T18:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-158s | p=UP88% σ=0.71 | Up=0.97/435 Dn=0.04/429 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73705.73 +18.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-153s | p=UP88% σ=0.73 | Up=0.98/3027 Dn=0.04/447 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.73 px=73710.90 +19.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.98/612 Dn=0.03/1832 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73711.51 +19.3bp
2026-03-16T18:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=78.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2412
2026-03-16T18:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-148s | p=UP89% σ=0.73 | Up=0.98/416 Dn=0.03/1749 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73711.51 +19.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-142s | p=UP93% σ=0.73 | Up=0.98/96 Dn=0.03/391 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73736.65 +22.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:57:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.98/661 Dn=0.03/434 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73737.51 +22.8bp
2026-03-16T18:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:57:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658500 T-137s | p=UP93% σ=0.73 | Up=0.98/811 Dn=0.03/137 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.73 px=73737.00 +22.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T18:58:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:58:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.73 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2508
2026-03-16T18:59:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 18:59:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=77.36 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2611
2026-03-16T19:00:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:00:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=77.36 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2710
2026-03-16T19:01:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:01:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=77.36 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2813
2026-03-16T19:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-180s | p=DN76% σ=0.48 | Up=0.10/12 Dn=0.91/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73727.45 -8.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.10/12 Dn=0.91/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73727.45 -8.1bp
2026-03-16T19:02:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-174s | p=DN77% σ=0.49 | Up=0.07/152 Dn=0.94/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73725.70 -8.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.12/18 Dn=0.89/3 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73717.54 -9.4bp
2026-03-16T19:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-168s | p=DN81% σ=0.46 | Up=0.11/17 Dn=0.92/22 spd=0.03 | beat=73787.10 px=73717.46 -9.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.113 thr=0.067 margin=-0.180 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.11/17 Dn=0.92/22 spd=0.03 | beat=73787.10 px=73717.46 -9.4bp
2026-03-16T19:02:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-163s | p=DN82% σ=0.46 | Up=0.15/89 Dn=0.86/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73716.40 -9.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:02:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.098 thr=0.067 margin=-0.165 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.15/10 Dn=0.87/206 spd=0.02 | beat=73787.10 px=73722.14 -8.8bp
2026-03-16T19:02:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-157s | p=DN77% σ=0.51 | Up=0.15/8 Dn=0.86/157 spd=0.01 | beat=73787.10 px=73725.45 -8.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:02:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.24/11 Dn=0.83/69 spd=0.07 | beat=73787.10 px=73727.29 -8.1bp
2026-03-16T19:02:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-152s | p=DN77% σ=0.49 | Up=0.25/67 Dn=0.84/17 spd=0.09 | beat=73787.10 px=73728.08 -8.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-16T19:02:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:29 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T19:02:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:29 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T19:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=near_beat diff=1.6bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.27/100 Dn=0.75/81 spd=0.02 | beat=73787.10 px=73775.39 -1.6bp
2026-03-16T19:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=77.36 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2900
2026-03-16T19:02:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-147s | p=UP53% σ=0.49 | Up=0.31/63 Dn=0.74/71 spd=0.05 | beat=73787.10 px=73792.79 +0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T19:02:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.180 thr=0.070 margin=-0.250 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/19 Dn=0.66/61 spd=0.02 | beat=73787.10 px=73792.84 +0.8bp
2026-03-16T19:02:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773658800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.39/41 Dn=0.66/61 spd=0.05 | beat=73787.10 px=73793.31 +0.8bp
2026-03-16T19:02:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-141s | p=UP53% σ=0.49 | Up=0.40/53 Dn=0.67/43 spd=0.07 | beat=73787.10 px=73793.72 +0.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T19:02:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:02:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773658800 T-135s | p=UP53% σ=0.49 | Up=0.42/137 Dn=0.69/4 spd=0.11 | beat=73787.10 px=73792.28 +0.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-16T19:03:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:03:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=75.86 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-42L 已实现PnL=$-9.56 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2998
2026-03-16T19:04:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:04:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.45 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3102
2026-03-16T19:05:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:05:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.45 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3201
2026-03-16T19:06:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:06:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.45 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3304
2026-03-16T19:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-180s | p=DN57% σ=0.41 | Up=0.36/71 Dn=0.65/133 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73715.11 -1.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.052 thr=0.070 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/71 Dn=0.65/133 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73715.11 -1.8bp
2026-03-16T19:07:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-174s | p=DN59% σ=0.41 | Up=0.37/45 Dn=0.64/136 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73711.86 -2.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.36/41 Dn=0.68/44 spd=0.04 | beat=73728.05 px=73711.22 -2.3bp
2026-03-16T19:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.067 thr=0.070 margin=-0.003 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/72 Dn=0.69/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73711.22 -2.3bp
2026-03-16T19:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-168s | p=DN60% σ=0.41 | Up=0.39/294 Dn=0.63/30 spd=0.02 | beat=73728.05 px=73711.22 -2.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-163s | p=DN60% σ=0.40 | Up=0.33/120 Dn=0.68/70 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73710.43 -2.4bp | nb=6.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.016 thr=0.070 margin=-0.086 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.37/72 Dn=0.65/58 spd=0.02 | beat=73728.05 px=73706.48 -2.9bp
2026-03-16T19:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:22 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x79c0f2f581050e
2026-03-16T19:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:22 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x79c0f2f581050e 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-157s | p=DN66% σ=0.34 | Up=0.37/86 Dn=0.64/419 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73705.80 -3.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.37/144 Dn=0.64/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73706.28 -3.0bp
2026-03-16T19:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-152s | p=DN66% σ=0.34 | Up=0.37/136 Dn=0.65/41 spd=0.02 | beat=73728.05 px=73706.28 -3.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.018 thr=0.070 margin=-0.088 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/21 Dn=0.66/462 spd=0.02 | beat=73728.05 px=73707.09 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:07:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-146s | p=DN65% σ=0.32 | Up=0.38/20 Dn=0.63/52 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73707.79 -2.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:07:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=76.45 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3390
2026-03-16T19:07:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.41/123 Dn=0.63/427 spd=0.04 | beat=73728.05 px=73708.20 -2.7bp
2026-03-16T19:07:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-141s | p=DN65% σ=0.33 | Up=0.46/13 Dn=0.55/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73708.17 -2.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:07:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=near_beat diff=2.7bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.46/13 Dn=0.55/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73708.17 -2.7bp
2026-03-16T19:07:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.058 thr=0.070 margin=-0.012 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.44/66 Dn=0.57/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.05 px=73708.35 -2.7bp
2026-03-16T19:07:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:07:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659100 T-135s | p=DN59% σ=0.33 | Up=0.41/9 Dn=0.62/12 spd=0.03 | beat=73728.05 px=73717.17 -1.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:08:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:08:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.55 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3488
2026-03-16T19:09:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:09:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.55 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3592
2026-03-16T19:10:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:10:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.55 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3690
2026-03-16T19:11:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:11:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=73.55 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-10.46 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3792
2026-03-16T19:11:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:11:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x98226261c40bbc
2026-03-16T19:11:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:11:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x98226261c40bbc 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-180s | p=UP74% σ=0.27 | Up=0.54/1059 Dn=0.47/208 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73697.58 +4.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=near_beat diff=4.1bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.54/1059 Dn=0.47/208 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73697.58 +4.1bp
2026-03-16T19:12:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.62/57 Dn=0.42/42 spd=0.04 | beat=73667.34 px=73698.54 +4.2bp
2026-03-16T19:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-175s | p=UP75% σ=0.27 | Up=0.54/3 Dn=0.47/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73698.68 +4.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-169s | p=UP75% σ=0.28 | Up=0.45/47 Dn=0.59/132 spd=0.04 | beat=73667.34 px=73699.58 +4.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=near_beat diff=4.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.46/38 Dn=0.56/25 spd=0.02 | beat=73667.34 px=73699.58 +4.4bp
2026-03-16T19:12:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.42/12 Dn=0.59/41 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73699.58 +4.4bp
2026-03-16T19:12:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-163s | p=UP69% σ=0.28 | Up=0.42/22 Dn=0.59/24 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73689.98 +3.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-158s | p=UP63% σ=0.27 | Up=0.37/185 Dn=0.65/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73667.34 px=73681.58 +1.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=near_beat diff=1.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.37/185 Dn=0.65/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73667.34 px=73681.58 +1.9bp
2026-03-16T19:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.47/70 Dn=0.58/176 spd=0.05 | beat=73667.34 px=73679.68 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:12:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.181 thr=0.070 margin=-0.251 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.44/10 Dn=0.57/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73679.66 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:12:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-152s | p=UP61% σ=0.27 | Up=0.46/10 Dn=0.57/101 spd=0.03 | beat=73667.34 px=73679.32 +1.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=near_beat diff=1.6bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.39/149 Dn=0.62/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73679.32 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T19:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-146s | p=UP61% σ=0.26 | Up=0.38/167 Dn=0.63/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73679.32 +1.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-43L 已实现PnL=$-3.08 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3878
2026-03-16T19:12:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.251 thr=0.070 margin=-0.321 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/17 Dn=0.61/266 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73682.07 +2.0bp
2026-03-16T19:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-141s | p=UP64% σ=0.26 | Up=0.40/11 Dn=0.61/234 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73682.15 +2.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:12:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.44/37 Dn=0.60/2 spd=0.04 | beat=73667.34 px=73682.94 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T19:12:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659400 | rej=near_beat diff=2.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.44/27 Dn=0.59/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73667.34 px=73683.42 +2.2bp
2026-03-16T19:12:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:12:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659400 T-136s | p=UP66% σ=0.26 | Up=0.42/14 Dn=0.59/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73667.34 px=73683.48 +2.2bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:13:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:13:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-44L 已实现PnL=$-11.84 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3975
2026-03-16T19:14:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:14:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-44L 已实现PnL=$-11.84 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4077
2026-03-16T19:15:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:15:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-44L 已实现PnL=$-11.84 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4172
2026-03-16T19:16:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:16:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-44L 已实现PnL=$-11.84 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4275
2026-03-16T19:16:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:16:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x474d7901f12e6d
2026-03-16T19:16:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:16:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x474d7901f12e6d 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-180s | p=DN52% σ=0.25 | Up=0.40/223 Dn=0.61/75 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73615.39 -0.3bp | nb=6.5bp flip=0.04 | ↑2s ↓8s
2026-03-16T19:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.059 thr=0.070 margin=-0.011 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/223 Dn=0.61/75 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73615.39 -0.3bp
2026-03-16T19:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-175s | p=UP53% σ=0.26 | Up=0.45/2507 Dn=0.56/55 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73620.87 +0.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T19:17:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=near_beat diff=0.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.45/1628 Dn=0.56/277 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73623.46 +0.8bp
2026-03-16T19:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-169s | p=UP59% σ=0.25 | Up=0.45/1012 Dn=0.56/262 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73627.04 +1.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.46/8 Dn=0.55/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73639.16 +2.9bp
2026-03-16T19:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-164s | p=UP73% σ=0.25 | Up=0.49/16 Dn=0.52/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73643.83 +3.6bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=near_beat diff=4.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=6.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.51/33 Dn=0.52/3 spd=0.03 | beat=73617.64 px=73647.01 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T19:17:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-158s | p=UP77% σ=0.25 | Up=0.45/2 Dn=0.57/24 spd=0.02 | beat=73617.64 px=73648.79 +4.2bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.05 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.42/34 Dn=0.64/28 spd=0.06 | beat=73617.64 px=73653.03 +4.8bp
2026-03-16T19:17:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-152s | p=UP80% σ=0.26 | Up=0.39/13 Dn=0.65/8 spd=0.04 | beat=73617.64 px=73653.03 +4.8bp | nb=6.8bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-147s | p=UP81% σ=0.26 | Up=0.46/21 Dn=0.58/112 spd=0.04 | beat=73617.64 px=73653.55 +4.9bp | nb=7.2bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.46/1 Dn=0.58/112 spd=0.04 | beat=73617.64 px=73653.55 +4.9bp
2026-03-16T19:17:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.51 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4361
2026-03-16T19:17:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-141s | p=UP83% σ=0.26 | Up=0.48/24 Dn=0.53/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73655.86 +5.2bp | nb=7.2bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=near_beat diff=5.2bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.48/24 Dn=0.53/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73617.64 px=73655.86 +5.2bp
2026-03-16T19:17:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773659700 T-136s | p=UP85% σ=0.26 | Up=0.52/26 Dn=0.53/40 spd=0.05 | beat=73617.64 px=73659.60 +5.7bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:17:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:17:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773659700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.52/26 Dn=0.53/40 spd=0.05 | beat=73617.64 px=73659.60 +5.7bp
2026-03-16T19:18:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:18:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4462
2026-03-16T19:19:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:19:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4567
2026-03-16T19:20:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:20:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4666
2026-03-16T19:21:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:21:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.06 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4771
2026-03-16T19:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-180s | p=DN98% σ=0.27 | Up=0.05/306 Dn=0.96/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73630.03 -13.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/306 Dn=0.96/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73630.03 -13.3bp
2026-03-16T19:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-174s | p=DN98% σ=0.26 | Up=0.04/57 Dn=0.97/572 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73632.85 -13.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:22:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.04/172 Dn=0.97/441 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73629.45 -13.4bp
2026-03-16T19:22:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-167s | p=DN99% σ=0.26 | Up=0.04/202 Dn=0.97/254 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73629.23 -13.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:22:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-162s | p=DN99% σ=0.26 | Up=0.03/270 Dn=0.98/5244 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73628.74 -13.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:22:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:20 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xbd07dc96716bed
2026-03-16T19:22:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:20 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xbd07dc96716bed 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:22:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.03/132 Dn=0.98/5136 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73627.99 -13.6bp
2026-03-16T19:22:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:24 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-156s | p=DN99% σ=0.26 | Up=0.03/417 Dn=0.98/4809 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73627.99 -13.6bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:22:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-151s | p=DN99% σ=0.26 | Up=0.03/38 Dn=0.98/4704 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73625.93 -13.9bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:22:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.03/45 Dn=0.98/4794 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73625.38 -14.0bp
2026-03-16T19:22:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-145s | p=DN100% σ=0.26 | Up=0.03/105 Dn=0.98/4712 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73621.54 -14.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:22:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.05 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 92W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.94 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4853
2026-03-16T19:22:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660000 T-140s | p=DN100% σ=0.26 | Up=0.04/37 Dn=0.97/139 spd=0.01 | beat=73728.35 px=73621.84 -14.4bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:22:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:22:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/112 Dn=0.97/290 spd=0.02 | beat=73728.35 px=73621.85 -14.4bp
2026-03-16T19:23:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:23:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.05 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4954
2026-03-16T19:24:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:24:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.05 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5058
2026-03-16T19:25:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:25:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.05 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5157
2026-03-16T19:26:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:26:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=72.05 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5258
2026-03-16T19:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-180s | p=UP82% σ=0.35 | Up=0.84/55 Dn=0.17/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73663.64 +7.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.033 thr=0.068 margin=-0.100 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.84/55 Dn=0.17/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73663.64 +7.7bp
2026-03-16T19:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-175s | p=UP81% σ=0.35 | Up=0.84/85 Dn=0.19/70 spd=0.03 | beat=73607.21 px=73660.70 +7.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.82/18 Dn=0.19/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73657.89 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T19:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-170s | p=UP79% σ=0.35 | Up=0.82/23 Dn=0.22/91 spd=0.04 | beat=73607.21 px=73654.41 +6.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.053 thr=0.070 margin=-0.123 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.82/45 Dn=0.19/215 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73652.69 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T19:27:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-164s | p=UP75% σ=0.35 | Up=0.80/58 Dn=0.22/51 spd=0.02 | beat=73607.21 px=73646.96 +5.4bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-159s | p=UP74% σ=0.35 | Up=0.79/25 Dn=0.24/16 spd=0.03 | beat=73607.21 px=73644.07 +5.0bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.79/10 Dn=0.22/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73643.73 +5.0bp
2026-03-16T19:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.076 thr=0.070 margin=-0.146 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.81/45 Dn=0.22/119 spd=0.03 | beat=73607.21 px=73643.73 +5.0bp
2026-03-16T19:27:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-154s | p=UP74% σ=0.35 | Up=0.83/50 Dn=0.18/277 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73643.73 +5.0bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-149s | p=UP77% σ=0.35 | Up=0.83/60 Dn=0.19/24 spd=0.02 | beat=73607.21 px=73647.81 +5.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.063 thr=0.070 margin=-0.133 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.83/84 Dn=0.18/110 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73648.09 +5.6bp
2026-03-16T19:27:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.98/165 Dn=0.06/240 spd=0.04 | beat=73607.21 px=73647.53 +5.5bp
2026-03-16T19:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-144s | p=UP76% σ=0.35 | Up=0.96/71 Dn=0.05/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73607.21 px=73645.87 +5.3bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5339
2026-03-16T19:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660300 T-138s | p=UP74% σ=0.36 | Up=0.96/152 Dn=0.06/38 spd=0.02 | beat=73607.21 px=73643.36 +4.9bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:27:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:27:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:价差大 | Up=0.95/25 Dn=0.09/206 spd=0.04 | beat=73607.21 px=73643.19 +4.9bp
2026-03-16T19:28:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:28:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5436
2026-03-16T19:29:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:29:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5536
2026-03-16T19:30:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:30:40 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5633
2026-03-16T19:31:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:31:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-45L 已实现PnL=$-15.40 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5737
2026-03-16T19:31:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:31:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xf6d6a34d974bea
2026-03-16T19:31:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:31:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xf6d6a34d974bea 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-180s | p=DN69% σ=0.24 | Up=0.39/49 Dn=0.63/45 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73540.33 -2.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.040 thr=0.070 margin=-0.030 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/49 Dn=0.63/45 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73540.33 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.43/200 Dn=0.58/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73540.35 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=near_beat diff=2.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.43/236 Dn=0.58/89 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73540.35 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-175s | p=DN70% σ=0.23 | Up=0.43/233 Dn=0.58/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73540.36 -2.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.016 thr=0.070 margin=-0.054 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/4 Dn=0.64/35 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.82 -2.5bp
2026-03-16T19:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-169s | p=DN68% σ=0.23 | Up=0.38/166 Dn=0.63/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.82 -2.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-163s | p=DN68% σ=0.23 | Up=0.37/7 Dn=0.64/317 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.80 -2.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:32:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:19 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.35/89 Dn=0.67/12 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.61 -2.5bp
2026-03-16T19:32:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.081 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.34/411 Dn=0.68/86 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.58 -2.5bp
2026-03-16T19:32:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-158s | p=DN69% σ=0.23 | Up=0.34/386 Dn=0.69/186 spd=0.03 | beat=73561.09 px=73542.45 -2.5bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:32:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-152s | p=DN73% σ=0.23 | Up=0.32/38 Dn=0.69/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73538.01 -3.1bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:32:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.051 thr=0.070 margin=-0.019 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.31/207 Dn=0.70/240 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.23 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-146s | p=DN77% σ=0.23 | Up=0.31/17 Dn=0.70/214 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.23 -3.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:32:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=near_beat diff=3.8bp<thr=6.0bp (base=6.0) | Up=0.33/310 Dn=0.68/95 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.17 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.32/172 Dn=0.69/3 spd=0.01 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.31 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T19:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-140s | p=DN80% σ=0.22 | Up=0.32/182 Dn=0.70/250 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.47 -3.8bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:32:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5820
2026-03-16T19:32:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:32:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660600 T-135s | p=DN80% σ=0.22 | Up=0.34/224 Dn=0.68/128 spd=0.02 | beat=73561.09 px=73533.93 -3.7bp | nb=6.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:33:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:33:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.56 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5922
2026-03-16T19:34:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:34:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.16 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=6026
2026-03-16T19:35:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[121357]: 2026-03-16 19:35:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.16 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=6126
2026-03-16T19:35:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopping polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot...
2026-03-16T19:35:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Deactivated successfully.
2026-03-16T19:35:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopped polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T19:35:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Consumed 5min 12.015s CPU time.
2026-03-16T19:35:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Started polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 gasless: RelayClient 初始化成功 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE auth=relayer_api_key signer=0xb9Fa...B54d funder=0x242C...5a36
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 builder attribution: 已配置 BuilderConfig
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ✅ ClobClient 原生初始化完成 | 钱包=0x242Cd7135180B30e38f86341249103867Ef15a36 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE | CLOB=builder | onchain=relay
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 gasless preflight: trading approvals ready | 6 项全部就绪
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 OrderBookWebSocketFeed 启动
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 Telegram 通知: 已启用 (chat_id=344102987)
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 🚀 Polymarket BTC 5m v11 fair value live bot | v11.1.0 (2026-03-15)
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┣━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 策略   raw -> adjust -> cal(identity) | window=135~180s | edge raw>0.030 net>0.070
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 配置   /root/polymarket-bot/configs/runtime/btc5m.conf | 已加载77项
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 参数   主链决策=53 (Market 15 + Entry 38) | 执行=13 | 历史兼容=8 | 提醒: 保持低维adjust，避免过度拟合
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 调整   distilled (gap=0.06, vol=0.04; clip=0.12/0.03) | cal=identity
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 风控   guard=near-beat/confirmation | ask=0.08~0.92 spread≤0.030
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 数据   ref=Chainlink RTDS btc/usd | sigma/tape=binance-perp(btcusdt) | sigma_lookback=300s
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 仓位   动态 Kelly on(q=0.25, floor=max(market,$2), cap=10%) | min_shares≥1
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 运行   shadow=off | poll=0.50s | user_ws=on | market_ws=on
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┃ 执行   recheck=1.0s | fill_timeout=12.0s | Chainlink BTC/USD
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 ┗━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 配置快照 /root/polymarket-bot/runtime_logs/v11/btc_5m_effective_config.json | 已写入
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 📡 价格流启动: binance-perp
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 UserOrderFeed 启动
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 MarketResolutionFeed 启动
2026-03-16T19:35:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:54 📡 Chainlink RTDS 已连接 | symbol=btc/usd
2026-03-16T19:35:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:55 📡 binance-perp WS 已连接
2026-03-16T19:35:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:57 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T19:35:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:57 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 2 个 token
2026-03-16T19:35:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:35:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.16 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1
2026-03-16T19:36:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:36:55 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x09258fcbc40f66
2026-03-16T19:36:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:36:55 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x09258fcbc40f66 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:36:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:36:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.16 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 93W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.89 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=104
2026-03-16T19:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-179s | p=DN71% σ=0.22 | Up=0.40/105 Dn=0.61/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73582.33 -2.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=near_beat diff=2.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.40/105 Dn=0.61/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73582.33 -2.9bp
2026-03-16T19:37:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.054 thr=0.070 margin=-0.016 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/149 Dn=0.63/173 spd=0.02 | beat=73603.41 px=73582.61 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:37:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.36/13 Dn=0.66/17 spd=0.02 | beat=73603.41 px=73582.89 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T19:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-174s | p=DN71% σ=0.22 | Up=0.35/287 Dn=0.66/55 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73582.83 -2.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:37:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-168s | p=DN73% σ=0.24 | Up=0.31/136 Dn=0.70/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73578.81 -3.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.25/42 Dn=0.81/39 spd=0.06 | beat=73603.41 px=73571.38 -4.4bp
2026-03-16T19:37:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.023 thr=0.070 margin=-0.093 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.21/14 Dn=0.81/68 spd=0.02 | beat=73603.41 px=73570.53 -4.5bp
2026-03-16T19:37:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-163s | p=DN81% σ=0.23 | Up=0.21/14 Dn=0.81/68 spd=0.02 | beat=73603.41 px=73568.55 -4.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-157s | p=DN91% σ=0.23 | Up=0.19/55 Dn=0.83/48 spd=0.02 | beat=73603.41 px=73552.09 -7.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.060 thr=0.070 margin=-0.010 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.17/18 Dn=0.84/81 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73552.00 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T19:37:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-151s | p=DN91% σ=0.24 | Up=0.30/13 Dn=0.74/18 spd=0.04 | beat=73603.41 px=73552.00 -7.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.30/13 Dn=0.74/18 spd=0.04 | beat=73603.41 px=73552.00 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T19:37:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=near_beat diff=7.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.22/102 Dn=0.79/389 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73551.98 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T19:37:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-146s | p=DN91% σ=0.24 | Up=0.39/246 Dn=0.69/19 spd=0.08 | beat=73603.41 px=73552.26 -6.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T19:37:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.43/66 Dn=0.63/30 spd=0.06 | beat=73603.41 px=73557.80 -6.2bp
2026-03-16T19:37:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773660900 T-140s | p=DN89% σ=0.24 | Up=0.44/117 Dn=0.60/10 spd=0.04 | beat=73603.41 px=73557.99 -6.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T19:37:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773660900 | rej=near_beat diff=6.1bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.44/106 Dn=0.57/227 spd=0.01 | beat=73603.41 px=73558.36 -6.1bp
2026-03-16T19:37:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:37:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.31 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=186
2026-03-16T19:38:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:38:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.31 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=290
2026-03-16T19:39:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:39:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.31 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=393
2026-03-16T19:40:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:40:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.31 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=489
2026-03-16T19:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-46L 已实现PnL=$-17.31 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=591
2026-03-16T19:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:42:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:01 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-179s | p=UP64% σ=0.28 | Up=0.33/1 Dn=0.68/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73635.76 +2.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.33/1 Dn=0.68/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73635.76 +2.3bp
2026-03-16T19:42:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=near_beat diff=2.3bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.29/44 Dn=0.72/113 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73635.49 +2.3bp
2026-03-16T19:42:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.358 thr=0.070 margin=-0.428 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.28/13 Dn=0.73/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73634.96 +2.2bp
2026-03-16T19:42:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-174s | p=UP62% σ=0.29 | Up=0.38/35 Dn=0.63/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73633.97 +2.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-168s | p=UP58% σ=0.27 | Up=0.40/118 Dn=0.61/140 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73627.86 +1.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=near_beat diff=1.3bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.40/118 Dn=0.61/140 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73627.86 +1.3bp
2026-03-16T19:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.169 thr=0.070 margin=-0.239 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.43/13 Dn=0.59/81 spd=0.02 | beat=73618.54 px=73627.53 +1.2bp
2026-03-16T19:42:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.42/81 Dn=0.62/87 spd=0.04 | beat=73618.54 px=73626.86 +1.1bp
2026-03-16T19:42:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-162s | p=UP57% σ=0.28 | Up=0.45/1747 Dn=0.56/56 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73627.12 +1.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=near_beat diff=1.4bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.45/1482 Dn=0.56/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73628.95 +1.4bp
2026-03-16T19:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-156s | p=UP59% σ=0.28 | Up=0.43/59 Dn=0.62/182 spd=0.05 | beat=73618.54 px=73628.97 +1.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.254 thr=0.070 margin=-0.324 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/14 Dn=0.62/168 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73633.66 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T19:42:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-151s | p=UP63% σ=0.27 | Up=0.38/47 Dn=0.63/0 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73633.72 +2.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=near_beat diff=2.1bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.39/46 Dn=0.63/9 spd=0.02 | beat=73618.54 px=73633.72 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T19:42:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-145s | p=UP63% σ=0.27 | Up=0.39/172 Dn=0.63/13 spd=0.02 | beat=73618.54 px=73633.27 +2.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.45/1186 Dn=0.60/45 spd=0.05 | beat=73618.54 px=73630.92 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:42:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661200 T-140s | p=UP61% σ=0.27 | Up=0.45/1230 Dn=0.56/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73630.58 +1.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:42:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:42:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661200 | rej=near_beat diff=1.1bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.44/145 Dn=0.57/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73618.54 px=73626.97 +1.1bp
2026-03-16T19:43:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:43:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=671
2026-03-16T19:44:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:44:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=775
2026-03-16T19:45:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:45:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=877
2026-03-16T19:46:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:46:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=980
2026-03-16T19:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-179s | p=UP74% σ=0.23 | Up=0.34/18 Dn=0.67/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73651.47 +3.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.34/18 Dn=0.67/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73651.47 +3.4bp
2026-03-16T19:47:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=near_beat diff=3.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.36/31 Dn=0.65/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73651.47 +3.4bp
2026-03-16T19:47:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1082
2026-03-16T19:47:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-174s | p=UP72% σ=0.23 | Up=0.38/3 Dn=0.65/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73626.11 px=73649.31 +3.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-168s | p=UP72% σ=0.23 | Up=0.27/19 Dn=0.75/152 spd=0.02 | beat=73626.11 px=73649.08 +3.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.27/19 Dn=0.75/152 spd=0.02 | beat=73626.11 px=73649.08 +3.1bp
2026-03-16T19:47:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=near_beat diff=2.4bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.40/20 Dn=0.63/486 spd=0.03 | beat=73626.11 px=73643.92 +2.4bp
2026-03-16T19:47:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.294 thr=0.070 margin=-0.364 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/7 Dn=0.63/105 spd=0.02 | beat=73626.11 px=73642.53 +2.2bp
2026-03-16T19:47:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-163s | p=UP67% σ=0.23 | Up=0.38/17 Dn=0.63/76 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73642.42 +2.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-157s | p=UP57% σ=0.23 | Up=0.38/21 Dn=0.66/52 spd=0.04 | beat=73626.11 px=73632.64 +0.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.38/21 Dn=0.66/52 spd=0.04 | beat=73626.11 px=73632.64 +0.9bp
2026-03-16T19:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-151s | p=UP56% σ=0.23 | Up=0.37/1871 Dn=0.72/182 spd=0.09 | beat=73626.11 px=73631.26 +0.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓1s
2026-03-16T19:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=near_beat diff=0.7bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.34/341 Dn=0.68/37 spd=0.02 | beat=73626.11 px=73631.07 +0.7bp
2026-03-16T19:47:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.241 thr=0.070 margin=-0.311 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/2 Dn=0.69/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73630.85 +0.6bp
2026-03-16T19:47:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.32/8 Dn=0.69/1 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73628.11 +0.3bp
2026-03-16T19:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-146s | p=UP52% σ=0.23 | Up=0.34/398 Dn=0.69/12 spd=0.03 | beat=73626.11 px=73628.05 +0.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓1s
2026-03-16T19:47:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661500 T-140s | p=UP52% σ=0.23 | Up=0.33/22 Dn=0.70/20 spd=0.03 | beat=73626.11 px=73627.99 +0.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:47:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:47:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661500 | rej=near_beat diff=0.3bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.32/47 Dn=0.69/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73626.11 px=73628.11 +0.3bp
2026-03-16T19:48:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:48:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.07 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1165
2026-03-16T19:48:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:48:06 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T19:48:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:48:06 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T19:49:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:49:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=63.55 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1269
2026-03-16T19:50:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:50:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=63.55 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1368
2026-03-16T19:51:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:51:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=63.55 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 94W-47L 已实现PnL=$-20.39 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1472
2026-03-16T19:51:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:51:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x11c2ad016bfffa
2026-03-16T19:51:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:51:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x11c2ad016bfffa 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T19:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-180s | p=UP64% σ=0.20 | Up=0.71/184 Dn=0.31/126 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73607.75 +1.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.036 thr=0.070 margin=-0.034 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.71/184 Dn=0.31/126 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73607.75 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1574
2026-03-16T19:52:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-174s | p=UP64% σ=0.20 | Up=0.67/16 Dn=0.35/252 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73608.03 +1.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.66/5 Dn=0.35/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73608.00 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-168s | p=UP63% σ=0.20 | Up=0.64/37 Dn=0.37/95 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73607.10 +1.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.64/37 Dn=0.37/95 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73607.10 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T19:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-163s | p=UP58% σ=0.20 | Up=0.69/4 Dn=0.33/286 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73601.82 +0.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=near_beat diff=0.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.69/4 Dn=0.33/286 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73601.82 +0.9bp
2026-03-16T19:52:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:19 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.67/15 Dn=0.37/121 spd=0.04 | beat=73595.47 px=73601.75 +0.9bp
2026-03-16T19:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.066 thr=0.070 margin=-0.004 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.70/5 Dn=0.33/41 spd=0.03 | beat=73595.47 px=73602.34 +0.9bp
2026-03-16T19:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-157s | p=UP59% σ=0.20 | Up=0.67/70 Dn=0.37/12 spd=0.04 | beat=73595.47 px=73602.53 +1.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-151s | p=UP68% σ=0.20 | Up=0.57/77 Dn=0.51/10 spd=0.08 | beat=73595.47 px=73610.56 +2.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=near_beat diff=2.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.55/464 Dn=0.47/13 spd=0.02 | beat=73595.47 px=73610.56 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T19:52:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.52/12 Dn=0.55/2 spd=0.07 | beat=73595.47 px=73610.62 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T19:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-146s | p=UP68% σ=0.20 | Up=0.48/90 Dn=0.53/30 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73610.10 +2.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.069 thr=0.070 margin=-0.001 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.56/24 Dn=0.45/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73607.80 +1.7bp
2026-03-16T19:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773661800 T-140s | p=UP64% σ=0.20 | Up=0.52/10 Dn=0.51/10 spd=0.03 | beat=73595.47 px=73606.52 +1.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.59/372 Dn=0.57/77 spd=0.16 | beat=73595.47 px=73605.98 +1.4bp
2026-03-16T19:52:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:52:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773661800 | rej=near_beat diff=1.4bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.50/126 Dn=0.51/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73595.47 px=73605.44 +1.4bp
2026-03-16T19:53:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:53:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1659
2026-03-16T19:54:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:54:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1758
2026-03-16T19:55:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:55:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1856
2026-03-16T19:56:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:56:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1958
2026-03-16T19:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T19:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-180s | p=UP52% σ=0.36 | Up=0.60/133 Dn=0.41/2357 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73597.13 +0.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.048 thr=0.070 margin=-0.022 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.60/133 Dn=0.41/2357 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73597.13 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T19:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-174s | p=UP52% σ=0.36 | Up=0.60/324 Dn=0.41/1656 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73597.07 +0.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:57:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2057
2026-03-16T19:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-169s | p=UP52% σ=0.36 | Up=0.60/64 Dn=0.41/710 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73596.95 +0.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.049 thr=0.070 margin=-0.021 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.60/64 Dn=0.41/710 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73596.95 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T19:57:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-164s | p=UP51% σ=0.36 | Up=0.58/23 Dn=0.43/246 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.99 +0.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓1s
2026-03-16T19:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.60/12 Dn=0.41/19 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.78 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T19:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-158s | p=UP51% σ=0.36 | Up=0.60/96 Dn=0.41/83 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.53 +0.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T19:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.057 thr=0.070 margin=-0.013 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.60/96 Dn=0.41/83 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.53 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T19:57:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-152s | p=UP51% σ=0.36 | Up=0.59/205 Dn=0.42/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.22 +0.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓1s
2026-03-16T19:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.050 thr=0.070 margin=-0.020 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.59/148 Dn=0.42/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.07 +0.2bp
2026-03-16T19:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-146s | p=UP51% σ=0.35 | Up=0.59/827 Dn=0.42/57 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73595.07 +0.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:57:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662100 T-141s | p=UP51% σ=0.35 | Up=0.57/17 Dn=0.44/208 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73594.72 +0.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T19:57:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:57:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.052 thr=0.070 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.59/501 Dn=0.42/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73593.94 px=73594.68 +0.1bp
2026-03-16T19:58:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:58:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.54 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2141
2026-03-16T19:59:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 19:59:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.43 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2244
2026-03-16T20:00:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:00:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.43 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2341
2026-03-16T20:01:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:01:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.43 usdc.e | traded=110 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2442
2026-03-16T20:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662400 T-180s | p=UP95% σ=0.20 | Up=0.86/252 Dn=0.15/121 spd=0.01 | beat=73557.15 px=73615.83 +8.0bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:02:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:02:02 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T20:02:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:02:09 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773662400 | Up avg≈0.860 7.0shares limit=0.860 order=0xa396361a38fa671726b2b1ea999b02c0dab38c0be46fddb8af928759fa13fab8
2026-03-16T20:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:02:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.98 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 95W-47L 已实现PnL=$-19.92 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2529
2026-03-16T20:03:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:03:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=60.91 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 96W-47L 已实现PnL=$-18.10 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773662400 Up | 扫描=2607
2026-03-16T20:04:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:04:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=60.91 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 96W-47L 已实现PnL=$-18.10 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773662400 Up | 扫描=2679
2026-03-16T20:05:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:05:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=60.91 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 96W-47L 已实现PnL=$-18.10 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773662400 Up | 扫描=2752
2026-03-16T20:06:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=60.91 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 96W-47L 已实现PnL=$-18.10 | BTC5 trade=34 19W-14L WR=57.6% PnL=$-34.52 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773662400 Up | 扫描=2855
2026-03-16T20:06:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x936550afe83d15
2026-03-16T20:06:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x936550afe83d15 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T20:06:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xfd0de5d2bc04b3
2026-03-16T20:06:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xfd0de5d2bc04b3 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T20:06:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:06:58    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x4d2bfc2882e4973a72ad0774c4abdcd06eecfc082d9dbb2b1b99fbad8c45c11c
2026-03-16T20:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:10 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773662400 outcome=Up tx=0x4d2bfc2882e4973a72ad0774c4abdcd06eecfc082d9dbb2b1b99fbad8c45c11c
2026-03-16T20:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | 进入决策窗口 T-169s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-169s | p=DN81% σ=0.61 | Up=0.25/276 Dn=0.78/10 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73539.89 -12.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.25/276 Dn=0.78/10 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73539.89 -12.4bp
2026-03-16T20:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=71.69 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-47L 已实现PnL=$-15.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2929
2026-03-16T20:07:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.017 thr=0.067 margin=-0.084 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/8 Dn=0.81/114 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73539.46 -12.5bp
2026-03-16T20:07:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-164s | p=DN81% σ=0.62 | Up=0.24/274 Dn=0.83/69 spd=0.07 | beat=73631.41 px=73538.98 -12.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-159s | p=DN82% σ=0.62 | Up=0.16/13 Dn=0.87/63 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73537.08 -12.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.17/255 Dn=0.88/285 spd=0.05 | beat=73631.41 px=73533.24 -13.3bp
2026-03-16T20:07:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-153s | p=DN88% σ=0.63 | Up=0.14/136 Dn=0.87/1 spd=0.01 | beat=73631.41 px=73509.96 -16.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.013 thr=0.067 margin=-0.080 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/30 Dn=0.89/41 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73507.66 -16.8bp
2026-03-16T20:07:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-147s | p=DN90% σ=0.63 | Up=0.09/16 Dn=0.93/238 spd=0.02 | beat=73631.41 px=73505.45 -17.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.09/30 Dn=0.93/230 spd=0.02 | beat=73631.41 px=73505.45 -17.1bp
2026-03-16T20:07:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-141s | p=DN90% σ=0.63 | Up=0.12/53 Dn=0.95/459 spd=0.07 | beat=73631.41 px=73505.45 -17.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.021 thr=0.067 margin=-0.088 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/14 Dn=0.91/60 spd=0.03 | beat=73631.41 px=73505.45 -17.1bp
2026-03-16T20:07:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773662700 T-136s | p=DN90% σ=0.63 | Up=0.08/12 Dn=0.94/1 spd=0.02 | beat=73631.41 px=73509.37 -16.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:07:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:07:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773662700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/12 Dn=0.94/1 spd=0.02 | beat=73631.41 px=73509.37 -16.6bp
2026-03-16T20:08:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:08:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.22 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-47L 已实现PnL=$-15.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3017
2026-03-16T20:09:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:09:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-47L 已实现PnL=$-15.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3121
2026-03-16T20:10:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:10:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-47L 已实现PnL=$-15.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3219
2026-03-16T20:11:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:11:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-47L 已实现PnL=$-15.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=3323
2026-03-16T20:11:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:11:53 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x4cde73a9241a8c
2026-03-16T20:11:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:11:53 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x4cde73a9241a8c 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T20:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-180s | p=DN90% σ=0.44 | Up=0.11/451 Dn=0.93/330 spd=0.04 | beat=73599.25 px=73498.39 -13.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.11/451 Dn=0.93/330 spd=0.04 | beat=73599.25 px=73498.39 -13.7bp
2026-03-16T20:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-175s | p=DN90% σ=0.45 | Up=0.08/42 Dn=0.93/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73498.39 -13.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:12:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.07/76 Dn=0.95/1366 spd=0.02 | beat=73599.25 px=73487.97 -15.1bp
2026-03-16T20:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-169s | p=DN93% σ=0.45 | Up=0.06/135 Dn=0.95/1484 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73484.44 -15.6bp | nb=7.3bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:12:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3420
2026-03-16T20:12:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-164s | p=DN94% σ=0.44 | Up=0.06/192 Dn=0.95/1188 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73482.90 -15.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:12:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.07/256 Dn=0.94/123 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73483.09 -15.8bp
2026-03-16T20:12:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-158s | p=DN95% σ=0.44 | Up=0.07/256 Dn=0.94/123 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73483.17 -15.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:12:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-152s | p=DN94% σ=0.46 | Up=0.07/12 Dn=0.94/105 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73486.23 -15.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:12:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.013 thr=0.067 margin=-0.080 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/359 Dn=0.91/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73504.72 -12.8bp
2026-03-16T20:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-147s | p=DN85% σ=0.45 | Up=0.10/281 Dn=0.91/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73525.00 -10.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:12:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-141s | p=DN85% σ=0.45 | Up=0.13/14 Dn=0.88/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73526.02 -10.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:12:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.040 thr=0.067 margin=-0.107 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/1154 Dn=0.88/110 spd=0.02 | beat=73599.25 px=73527.41 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T20:12:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:12:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663000 T-136s | p=DN85% σ=0.44 | Up=0.14/1035 Dn=0.87/81 spd=0.01 | beat=73599.25 px=73528.09 -9.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:13:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:13:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3509
2026-03-16T20:14:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:14:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3613
2026-03-16T20:15:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:15:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3713
2026-03-16T20:16:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:16:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3817
2026-03-16T20:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-180s | p=DN90% σ=0.40 | Up=0.13/1228 Dn=0.88/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73514.40 -12.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.011 thr=0.067 margin=-0.056 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.13/1228 Dn=0.88/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73514.40 -12.3bp
2026-03-16T20:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-174s | p=DN88% σ=0.40 | Up=0.13/436 Dn=0.88/278 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.58 -10.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:17:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.13/303 Dn=0.92/305 spd=0.05 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.60 -10.9bp
2026-03-16T20:17:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-168s | p=DN88% σ=0.40 | Up=0.13/211 Dn=0.90/12 spd=0.03 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.63 -10.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:17:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.043 thr=0.067 margin=-0.110 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/94 Dn=0.92/301 spd=0.02 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.72 -10.9bp
2026-03-16T20:17:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3913
2026-03-16T20:17:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-162s | p=DN89% σ=0.39 | Up=0.09/82 Dn=0.93/246 spd=0.02 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.58 -10.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:17:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.09/82 Dn=0.93/246 spd=0.02 | beat=73604.61 px=73524.58 -10.9bp
2026-03-16T20:17:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-156s | p=DN92% σ=0.37 | Up=0.08/1 Dn=0.93/65 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73518.38 -11.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:17:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/299 Dn=0.94/16 spd=0.02 | beat=73604.61 px=73506.37 -13.3bp
2026-03-16T20:17:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-151s | p=DN95% σ=0.37 | Up=0.08/222 Dn=0.94/25 spd=0.02 | beat=73604.61 px=73505.37 -13.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-145s | p=DN97% σ=0.37 | Up=0.06/215 Dn=0.95/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73499.97 -14.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:17:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/481 Dn=0.96/419 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73494.59 -14.9bp
2026-03-16T20:17:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:17:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663300 T-139s | p=DN98% σ=0.36 | Up=0.05/526 Dn=0.96/285 spd=0.01 | beat=73604.61 px=73494.42 -15.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:18:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:18:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4001
2026-03-16T20:19:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:19:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4103
2026-03-16T20:20:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:20:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4201
2026-03-16T20:21:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:21:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4302
2026-03-16T20:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-180s | p=DN76% σ=0.55 | Up=0.31/42 Dn=0.75/40 spd=0.06 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.47 -9.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.08 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.31/42 Dn=0.75/40 spd=0.06 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.47 -9.3bp
2026-03-16T20:22:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-175s | p=DN76% σ=0.55 | Up=0.26/53 Dn=0.79/6 spd=0.05 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.35 -9.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.07 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.34/184 Dn=0.70/9 spd=0.04 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.27 -9.3bp
2026-03-16T20:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-169s | p=DN77% σ=0.55 | Up=0.32/121 Dn=0.69/38 spd=0.01 | beat=73699.88 px=73630.92 -9.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.050 thr=0.067 margin=-0.018 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/121 Dn=0.69/38 spd=0.01 | beat=73699.88 px=73630.92 -9.4bp
2026-03-16T20:22:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-163s | p=DN77% σ=0.55 | Up=0.24/124 Dn=0.79/6 spd=0.03 | beat=73699.88 px=73630.39 -9.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4394
2026-03-16T20:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.25/68 Dn=0.81/3 spd=0.06 | beat=73699.88 px=73630.39 -9.4bp
2026-03-16T20:22:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-157s | p=DN78% σ=0.55 | Up=0.26/145 Dn=0.84/54 spd=0.10 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.29 -9.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.075 thr=0.068 margin=-0.142 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/172 Dn=0.84/24 spd=0.02 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.50 -9.3bp
2026-03-16T20:22:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-152s | p=DN78% σ=0.55 | Up=0.22/583 Dn=0.80/8 spd=0.04 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.64 -9.3bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:29 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T20:22:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:29 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T20:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.18/25 Dn=0.87/89 spd=0.05 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.83 -9.2bp
2026-03-16T20:22:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-147s | p=DN78% σ=0.55 | Up=0.18/19 Dn=0.83/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.75 -9.2bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:22:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.057 thr=0.068 margin=-0.124 Up:contrarian_trend_accelerating Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.19/462 Dn=0.83/22 spd=0.02 | beat=73699.88 px=73631.65 -9.3bp
2026-03-16T20:22:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-141s | p=DN79% σ=0.55 | Up=0.10/29 Dn=0.93/337 spd=0.03 | beat=73699.88 px=73630.89 -9.4bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:22:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.14/301 Dn=0.87/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73699.88 px=73617.40 -11.2bp
2026-03-16T20:22:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:22:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663600 T-135s | p=DN84% σ=0.56 | Up=0.08/66 Dn=0.93/88 spd=0.01 | beat=73699.88 px=73616.89 -11.3bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:23:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:23:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=69.73 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4483
2026-03-16T20:24:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:24:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.01 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4585
2026-03-16T20:25:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:25:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.01 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4683
2026-03-16T20:26:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:26:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.01 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4786
2026-03-16T20:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-180s | p=UP60% σ=0.66 | Up=0.52/20 Dn=0.49/143 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73808.63 +4.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑7s ↓3s
2026-03-16T20:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.047 thr=0.070 margin=-0.023 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.52/20 Dn=0.49/143 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73808.63 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T20:27:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.58/20 Dn=0.49/3 spd=0.07 | beat=73779.28 px=73808.63 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T20:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-175s | p=UP50% σ=0.66 | Up=0.56/1 Dn=0.45/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73779.50 +0.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-16T20:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-169s | p=DN50% σ=0.66 | Up=0.51/59 Dn=0.50/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73778.03 -0.2bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.04 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.51/59 Dn=0.50/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73778.03 -0.2bp
2026-03-16T20:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-164s | p=DN50% σ=0.71 | Up=0.64/70 Dn=0.40/117 spd=0.04 | beat=73779.28 px=73778.35 -0.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.64/70 Dn=0.40/117 spd=0.04 | beat=73779.28 px=73778.35 -0.1bp
2026-03-16T20:27:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=near_beat diff=0.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.68/62 Dn=0.35/131 spd=0.03 | beat=73779.28 px=73778.35 -0.1bp
2026-03-16T20:27:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=70.00 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4878
2026-03-16T20:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-158s | p=UP61% σ=0.73 | Up=0.66/5 Dn=0.35/61 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73813.94 +4.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T20:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.030 thr=0.070 margin=-0.040 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.66/5 Dn=0.35/61 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73813.94 +4.7bp
2026-03-16T20:27:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.73/414 Dn=0.31/9 spd=0.04 | beat=73779.28 px=73828.10 +6.6bp
2026-03-16T20:27:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-152s | p=UP68% σ=0.74 | Up=0.75/181 Dn=0.31/9 spd=0.06 | beat=73779.28 px=73835.84 +7.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:27:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-146s | p=UP70% σ=0.74 | Up=0.79/139 Dn=0.26/16 spd=0.05 | beat=73779.28 px=73839.12 +8.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:27:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.037 thr=0.069 margin=-0.106 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.70/38 Dn=0.31/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73779.28 px=73834.97 +7.5bp
2026-03-16T20:27:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773663900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.70/5 Dn=0.32/177 spd=0.02 | beat=73779.28 px=73834.13 +7.4bp
2026-03-16T20:27:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-141s | p=UP68% σ=0.73 | Up=0.71/46 Dn=0.31/40 spd=0.02 | beat=73779.28 px=73833.87 +7.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:27:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:27:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773663900 T-136s | p=UP68% σ=0.73 | Up=0.73/6 Dn=0.35/363 spd=0.08 | beat=73779.28 px=73832.97 +7.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:28:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:28:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=70.00 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4968
2026-03-16T20:29:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:29:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.78 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5069
2026-03-16T20:30:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:30:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.78 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5163
2026-03-16T20:31:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:31:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=68.78 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5265
2026-03-16T20:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-179s | p=DN57% σ=0.81 | Up=0.38/45 Dn=0.63/283 spd=0.01 | beat=73888.02 px=73863.88 -3.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑2s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.044 thr=0.070 margin=-0.026 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/45 Dn=0.63/283 spd=0.01 | beat=73888.02 px=73863.88 -3.3bp
2026-03-16T20:32:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.42/196 Dn=0.62/8 spd=0.04 | beat=73888.02 px=73863.88 -3.3bp
2026-03-16T20:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-174s | p=UP52% σ=0.85 | Up=0.46/88 Dn=0.55/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73888.02 px=73896.76 +1.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T20:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.025 thr=0.070 margin=-0.045 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.50/283 Dn=0.52/120 spd=0.02 | beat=73888.02 px=73907.96 +2.7bp
2026-03-16T20:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-169s | p=UP61% σ=0.81 | Up=0.50/269 Dn=0.52/110 spd=0.02 | beat=73888.02 px=73924.72 +5.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.53/305 Dn=0.56/234 spd=0.09 | beat=73888.02 px=73938.96 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.53/208 Dn=0.56/128 spd=0.09 | beat=73888.02 px=73938.96 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=near_beat diff=6.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.42/20 Dn=0.59/24 spd=0.01 | beat=73888.02 px=73938.96 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-163s | p=UP64% σ=0.81 | Up=0.42/0 Dn=0.59/19 spd=0.01 | beat=73888.02 px=73936.65 +6.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.044 thr=0.070 margin=-0.026 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.57/38 Dn=0.45/10 spd=0.02 | beat=73888.02 px=73938.96 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5355
2026-03-16T20:32:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-158s | p=UP65% σ=0.81 | Up=0.55/69 Dn=0.47/16 spd=0.02 | beat=73888.02 px=73938.96 +6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.66/43 Dn=0.43/79 spd=0.09 | beat=73888.02 px=73951.96 +8.7bp
2026-03-16T20:32:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-152s | p=UP74% σ=0.81 | Up=0.69/280 Dn=0.40/5 spd=0.09 | beat=73888.02 px=73974.48 +11.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-146s | p=UP78% σ=0.82 | Up=0.70/117 Dn=0.46/139 spd=0.16 | beat=73888.02 px=73989.08 +13.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.70/112 Dn=0.46/35 spd=0.16 | beat=73888.02 px=73989.08 +13.7bp
2026-03-16T20:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.70/112 Dn=0.46/28 spd=0.16 | beat=73888.02 px=73990.71 +13.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.014 thr=0.067 margin=-0.081 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.78/67 Dn=0.25/60 spd=0.03 | beat=73888.02 px=73990.71 +13.9bp
2026-03-16T20:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-140s | p=UP80% σ=0.82 | Up=0.80/475 Dn=0.27/10 spd=0.07 | beat=73888.02 px=73997.18 +14.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:32:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:32:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664200 T-135s | p=UP84% σ=0.83 | Up=0.80/168 Dn=0.26/14 spd=0.06 | beat=73888.02 px=74011.78 +16.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:33:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:33:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5445
2026-03-16T20:34:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:34:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5548
2026-03-16T20:35:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:35:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5644
2026-03-16T20:36:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:36:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-48L 已实现PnL=$-16.77 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5745
2026-03-16T20:36:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:36:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x8d0284d041be97
2026-03-16T20:36:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:36:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x8d0284d041be97 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T20:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-180s | p=DN82% σ=0.65 | Up=0.17/76 Dn=0.84/117 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73808.12 -14.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.029 thr=0.067 margin=-0.096 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.17/76 Dn=0.84/117 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73808.12 -14.2bp
2026-03-16T20:37:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.25/4 Dn=0.79/8 spd=0.04 | beat=73912.87 px=73808.00 -14.2bp
2026-03-16T20:37:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-174s | p=DN84% σ=0.61 | Up=0.25/14 Dn=0.78/45 spd=0.03 | beat=73912.87 px=73808.02 -14.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-169s | p=DN83% σ=0.61 | Up=0.26/29 Dn=0.75/76 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73813.95 -13.4bp | nb=7.2bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.060 thr=0.067 margin=-0.007 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.26/29 Dn=0.75/76 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73813.95 -13.4bp
2026-03-16T20:37:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_edge_below_threshold Down:量不足 | Up=0.26/84 Dn=0.76/3 spd=0.02 | beat=73912.87 px=73822.95 -12.2bp
2026-03-16T20:37:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-164s | p=DN82% σ=0.58 | Up=0.25/2 Dn=0.76/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73823.63 -12.1bp | nb=7.2bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-159s | p=DN82% σ=0.58 | Up=0.24/10 Dn=0.77/152 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73824.15 -12.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.035 thr=0.067 margin=-0.032 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.24/10 Dn=0.77/152 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73824.15 -12.0bp
2026-03-16T20:37:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5834
2026-03-16T20:37:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-154s | p=DN84% σ=0.58 | Up=0.24/107 Dn=0.77/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73820.69 -12.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.24/107 Dn=0.77/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.87 px=73820.69 -12.5bp
2026-03-16T20:37:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-149s | p=DN85% σ=0.57 | Up=0.19/80 Dn=0.82/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73912.87 px=73819.01 -12.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.006 thr=0.067 margin=-0.061 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/24 Dn=0.84/101 spd=0.02 | beat=73912.87 px=73816.59 -13.0bp
2026-03-16T20:37:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-144s | p=DN88% σ=0.57 | Up=0.22/15 Dn=0.80/33 spd=0.02 | beat=73912.87 px=73808.31 -14.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:37:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.18/115 Dn=0.86/6 spd=0.04 | beat=73912.87 px=73807.51 -14.3bp
2026-03-16T20:37:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:37:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664500 T-138s | p=DN91% σ=0.56 | Up=0.19/156 Dn=0.83/574 spd=0.02 | beat=73912.87 px=73798.79 -15.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:38:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:38:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5923
2026-03-16T20:39:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:39:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6025
2026-03-16T20:40:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:40:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6122
2026-03-16T20:41:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:41:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6225
2026-03-16T20:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-180s | p=UP63% σ=0.35 | Up=0.59/431 Dn=0.43/329 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73834.27 +2.7bp | nb=7.1bp flip=0.04 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.055 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.59/431 Dn=0.43/329 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73834.27 +2.7bp
2026-03-16T20:42:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-174s | p=UP63% σ=0.35 | Up=0.62/258 Dn=0.39/337 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73834.99 +2.8bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-169s | p=UP66% σ=0.35 | Up=0.64/271 Dn=0.38/229 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73839.01 +3.3bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.003 thr=0.070 margin=-0.073 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.64/271 Dn=0.38/229 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73839.01 +3.3bp
2026-03-16T20:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.63/17 Dn=0.38/557 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.06 +4.1bp
2026-03-16T20:42:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-164s | p=UP70% σ=0.36 | Up=0.67/61 Dn=0.34/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.50 +4.2bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-158s | p=UP70% σ=0.36 | Up=0.63/7 Dn=0.38/167 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.35 +4.2bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.061 thr=0.070 margin=-0.009 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.61/45 Dn=0.41/31 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.35 +4.2bp
2026-03-16T20:42:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6314
2026-03-16T20:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.64/151 Dn=0.40/120 spd=0.04 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.35 +4.2bp
2026-03-16T20:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-153s | p=UP71% σ=0.34 | Up=0.68/12 Dn=0.35/127 spd=0.03 | beat=73814.47 px=73845.58 +4.2bp | nb=8.5bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-147s | p=UP77% σ=0.34 | Up=0.69/50 Dn=0.33/6 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73853.51 +5.3bp | nb=7.4bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.061 thr=0.070 margin=-0.009 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/54 Dn=0.33/44 spd=0.02 | beat=73814.47 px=73853.88 +5.3bp
2026-03-16T20:42:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.69/7 Dn=0.32/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73853.51 +5.3bp
2026-03-16T20:42:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-142s | p=UP77% σ=0.33 | Up=0.70/24 Dn=0.31/71 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73853.51 +5.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773664800 T-136s | p=UP78% σ=0.33 | Up=0.68/32 Dn=0.33/160 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73852.88 +5.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:42:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:42:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773664800 | rej=near_beat diff=5.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.68/32 Dn=0.33/160 spd=0.01 | beat=73814.47 px=73852.88 +5.2bp
2026-03-16T20:43:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:43:13 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T20:43:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:43:13 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T20:43:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:43:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6407
2026-03-16T20:44:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:44:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6511
2026-03-16T20:45:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:45:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6608
2026-03-16T20:46:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:46:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6708
2026-03-16T20:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-179s | p=UP57% σ=0.37 | Up=0.56/181 Dn=0.45/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73824.13 +1.6bp | nb=8.7bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.081 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.56/181 Dn=0.45/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73824.13 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T20:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-174s | p=UP57% σ=0.37 | Up=0.55/117 Dn=0.47/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.32 px=73823.45 +1.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:47:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.57/190 Dn=0.47/91 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.32 px=73823.32 +1.5bp
2026-03-16T20:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-169s | p=UP54% σ=0.37 | Up=0.52/311 Dn=0.49/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73818.23 +0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.078 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.52/311 Dn=0.49/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73818.23 +0.8bp
2026-03-16T20:47:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-163s | p=UP53% σ=0.37 | Up=0.47/257 Dn=0.54/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73816.71 +0.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T20:47:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.022 thr=0.070 margin=-0.048 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.45/543 Dn=0.58/20 spd=0.03 | beat=73812.32 px=73810.43 -0.3bp
2026-03-16T20:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-157s | p=DN51% σ=0.37 | Up=0.45/548 Dn=0.59/11 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.32 px=73810.43 -0.3bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.45/548 Dn=0.59/11 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.32 px=73810.43 -0.3bp
2026-03-16T20:47:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6797
2026-03-16T20:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-152s | p=DN57% σ=0.37 | Up=0.38/20 Dn=0.66/15 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.32 px=73801.86 -1.4bp | nb=8.7bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T20:47:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.002 thr=0.070 margin=-0.072 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.35/69 Dn=0.66/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73790.14 -3.0bp
2026-03-16T20:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-146s | p=DN66% σ=0.37 | Up=0.35/116 Dn=0.66/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73787.35 -3.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.35/116 Dn=0.66/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.32 px=73787.35 -3.4bp
2026-03-16T20:47:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665100 T-140s | p=DN75% σ=0.37 | Up=0.35/39 Dn=0.67/13 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.32 px=73774.04 -5.2bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:47:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:47:45 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.37/69 Dn=0.75/344 spd=0.12 | beat=73812.32 px=73769.67 -5.8bp
2026-03-16T20:48:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:48:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6890
2026-03-16T20:49:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:49:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6993
2026-03-16T20:50:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:50:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7090
2026-03-16T20:51:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:51:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7192
2026-03-16T20:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-180s | p=DN65% σ=0.27 | Up=0.52/77 Dn=0.53/1 spd=0.05 | beat=73784.61 px=73767.00 -2.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.52/77 Dn=0.53/1 spd=0.05 | beat=73784.61 px=73767.00 -2.4bp
2026-03-16T20:52:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=near_beat diff=2.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.52/67 Dn=0.49/32 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73767.05 -2.4bp
2026-03-16T20:52:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.058 thr=0.070 margin=-0.012 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.45/12 Dn=0.56/334 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73767.52 -2.3bp
2026-03-16T20:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-175s | p=DN52% σ=0.27 | Up=0.50/128 Dn=0.53/3 spd=0.03 | beat=73784.61 px=73782.56 -0.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T20:52:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-169s | p=DN52% σ=0.27 | Up=0.42/489 Dn=0.59/153 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73782.52 -0.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T20:52:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.007 thr=0.070 margin=-0.077 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.48/137 Dn=0.53/149 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73779.80 -0.7bp
2026-03-16T20:52:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.55/1 Dn=0.47/6 spd=0.02 | beat=73784.61 px=73777.21 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T20:52:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.56/639 Dn=0.45/69 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73777.21 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T20:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-163s | p=DN56% σ=0.29 | Up=0.59/35 Dn=0.46/85 spd=0.05 | beat=73784.61 px=73776.94 -1.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓7s
2026-03-16T20:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-157s | p=UP60% σ=0.28 | Up=0.57/10 Dn=0.44/65 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73796.42 +1.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T20:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.055 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.64/209 Dn=0.37/101 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73796.42 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T20:52:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.38 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7280
2026-03-16T20:52:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-152s | p=UP62% σ=0.31 | Up=0.66/28 Dn=0.35/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73799.60 +2.0bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.71/64 Dn=0.33/2 spd=0.04 | beat=73784.61 px=73798.79 +1.9bp
2026-03-16T20:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-146s | p=UP62% σ=0.31 | Up=0.61/42 Dn=0.40/215 spd=0.01 | beat=73784.61 px=73799.19 +2.0bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.012 thr=0.070 margin=-0.082 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.61/122 Dn=0.41/352 spd=0.02 | beat=73784.61 px=73800.02 +2.1bp
2026-03-16T20:52:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665400 T-141s | p=UP67% σ=0.31 | Up=0.61/5 Dn=0.41/30 spd=0.02 | beat=73784.61 px=73806.56 +3.0bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:52:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:52:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.61/5 Dn=0.41/30 spd=0.02 | beat=73784.61 px=73806.56 +3.0bp
2026-03-16T20:53:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:53:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.82 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=7371
2026-03-16T20:54:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:54:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.82 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=7471
2026-03-16T20:55:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:55:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.82 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=7571
2026-03-16T20:56:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:56:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.82 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-49L 已实现PnL=$-18.17 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=7674
2026-03-16T20:56:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:56:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x3288ca4150d8a1
2026-03-16T20:56:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:56:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x3288ca4150d8a1 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T20:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T20:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-180s | p=UP77% σ=0.29 | Up=0.78/15 Dn=0.23/99 spd=0.01 | beat=73793.23 px=73830.28 +5.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.78/15 Dn=0.23/99 spd=0.01 | beat=73793.23 px=73830.28 +5.0bp
2026-03-16T20:57:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.078 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.78/46 Dn=0.23/200 spd=0.01 | beat=73793.23 px=73832.71 +5.4bp
2026-03-16T20:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-175s | p=UP81% σ=0.29 | Up=0.81/275 Dn=0.21/37 spd=0.02 | beat=73793.23 px=73837.62 +6.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-169s | p=UP84% σ=0.27 | Up=0.83/34 Dn=0.20/49 spd=0.03 | beat=73793.23 px=73838.48 +6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.85/67 Dn=0.19/4 spd=0.04 | beat=73793.23 px=73838.94 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T20:57:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.081 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.87/316 Dn=0.14/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73793.23 px=73845.05 +7.0bp
2026-03-16T20:57:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-163s | p=UP92% σ=0.27 | Up=0.89/530 Dn=0.14/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73793.23 px=73858.29 +8.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-158s | p=UP96% σ=0.27 | Up=0.92/66 Dn=0.13/68 spd=0.05 | beat=73793.23 px=73869.88 +10.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.92/66 Dn=0.13/68 spd=0.05 | beat=73793.23 px=73869.88 +10.4bp
2026-03-16T20:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:32 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-16T20:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:32 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | Up limit=0.890 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-16T20:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T20:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=65.82 usdc.e | traded=111 | 今日 98W-50L 已实现PnL=$-19.73 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7763
2026-03-16T20:57:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 T-146s | p=UP99% σ=0.23 | Up=0.91/569 Dn=0.12/37 spd=0.03 | beat=73793.23 px=73875.51 +11.2bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T20:57:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:40 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T20:57:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:41 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x379f154da7da51138655c501eb965057514d89903fcd4948159a665e0446f536 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T20:57:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:41 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x379f154da7da51138655c501eb965057514d89903fcd4948159a665e0446f536，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-16T20:57:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:57:45 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773665700 | Up avg≈0.910 7.0shares limit=0.910 order=0x379f154da7da51138655c501eb965057514d89903fcd4948159a665e0446f536
2026-03-16T20:58:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:58:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 98W-50L 已实现PnL=$-19.73 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773665700 Up | 扫描=7825
2026-03-16T20:59:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 20:59:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 98W-50L 已实现PnL=$-19.73 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773665700 Up | 扫描=7896
2026-03-16T21:00:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:00:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 98W-50L 已实现PnL=$-19.73 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773665700 Up | 扫描=7982
2026-03-16T21:01:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:01:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 98W-50L 已实现PnL=$-19.73 | BTC5 trade=35 20W-14L WR=58.8% PnL=$-32.97 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773665700 Up | 扫描=8086
2026-03-16T21:01:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:01:54 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x7e304006f1f967
2026-03-16T21:01:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:01:54 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x7e304006f1f967 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:01:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:01:55 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xd943f247d30921
2026-03-16T21:01:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:01:55 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xd943f247d30921 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:02:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:02    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x32f4adcd3bb24209f03c3925aa3cb62a090ffa7fd7550f1c9deaee789e06cc07
2026-03-16T21:02:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:14 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773665700 outcome=Up tx=0x32f4adcd3bb24209f03c3925aa3cb62a090ffa7fd7550f1c9deaee789e06cc07
2026-03-16T21:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:20 查询官方 market 结果未收敛到二值 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773665700 outcome=Up
2026-03-16T21:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | 进入决策窗口 T-159s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 T-159s | p=UP61% σ=0.25 | Up=0.55/20 Dn=0.54/212 spd=0.09 | beat=73871.96 px=73883.85 +1.6bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.55/20 Dn=0.54/212 spd=0.09 | beat=73871.96 px=73883.85 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T21:02:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.012 thr=0.070 margin=-0.058 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.58/198 Dn=0.43/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73871.96 px=73884.05 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T21:02:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 T-154s | p=UP62% σ=0.25 | Up=0.53/4 Dn=0.48/110 spd=0.01 | beat=73871.96 px=73884.47 +1.7bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:02:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | rej=near_beat diff=4.6bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.61/326 Dn=0.42/81 spd=0.03 | beat=73871.96 px=73905.65 +4.6bp
2026-03-16T21:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.65/96 Dn=0.41/122 spd=0.06 | beat=73871.96 px=73906.81 +4.7bp
2026-03-16T21:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 T-148s | p=UP81% σ=0.24 | Up=0.67/82 Dn=0.39/80 spd=0.06 | beat=73871.96 px=73906.77 +4.7bp | nb=8.2bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:02:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=67.49 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 100W-50L 已实现PnL=$-18.65 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8141
2026-03-16T21:02:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 T-143s | p=UP81% σ=0.26 | Up=0.69/82 Dn=0.34/30 spd=0.03 | beat=73871.96 px=73906.85 +4.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.68/6 Dn=0.41/350 spd=0.09 | beat=73871.96 px=73906.90 +4.7bp
2026-03-16T21:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:02:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666000 T-137s | p=UP81% σ=0.26 | Up=0.70/181 Dn=0.40/100 spd=0.10 | beat=73871.96 px=73907.01 +4.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:03:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:03:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=63.39 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 100W-50L 已实现PnL=$-18.65 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8239
2026-03-16T21:04:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:04:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=61.91 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 100W-50L 已实现PnL=$-18.65 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8341
2026-03-16T21:05:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:05:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.09 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8439
2026-03-16T21:06:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:06:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=62.09 usdc.e | traded=112 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=8541
2026-03-16T21:06:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:06:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x75b50ef033f615
2026-03-16T21:06:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:06:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x75b50ef033f615 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666300 T-180s | p=UP92% σ=0.29 | Up=0.80/13 Dn=0.21/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73933.55 px=74005.78 +9.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.80/13 Dn=0.21/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73933.55 px=74005.78 +9.8bp
2026-03-16T21:07:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666300 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.80/13 Dn=0.21/62 spd=0.01 | beat=73933.55 px=74003.90 +9.5bp
2026-03-16T21:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:11 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773666300 | Up avg≈0.810 6.95856shares limit=0.810 order=0x3d9211dbd6ea19fbffc3cf8b496f10670a67da8c3a3e6d89c05cc4405fd81359
2026-03-16T21:07:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:07:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.24 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773666300 Up | 扫描=8620
2026-03-16T21:08:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:08:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.24 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773666300 Up | 扫描=8691
2026-03-16T21:09:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:09:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.24 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773666300 Up | 扫描=8762
2026-03-16T21:10:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:10:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.24 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773666300 Up | 扫描=8848
2026-03-16T21:11:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.24 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-51L 已实现PnL=$-22.57 | BTC5 trade=36 21W-14L WR=60.0% PnL=$-32.30 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773666300 Up | 扫描=8953
2026-03-16T21:11:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xd71241c2fdbf05
2026-03-16T21:11:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xd71241c2fdbf05 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:11:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x0c8c8fc62396dd
2026-03-16T21:11:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x0c8c8fc62396dd 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:11:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:11:55    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0xdb7d38b8af54bae295aaa51e938e04099baa1710c99d1158a47b14a168092d8f
2026-03-16T21:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:05 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773666300 outcome=Up tx=0xdb7d38b8af54bae295aaa51e938e04099baa1710c99d1158a47b14a168092d8f
2026-03-16T21:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | 进入决策窗口 T-174s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-174s | p=DN57% σ=0.28 | Up=0.43/2 Dn=0.58/87 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73866.65 -1.2bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.024 thr=0.070 margin=-0.094 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.43/2 Dn=0.58/87 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73866.65 -1.2bp
2026-03-16T21:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-168s | p=DN57% σ=0.29 | Up=0.54/32 Dn=0.48/95 spd=0.02 | beat=73875.86 px=73867.62 -1.1bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T21:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=near_beat diff=1.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.56/169 Dn=0.46/95 spd=0.02 | beat=73875.86 px=73867.97 -1.1bp
2026-03-16T21:12:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.60/67 Dn=0.44/96 spd=0.04 | beat=73875.86 px=73868.52 -1.0bp
2026-03-16T21:12:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.61/133 Dn=0.41/387 spd=0.02 | beat=73875.86 px=73889.89 +1.9bp
2026-03-16T21:12:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-163s | p=UP66% σ=0.29 | Up=0.60/572 Dn=0.42/179 spd=0.02 | beat=73875.86 px=73895.20 +2.6bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑8s ↓2s
2026-03-16T21:12:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-157s | p=UP66% σ=0.28 | Up=0.61/87 Dn=0.42/389 spd=0.03 | beat=73875.86 px=73895.29 +2.6bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:12:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.041 thr=0.070 margin=-0.029 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.59/115 Dn=0.42/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73894.27 +2.5bp
2026-03-16T21:12:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-151s | p=UP65% σ=0.28 | Up=0.60/55 Dn=0.43/35 spd=0.03 | beat=73875.86 px=73893.49 +2.4bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:12:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=near_beat diff=2.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.54/101 Dn=0.47/282 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73893.34 +2.4bp
2026-03-16T21:12:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-146s | p=UP60% σ=0.28 | Up=0.54/71 Dn=0.48/107 spd=0.02 | beat=73875.86 px=73887.47 +1.6bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.04 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:12:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.54/51 Dn=0.50/70 spd=0.04 | beat=73875.86 px=73887.47 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T21:12:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.023 thr=0.070 margin=-0.047 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.56/167 Dn=0.45/42 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73887.56 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T21:12:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.82 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-52L 已实现PnL=$-28.24 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9014
2026-03-16T21:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:12:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666600 T-141s | p=UP60% σ=0.27 | Up=0.56/212 Dn=0.45/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73875.86 px=73886.71 +1.5bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:13:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:13:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.82 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-53L 已实现PnL=$-30.40 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9113
2026-03-16T21:14:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:14:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.82 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-53L 已实现PnL=$-30.40 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9216
2026-03-16T21:15:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:15:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.82 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-53L 已实现PnL=$-30.40 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9314
2026-03-16T21:16:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:16:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.82 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 100W-53L 已实现PnL=$-30.40 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9417
2026-03-16T21:16:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:16:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x466003d2265ed9
2026-03-16T21:16:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:16:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x466003d2265ed9 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-180s | p=DN88% σ=0.36 | Up=0.17/121 Dn=0.89/212 spd=0.06 | beat=73973.92 px=73900.53 -9.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.17/121 Dn=0.89/212 spd=0.06 | beat=73973.92 px=73900.53 -9.9bp
2026-03-16T21:17:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.015 thr=0.067 margin=-0.052 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/198 Dn=0.84/95 spd=0.02 | beat=73973.92 px=73901.50 -9.8bp
2026-03-16T21:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-175s | p=DN88% σ=0.36 | Up=0.18/201 Dn=0.84/86 spd=0.02 | beat=73973.92 px=73901.50 -9.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-169s | p=DN81% σ=0.35 | Up=0.17/15 Dn=0.84/39 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73920.22 -7.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.18/137 Dn=0.84/14 spd=0.02 | beat=73973.92 px=73922.20 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T21:17:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.057 thr=0.070 margin=-0.127 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.18/106 Dn=0.85/28 spd=0.03 | beat=73973.92 px=73922.31 -7.0bp
2026-03-16T21:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-163s | p=DN80% σ=0.35 | Up=0.15/38 Dn=0.86/81 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73922.71 -6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-158s | p=DN81% σ=0.36 | Up=0.17/35 Dn=0.88/214 spd=0.05 | beat=73973.92 px=73923.32 -6.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:17:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.16/50 Dn=0.88/263 spd=0.04 | beat=73973.92 px=73923.40 -6.8bp
2026-03-16T21:17:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-152s | p=DN79% σ=0.36 | Up=0.19/197 Dn=0.86/95 spd=0.05 | beat=73973.92 px=73927.26 -6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:17:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.042 thr=0.070 margin=-0.112 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.19/33 Dn=0.82/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73928.00 -6.2bp
2026-03-16T21:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-146s | p=DN79% σ=0.35 | Up=0.20/163 Dn=0.81/71 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73928.41 -6.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.20/163 Dn=0.81/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73928.52 -6.1bp
2026-03-16T21:17:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 101W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=9501
2026-03-16T21:17:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773666900 T-140s | p=DN79% σ=0.35 | Up=0.20/220 Dn=0.84/246 spd=0.04 | beat=73973.92 px=73929.20 -6.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:17:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[141013]: 2026-03-16 21:17:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773666900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.078 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/76 Dn=0.79/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73973.92 px=73929.20 -6.0bp
2026-03-16T21:18:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopping polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot...
2026-03-16T21:18:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Deactivated successfully.
2026-03-16T21:18:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopped polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T21:18:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Consumed 7min 38.080s CPU time, 124.7M memory peak, 0B memory swap peak.
2026-03-16T21:18:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Started polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 gasless: RelayClient 初始化成功 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE auth=relayer_api_key signer=0xb9Fa...B54d funder=0x242C...5a36
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 builder attribution: 已配置 BuilderConfig
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ✅ ClobClient 原生初始化完成 | 钱包=0x242Cd7135180B30e38f86341249103867Ef15a36 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE | CLOB=builder | onchain=relay
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 gasless preflight: trading approvals ready | 6 项全部就绪
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 OrderBookWebSocketFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 Telegram 通知: 已启用 (chat_id=344102987)
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 🚀 Polymarket BTC 5m v11 fair value live bot | v11.1.0 (2026-03-15)
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┣━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 策略   raw -> adjust -> cal(identity) | window=135~180s | edge raw>0.030 net>0.070
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 配置   /root/polymarket-bot/configs/runtime/btc5m.conf | 已加载77项
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 参数   主链决策=53 (Market 15 + Entry 38) | 执行=13 | 历史兼容=8 | 提醒: 保持低维adjust，避免过度拟合
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 调整   distilled (gap=0.06, vol=0.04; clip=0.12/0.03) | cal=identity
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 风控   guard=near-beat/confirmation | ask=0.08~0.92 spread≤0.030
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 数据   ref=Chainlink RTDS btc/usd | sigma/tape=binance-perp(btcusdt) | sigma_lookback=300s
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 仓位   动态 Kelly on(q=0.25, floor=max(market,$2), cap=10%) | min_shares≥1
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 运行   shadow=off | poll=0.50s | user_ws=on | market_ws=on
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┃ 执行   recheck=1.0s | fill_timeout=12.0s | Chainlink BTC/USD
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 ┗━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 配置快照 /root/polymarket-bot/runtime_logs/v11/btc_5m_effective_config.json | 已写入
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 📡 价格流启动: binance-perp
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 UserOrderFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 MarketResolutionFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:18:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:14 📡 Chainlink RTDS 已连接 | symbol=btc/usd
2026-03-16T21:18:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:15 📡 binance-perp WS 已连接
2026-03-16T21:18:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:17 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T21:18:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:17 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 2 个 token
2026-03-16T21:18:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 101W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=1
2026-03-16T21:18:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:27 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:27 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:27 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:28 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:29 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:29 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:29 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:30 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:30 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:18:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:18:30 查询钱包 positions 失败: HTTP 429
2026-03-16T21:19:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:19:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=103
2026-03-16T21:20:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:20:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=200
2026-03-16T21:21:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[169267]: 2026-03-16 21:21:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=303
2026-03-16T21:21:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopping polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot...
2026-03-16T21:21:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Deactivated successfully.
2026-03-16T21:21:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Stopped polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T21:21:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: polymarket-bot-btc5m.service: Consumed 15.174s CPU time, 88.7M memory peak, 24.1M memory swap peak.
2026-03-16T21:21:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 systemd[1]: Started polymarket-bot-btc5m.service - Polymarket BTC 5m Live Trading Bot.
2026-03-16T21:21:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:35 gasless: RelayClient 初始化成功 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE auth=relayer_api_key signer=0xb9Fa...B54d funder=0x242C...5a36
2026-03-16T21:21:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:35 builder attribution: 已配置 BuilderConfig
2026-03-16T21:21:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:35 ✅ ClobClient 原生初始化完成 | 钱包=0x242Cd7135180B30e38f86341249103867Ef15a36 | wallet_type=GNOSIS_SAFE | CLOB=builder | onchain=relay
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 gasless preflight: trading approvals ready | 6 项全部就绪
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 OrderBookWebSocketFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 Telegram 通知: 已启用 (chat_id=344102987)
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┏━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 🚀 Polymarket BTC 5m v11 fair value live bot | v11.1.0 (2026-03-15)
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┣━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 策略   raw -> adjust -> cal(identity) | window=135~180s | edge raw>0.030 net>0.070
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 配置   /root/polymarket-bot/configs/runtime/btc5m.conf | 已加载77项
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 参数   主链决策=53 (Market 15 + Entry 38) | 执行=13 | 历史兼容=8 | 提醒: 保持低维adjust，避免过度拟合
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 调整   distilled (gap=0.06, vol=0.04; clip=0.12/0.03) | cal=identity
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 风控   guard=near-beat/confirmation | ask=0.08~0.92 spread≤0.030
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 数据   ref=Chainlink RTDS btc/usd | sigma/tape=binance-perp(btcusdt) | sigma_lookback=300s
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 仓位   动态 Kelly on(q=0.25, floor=max(market,$2), cap=10%) | min_shares≥1
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 运行   shadow=off | poll=0.50s | user_ws=on | market_ws=on
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┃ 执行   recheck=1.0s | fill_timeout=12.0s | Chainlink BTC/USD
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 ┗━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 配置快照 /root/polymarket-bot/runtime_logs/v11/btc_5m_effective_config.json | 已写入
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 📡 价格流启动: binance-perp
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 UserOrderFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 MarketResolutionFeed 启动
2026-03-16T21:21:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:37 📡 Chainlink RTDS 已连接 | symbol=btc/usd
2026-03-16T21:21:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:38 📡 binance-perp WS 已连接
2026-03-16T21:21:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:40 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 2 个 token
2026-03-16T21:21:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:21:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1
2026-03-16T21:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:22:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:02 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-180s | p=UP84% σ=0.34 | Up=0.83/56 Dn=0.18/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73873.25 +8.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑13s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.003 thr=0.069 margin=-0.066 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.83/56 Dn=0.18/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73873.25 +8.3bp
2026-03-16T21:22:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.81/3 Dn=0.20/118 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73873.29 +8.3bp
2026-03-16T21:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-174s | p=UP85% σ=0.34 | Up=0.81/4 Dn=0.20/157 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73873.25 +8.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-169s | p=UP87% σ=0.34 | Up=0.83/26 Dn=0.19/74 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.67 +8.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.025 thr=0.068 margin=-0.043 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.83/26 Dn=0.19/74 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.67 +8.9bp
2026-03-16T21:22:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.79/19 Dn=0.24/131 spd=0.03 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.87 +8.9bp
2026-03-16T21:22:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-163s | p=UP87% σ=0.34 | Up=0.78/18 Dn=0.24/126 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.87 +8.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.78/2 Dn=0.25/293 spd=0.03 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.39 +8.8bp
2026-03-16T21:22:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-158s | p=UP88% σ=0.34 | Up=0.79/3 Dn=0.25/182 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.43 +8.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.049 thr=0.068 margin=-0.019 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.81/24 Dn=0.20/66 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73877.01 +8.8bp
2026-03-16T21:22:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.85/0 Dn=0.20/71 spd=0.05 | beat=73812.13 px=73879.62 +9.1bp
2026-03-16T21:22:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-152s | p=UP89% σ=0.34 | Up=0.81/1 Dn=0.20/89 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73880.52 +9.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-146s | p=UP91% σ=0.34 | Up=0.88/13 Dn=0.14/76 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.13 px=73885.36 +9.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.002 thr=0.067 margin=-0.065 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.90/60 Dn=0.11/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73885.39 +9.9bp
2026-03-16T21:22:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.93/73 Dn=0.08/191 spd=0.01 | beat=73812.13 px=73886.21 +10.0bp
2026-03-16T21:22:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-141s | p=UP92% σ=0.34 | Up=0.90/5 Dn=0.12/60 spd=0.02 | beat=73812.13 px=73886.25 +10.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:22:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=80
2026-03-16T21:22:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:22:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667200 T-135s | p=UP92% σ=0.34 | Up=0.92/6 Dn=0.12/4 spd=0.04 | beat=73812.13 px=73886.24 +10.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:23:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:23:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=182
2026-03-16T21:24:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:24:41 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=286
2026-03-16T21:25:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:25:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=386
2026-03-16T21:26:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:26:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=490
2026-03-16T21:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-180s | p=DN83% σ=0.23 | Up=0.19/51 Dn=0.82/402 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73904.71 -5.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.005 thr=0.070 margin=-0.075 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.19/51 Dn=0.82/402 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73904.71 -5.2bp
2026-03-16T21:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-175s | p=DN83% σ=0.23 | Up=0.25/401 Dn=0.77/149 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73904.57 -5.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:27:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.25/357 Dn=0.76/0 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73904.71 -5.2bp
2026-03-16T21:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-169s | p=DN70% σ=0.24 | Up=0.27/6 Dn=0.76/74 spd=0.03 | beat=73943.40 px=73921.91 -2.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.064 thr=0.070 margin=-0.134 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.27/6 Dn=0.76/74 spd=0.03 | beat=73943.40 px=73921.91 -2.9bp
2026-03-16T21:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-163s | p=DN65% σ=0.23 | Up=0.31/667 Dn=0.71/99 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73927.68 -2.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.023 thr=0.070 margin=-0.047 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/161 Dn=0.70/92 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73929.45 -1.9bp
2026-03-16T21:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-158s | p=DN64% σ=0.23 | Up=0.34/34 Dn=0.69/315 spd=0.03 | beat=73943.40 px=73929.48 -1.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:27:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.38/106 Dn=0.66/371 spd=0.04 | beat=73943.40 px=73930.43 -1.8bp
2026-03-16T21:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-152s | p=DN63% σ=0.23 | Up=0.36/97 Dn=0.65/114 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73931.09 -1.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:27:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.019 thr=0.070 margin=-0.051 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.34/110 Dn=0.67/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73931.17 -1.7bp
2026-03-16T21:27:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-147s | p=DN63% σ=0.24 | Up=0.32/52 Dn=0.70/10 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73931.18 -1.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:27:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=near_beat diff=1.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.25/52 Dn=0.76/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73943.40 px=73931.17 -1.7bp
2026-03-16T21:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.28/55 Dn=0.76/33 spd=0.04 | beat=73943.40 px=73931.13 -1.7bp
2026-03-16T21:27:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-142s | p=DN71% σ=0.24 | Up=0.28/78 Dn=0.77/84 spd=0.05 | beat=73943.40 px=73922.93 -2.8bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:27:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.047 thr=0.070 margin=-0.117 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.20/77 Dn=0.82/204 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73914.71 -3.9bp
2026-03-16T21:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=572
2026-03-16T21:27:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:27:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667500 T-137s | p=DN81% σ=0.24 | Up=0.20/77 Dn=0.82/204 spd=0.02 | beat=73943.40 px=73911.42 -4.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:28:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:28:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=57.05 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=674
2026-03-16T21:28:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:28:59 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T21:29:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:29:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.37 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-53L 已实现PnL=$-29.58 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=777
2026-03-16T21:30:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:30:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=876
2026-03-16T21:31:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:31:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=979
2026-03-16T21:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 T-180s | p=UP87% σ=0.47 | Up=0.73/137 Dn=0.29/6 spd=0.02 | beat=73912.73 px=74005.04 +12.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:32:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.72/3 Dn=0.29/1 spd=0.01 | beat=73912.73 px=74003.28 +12.3bp
2026-03-16T21:32:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.74/73 Dn=0.33/165 spd=0.07 | beat=73912.73 px=74001.36 +12.0bp
2026-03-16T21:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 T-174s | p=UP86% σ=0.48 | Up=0.74/73 Dn=0.34/177 spd=0.08 | beat=73912.73 px=74002.32 +12.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:10 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T21:32:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:15 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T21:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:16 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x4a22fb83bfa6455224a4d27e995c85998a1dd862a6d2c327f5d983d7c733fded is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T21:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:16 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x4a22fb83bfa6455224a4d27e995c85998a1dd862a6d2c327f5d983d7c733fded，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-16T21:32:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:29 FAK 订单未成交 | intent=0ac981a8-8aa3-4470-a0b0-b3ec6d53abf4 order=0x4a22fb83bfa6455224a4d27e995c85998a1dd862a6d2c327f5d983d7c733fded reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:32:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:29 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | Up limit=0.710 reason=order_unfilled order=0x4a22fb83bfa6455224a4d27e995c85998a1dd862a6d2c327f5d983d7c733fded
2026-03-16T21:32:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:32:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:30 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 T-150s | p=UP98% σ=0.52 | Up=0.79/134 Dn=0.24/26 spd=0.03 | beat=73912.73 px=74079.16 +22.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:32:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:36 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T21:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:37 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x3f5acf5f699c71c4e2b54beb7c4de1fb0315d960e5266b2c6c07528a8c0f36c5 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T21:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:37 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x3f5acf5f699c71c4e2b54beb7c4de1fb0315d960e5266b2c6c07528a8c0f36c5，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-16T21:32:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:49 FAK 订单未成交 | intent=1c2b9d0a-7ed9-4321-bb30-e2e62c8b9609 order=0x3f5acf5f699c71c4e2b54beb7c4de1fb0315d960e5266b2c6c07528a8c0f36c5 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:32:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:49 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | Up limit=0.790 reason=order_unfilled order=0x3f5acf5f699c71c4e2b54beb7c4de1fb0315d960e5266b2c6c07528a8c0f36c5
2026-03-16T21:32:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:49 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773667800 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:32:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:32:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1014
2026-03-16T21:33:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:33:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1118
2026-03-16T21:34:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:34:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1222
2026-03-16T21:35:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:35:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1321
2026-03-16T21:36:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:36:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1425
2026-03-16T21:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-180s | p=UP53% σ=0.81 | Up=0.45/214 Dn=0.59/38 spd=0.04 | beat=74325.25 px=74336.99 +1.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑4s ↓6s
2026-03-16T21:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.45/214 Dn=0.59/38 spd=0.04 | beat=74325.25 px=74336.99 +1.6bp
2026-03-16T21:37:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.062 thr=0.070 margin=-0.008 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/29 Dn=0.61/85 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74315.83 -1.3bp
2026-03-16T21:37:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-174s | p=DN53% σ=0.82 | Up=0.49/79 Dn=0.53/86 spd=0.02 | beat=74325.25 px=74314.71 -1.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-169s | p=DN52% σ=0.81 | Up=0.56/7 Dn=0.45/161 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74317.26 -1.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-16T21:37:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.038 thr=0.070 margin=-0.108 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.47/0 Dn=0.54/42 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74317.26 -1.1bp
2026-03-16T21:37:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.50/5 Dn=0.54/98 spd=0.04 | beat=74325.25 px=74318.20 -0.9bp
2026-03-16T21:37:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-164s | p=UP54% σ=0.81 | Up=0.55/3 Dn=0.51/100 spd=0.06 | beat=74325.25 px=74338.01 +1.7bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.06 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T21:37:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-159s | p=UP56% σ=0.80 | Up=0.56/69 Dn=0.45/80 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74343.97 +2.5bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:37:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.088 thr=0.070 margin=-0.158 Up:价差大 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.51/34 Dn=0.53/67 spd=0.04 | beat=74325.25 px=74344.77 +2.6bp
2026-03-16T21:37:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.56/3 Dn=0.45/12 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74343.97 +2.5bp
2026-03-16T21:37:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-154s | p=UP56% σ=0.80 | Up=0.52/18 Dn=0.52/17 spd=0.04 | beat=74325.25 px=74343.97 +2.5bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.07 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:37:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-149s | p=UP53% σ=0.79 | Up=0.46/5 Dn=0.55/82 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74336.32 +1.5bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.07 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:37:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.005 thr=0.070 margin=-0.075 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.51/44 Dn=0.52/5 spd=0.03 | beat=74325.25 px=74334.82 +1.3bp
2026-03-16T21:37:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.52/78 Dn=0.56/10 spd=0.08 | beat=74325.25 px=74334.82 +1.3bp
2026-03-16T21:37:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-143s | p=UP53% σ=0.79 | Up=0.51/20 Dn=0.52/10 spd=0.03 | beat=74325.25 px=74333.25 +1.1bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.08 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T21:37:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668100 T-138s | p=UP51% σ=0.79 | Up=0.51/194 Dn=0.50/21 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74329.57 +0.6bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.07 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-16T21:37:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.078 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.51/194 Dn=0.50/21 spd=0.01 | beat=74325.25 px=74325.97 +0.1bp
2026-03-16T21:37:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:37:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1504
2026-03-16T21:38:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:38:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1609
2026-03-16T21:39:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:39:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1713
2026-03-16T21:40:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:40:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1809
2026-03-16T21:41:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:41:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1913
2026-03-16T21:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-180s | p=UP73% σ=0.91 | Up=0.85/114 Dn=0.17/14 spd=0.02 | beat=74361.48 px=74458.43 +13.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.132 thr=0.067 margin=-0.199 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.85/114 Dn=0.17/14 spd=0.02 | beat=74361.48 px=74458.43 +13.0bp
2026-03-16T21:42:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.82/17 Dn=0.20/268 spd=0.02 | beat=74361.48 px=74458.43 +13.0bp
2026-03-16T21:42:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-175s | p=UP67% σ=0.92 | Up=0.79/93 Dn=0.25/96 spd=0.04 | beat=74361.48 px=74433.05 +9.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:13 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T21:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:13 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0xc44f31e809096358886f05b911fa5cddaad7aaa4ebc2948f74da9c968e7414bf is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T21:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:13 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0xc44f31e809096358886f05b911fa5cddaad7aaa4ebc2948f74da9c968e7414bf，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-16T21:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:26 FAK 订单未成交 | intent=061f4b20-9987-4cf9-90ca-5f7fe06cc3a5 order=0xc44f31e809096358886f05b911fa5cddaad7aaa4ebc2948f74da9c968e7414bf reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:26 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | Down limit=0.260 reason=order_unfilled order=0xc44f31e809096358886f05b911fa5cddaad7aaa4ebc2948f74da9c968e7414bf
2026-03-16T21:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T21:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-153s | p=DN57% σ=0.93 | Up=0.79/461 Dn=0.34/54 spd=0.13 | beat=74361.48 px=74334.81 -3.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.79/461 Dn=0.34/54 spd=0.13 | beat=74361.48 px=74334.81 -3.6bp
2026-03-16T21:42:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-148s | p=DN64% σ=0.93 | Up=0.71/12 Dn=0.35/2 spd=0.06 | beat=74361.48 px=74305.94 -7.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:42:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-143s | p=DN63% σ=0.95 | Up=0.60/22 Dn=0.46/18 spd=0.06 | beat=74361.48 px=74312.48 -6.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:42:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.60/22 Dn=0.46/18 spd=0.06 | beat=74361.48 px=74312.48 -6.6bp
2026-03-16T21:42:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.131 thr=0.070 margin=-0.201 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.51/94 Dn=0.52/19 spd=0.03 | beat=74361.48 px=74312.48 -6.6bp
2026-03-16T21:42:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668400 T-138s | p=DN63% σ=0.94 | Up=0.61/32 Dn=0.58/387 spd=0.19 | beat=74361.48 px=74312.48 -6.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:42:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:42:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=56.32 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=1967
2026-03-16T21:43:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:43:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2068
2026-03-16T21:44:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:44:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2169
2026-03-16T21:45:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:45:52 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2265
2026-03-16T21:46:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:46:50 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x3a3bace650b6de
2026-03-16T21:46:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:46:50 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x3a3bace650b6de 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T21:46:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:46:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-54L 已实现PnL=$-30.32 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=2369
2026-03-16T21:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-180s | p=UP90% σ=0.99 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74309.95 +29.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74309.95 +29.9bp
2026-03-16T21:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-175s | p=UP91% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74324.15 +31.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-169s | p=UP92% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74333.08 +33.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74333.08 +33.0bp
2026-03-16T21:47:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-164s | p=UP93% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74338.34 +33.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-159s | p=UP94% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74347.71 +35.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74347.71 +35.0bp
2026-03-16T21:47:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-154s | p=UP96% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74373.09 +38.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-149s | p=UP97% σ=1.02 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74396.27 +41.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74396.27 +41.5bp
2026-03-16T21:47:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-144s | p=UP97% σ=1.00 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74398.44 +41.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773668700 T-138s | p=UP98% σ=1.00 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74395.01 +41.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:47:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773668700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/86 Dn=0.52/0 spd=0.20 | beat=74088.64 px=74395.01 +41.4bp
2026-03-16T21:47:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:47:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2447
2026-03-16T21:48:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:14 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:14 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 12 个 token
2026-03-16T21:48:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:15 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:15 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 12 个 token
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 12 个 token
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 12 个 token
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:16 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 12 个 token
2026-03-16T21:48:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:19 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T21:48:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:19 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T21:48:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:48:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2550
2026-03-16T21:49:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:49:53 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2653
2026-03-16T21:50:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:50:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2748
2026-03-16T21:51:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:51:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2851
2026-03-16T21:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-180s | p=DN60% σ=0.72 | Up=0.18/71 Dn=0.83/16 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74150.36 -4.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=near_beat diff=4.3bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.18/71 Dn=0.83/16 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74150.36 -4.3bp
2026-03-16T21:52:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.21/240 Dn=0.84/0 spd=0.05 | beat=74182.34 px=74148.86 -4.5bp
2026-03-16T21:52:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.188 thr=0.068 margin=-0.257 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/33 Dn=0.88/111 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74118.48 -8.6bp
2026-03-16T21:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-175s | p=DN70% σ=0.71 | Up=0.14/33 Dn=0.88/36 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74116.59 -8.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-170s | p=DN81% σ=0.72 | Up=0.17/114 Dn=0.86/13 spd=0.03 | beat=74182.34 px=74074.60 -14.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.15/8 Dn=0.89/0 spd=0.04 | beat=74182.34 px=74069.30 -15.2bp
2026-03-16T21:52:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.088 thr=0.067 margin=-0.155 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/46 Dn=0.92/803 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74061.79 -16.3bp
2026-03-16T21:52:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-165s | p=DN85% σ=0.71 | Up=0.10/46 Dn=0.92/803 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74055.75 -17.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T21:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-159s | p=DN85% σ=0.72 | Up=0.17/287 Dn=0.89/18 spd=0.06 | beat=74182.34 px=74056.98 -16.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.17/207 Dn=0.89/117 spd=0.06 | beat=74182.34 px=74054.59 -17.2bp
2026-03-16T21:52:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-154s | p=DN87% σ=0.72 | Up=0.12/10 Dn=0.93/294 spd=0.05 | beat=74182.34 px=74050.05 -17.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T21:52:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-149s | p=DN87% σ=0.73 | Up=0.10/99 Dn=0.92/821 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74050.24 -17.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T21:52:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.058 thr=0.067 margin=-0.125 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/99 Dn=0.92/821 spd=0.02 | beat=74182.34 px=74050.24 -17.8bp
2026-03-16T21:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.11/26 Dn=0.90/4 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74050.05 -17.8bp
2026-03-16T21:52:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-144s | p=DN88% σ=0.72 | Up=0.13/5 Dn=0.88/70 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74051.06 -17.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T21:52:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669000 T-139s | p=DN87% σ=0.72 | Up=0.12/150 Dn=0.89/89 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74057.95 -16.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T21:52:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.036 thr=0.067 margin=-0.103 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/150 Dn=0.89/89 spd=0.01 | beat=74182.34 px=74057.95 -16.8bp
2026-03-16T21:52:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:52:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=2929
2026-03-16T21:53:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:53:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3032
2026-03-16T21:54:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:54:14 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T21:54:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:54:14 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T21:54:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:54:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3135
2026-03-16T21:55:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:55:54 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3233
2026-03-16T21:56:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:56:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.08 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3336
2026-03-16T21:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T21:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-180s | p=UP64% σ=0.70 | Up=0.70/222 Dn=0.31/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73948.07 +6.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.039 thr=0.070 margin=-0.031 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.70/222 Dn=0.31/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73948.07 +6.2bp
2026-03-16T21:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-174s | p=UP67% σ=0.69 | Up=0.73/946 Dn=0.29/63 spd=0.02 | beat=73902.37 px=73956.84 +7.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.71/6 Dn=0.30/36 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73959.10 +7.7bp
2026-03-16T21:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-169s | p=UP68% σ=0.69 | Up=0.66/36 Dn=0.36/47 spd=0.02 | beat=73902.37 px=73959.51 +7.7bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.002 thr=0.069 margin=-0.067 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.66/36 Dn=0.36/47 spd=0.02 | beat=73902.37 px=73959.51 +7.7bp
2026-03-16T21:57:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-164s | p=UP68% σ=0.69 | Up=0.69/292 Dn=0.32/7 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73955.16 +7.1bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/8 Dn=0.32/371 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73953.82 +7.0bp
2026-03-16T21:57:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-159s | p=UP67% σ=0.68 | Up=0.72/4 Dn=0.31/512 spd=0.03 | beat=73902.37 px=73952.97 +6.8bp | nb=7.7bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.074 thr=0.070 margin=-0.144 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.74/20 Dn=0.29/49 spd=0.03 | beat=73902.37 px=73952.97 +6.8bp
2026-03-16T21:57:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-154s | p=UP68% σ=0.68 | Up=0.73/1008 Dn=0.31/85 spd=0.04 | beat=73902.37 px=73955.16 +7.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-148s | p=UP70% σ=0.68 | Up=0.74/27 Dn=0.27/315 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73961.10 +7.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.045 thr=0.069 margin=-0.114 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_trend_accelerating | Up=0.74/27 Dn=0.27/315 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73961.10 +7.9bp
2026-03-16T21:57:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/152 Dn=0.24/1568 spd=0.04 | beat=73902.37 px=73964.66 +8.4bp
2026-03-16T21:57:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-143s | p=UP72% σ=0.68 | Up=0.79/69 Dn=0.22/133 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73965.04 +8.5bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669300 T-138s | p=UP77% σ=0.68 | Up=0.81/117 Dn=0.20/488 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73979.93 +10.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T21:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.054 thr=0.067 margin=-0.121 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.81/117 Dn=0.20/488 spd=0.01 | beat=73902.37 px=73979.93 +10.5bp
2026-03-16T21:57:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:57:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.70 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3413
2026-03-16T21:58:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:58:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.20 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3516
2026-03-16T21:59:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 21:59:55 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.20 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3619
2026-03-16T22:00:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:00:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.20 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3716
2026-03-16T22:01:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:01:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.20 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-55L 已实现PnL=$-31.56 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3818
2026-03-16T22:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-180s | p=UP56% σ=0.68 | Up=0.63/124 Dn=0.40/24 spd=0.03 | beat=74117.27 px=74134.27 +2.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.034 thr=0.070 margin=-0.036 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.63/124 Dn=0.40/24 spd=0.03 | beat=74117.27 px=74134.27 +2.3bp
2026-03-16T22:02:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.65/86 Dn=0.40/71 spd=0.05 | beat=74117.27 px=74135.73 +2.5bp
2026-03-16T22:02:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-174s | p=UP62% σ=0.67 | Up=0.64/42 Dn=0.38/15 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74153.01 +4.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-169s | p=UP65% σ=0.67 | Up=0.64/3 Dn=0.38/382 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74161.89 +6.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.029 thr=0.070 margin=-0.099 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.64/3 Dn=0.38/382 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74161.89 +6.0bp
2026-03-16T22:02:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-164s | p=UP65% σ=0.71 | Up=0.73/365 Dn=0.29/110 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74162.55 +6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=near_beat diff=6.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.77/8 Dn=0.26/147 spd=0.03 | beat=74117.27 px=74162.40 +6.1bp
2026-03-16T22:02:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/651 Dn=0.25/143 spd=0.05 | beat=74117.27 px=74162.70 +6.1bp
2026-03-16T22:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-159s | p=UP65% σ=0.75 | Up=0.80/64 Dn=0.21/116 spd=0.01 | beat=74117.27 px=74163.65 +6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑7s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:25 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-154s | p=UP76% σ=0.78 | Up=0.83/10 Dn=0.27/84 spd=0.10 | beat=74117.27 px=74208.18 +12.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑6s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.070 thr=0.068 margin=-0.138 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_context_too_weak | Up=0.88/217 Dn=0.15/66 spd=0.03 | beat=74117.27 px=74233.63 +15.7bp
2026-03-16T22:02:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.88/103 Dn=0.17/141 spd=0.05 | beat=74117.27 px=74236.27 +16.1bp
2026-03-16T22:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-148s | p=UP86% σ=0.78 | Up=0.80/2 Dn=0.21/906 spd=0.01 | beat=74117.27 px=74250.85 +18.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑6s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-143s | p=UP89% σ=0.78 | Up=0.86/72 Dn=0.23/100 spd=0.09 | beat=74117.27 px=74266.38 +20.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑6s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.86/55 Dn=0.19/95 spd=0.05 | beat=74117.27 px=74266.38 +20.1bp
2026-03-16T22:02:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669600 T-138s | p=UP88% σ=0.81 | Up=0.83/23 Dn=0.19/359 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74262.77 +19.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑6s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:02:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.028 thr=0.068 margin=-0.039 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_context_too_weak | Up=0.83/23 Dn=0.19/359 spd=0.02 | beat=74117.27 px=74262.77 +19.6bp
2026-03-16T22:02:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:02:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=3897
2026-03-16T22:03:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:03:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4000
2026-03-16T22:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:04:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4103
2026-03-16T22:05:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:05:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4202
2026-03-16T22:06:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:06:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4305
2026-03-16T22:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-180s | p=DN51% σ=0.78 | Up=0.72/33 Dn=0.31/116 spd=0.03 | beat=74236.02 px=74233.60 -0.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑4s ↓6s
2026-03-16T22:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=near_beat diff=0.3bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.72/33 Dn=0.31/116 spd=0.03 | beat=74236.02 px=74233.60 -0.3bp
2026-03-16T22:07:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/133 Dn=0.26/93 spd=0.06 | beat=74236.02 px=74236.00 -0.0bp
2026-03-16T22:07:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-175s | p=UP59% σ=0.80 | Up=0.77/613 Dn=0.27/121 spd=0.04 | beat=74236.02 px=74266.13 +4.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑9s ↓1s
2026-03-16T22:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-169s | p=UP67% σ=0.80 | Up=0.92/456 Dn=0.16/7 spd=0.08 | beat=74236.02 px=74297.50 +8.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.134 thr=0.068 margin=-0.203 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.81/36 Dn=0.20/2 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74300.49 +8.7bp
2026-03-16T22:07:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.84/3 Dn=0.20/23 spd=0.04 | beat=74236.02 px=74329.22 +12.6bp
2026-03-16T22:07:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-164s | p=UP76% σ=0.77 | Up=0.84/82 Dn=0.21/229 spd=0.05 | beat=74236.02 px=74329.22 +12.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑8s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:20 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-159s | p=UP77% σ=0.71 | Up=0.83/98 Dn=0.19/8 spd=0.02 | beat=74236.02 px=74323.42 +11.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.086 thr=0.067 margin=-0.153 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.85/986 Dn=0.18/24 spd=0.03 | beat=74236.02 px=74322.81 +11.7bp
2026-03-16T22:07:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:25 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-154s | p=UP78% σ=0.69 | Up=0.85/1080 Dn=0.18/45 spd=0.03 | beat=74236.02 px=74322.81 +11.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.82/3 Dn=0.19/191 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74323.01 +11.7bp
2026-03-16T22:07:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:30 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-149s | p=UP76% σ=0.74 | Up=0.82/188 Dn=0.20/24 spd=0.02 | beat=74236.02 px=74321.67 +11.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.135 thr=0.067 margin=-0.202 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.90/23 Dn=0.11/0 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74323.35 +11.8bp
2026-03-16T22:07:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-144s | p=UP78% σ=0.73 | Up=0.89/24 Dn=0.12/534 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74323.60 +11.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.90/4 Dn=0.11/79 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74357.13 +16.3bp
2026-03-16T22:07:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773669900 T-139s | p=UP88% σ=0.70 | Up=0.94/1152 Dn=0.15/5 spd=0.09 | beat=74236.02 px=74362.59 +17.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:07:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773669900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.042 thr=0.067 margin=-0.109 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.91/90 Dn=0.10/49 spd=0.01 | beat=74236.02 px=74362.76 +17.1bp
2026-03-16T22:07:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:07:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4384
2026-03-16T22:08:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:08:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4487
2026-03-16T22:09:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:09:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4589
2026-03-16T22:10:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:10:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4684
2026-03-16T22:11:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:11:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4785
2026-03-16T22:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-180s | p=UP66% σ=0.63 | Up=0.47/21 Dn=0.54/111 spd=0.01 | beat=74371.70 px=74418.54 +6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=near_beat diff=6.3bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.47/21 Dn=0.54/111 spd=0.01 | beat=74371.70 px=74418.54 +6.3bp
2026-03-16T22:12:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.47/233 Dn=0.57/38 spd=0.04 | beat=74371.70 px=74414.89 +5.8bp
2026-03-16T22:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-174s | p=UP63% σ=0.62 | Up=0.39/76 Dn=0.65/65 spd=0.04 | beat=74371.70 px=74406.66 +4.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T22:12:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-169s | p=DN52% σ=0.62 | Up=0.37/40 Dn=0.64/1 spd=0.01 | beat=74371.70 px=74366.55 -0.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-16T22:12:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=near_beat diff=0.7bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.37/40 Dn=0.64/1 spd=0.01 | beat=74371.70 px=74366.55 -0.7bp
2026-03-16T22:12:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.065 thr=0.070 margin=-0.005 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.37/54 Dn=0.64/28 spd=0.01 | beat=74371.70 px=74357.40 -1.9bp
2026-03-16T22:12:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-164s | p=DN57% σ=0.62 | Up=0.38/143 Dn=0.64/1341 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.90 -2.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:12:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:18 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.39/8 Dn=0.63/15 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.84 -2.4bp
2026-03-16T22:12:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-159s | p=DN57% σ=0.63 | Up=0.35/239 Dn=0.67/1076 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.90 -2.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:12:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=near_beat diff=2.4bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.35/239 Dn=0.67/1076 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.90 -2.4bp
2026-03-16T22:12:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.070 thr=0.070 margin=-0.000 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.35/136 Dn=0.67/786 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.63 -2.4bp
2026-03-16T22:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-154s | p=DN57% σ=0.63 | Up=0.30/6 Dn=0.76/9 spd=0.06 | beat=74371.70 px=74353.36 -2.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:12:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.24/30 Dn=0.80/135 spd=0.04 | beat=74371.70 px=74338.07 -4.5bp
2026-03-16T22:12:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-149s | p=DN69% σ=0.59 | Up=0.32/94 Dn=0.75/149 spd=0.07 | beat=74371.70 px=74323.55 -6.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.064 thr=0.070 margin=-0.134 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.29/5 Dn=0.74/160 spd=0.03 | beat=74371.70 px=74322.28 -6.6bp
2026-03-16T22:12:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-144s | p=DN70% σ=0.61 | Up=0.27/4 Dn=0.76/65 spd=0.03 | beat=74371.70 px=74320.12 -6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.28/105 Dn=0.79/227 spd=0.07 | beat=74371.70 px=74314.06 -7.7bp
2026-03-16T22:12:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670200 T-139s | p=DN84% σ=0.61 | Up=0.14/75 Dn=0.88/152 spd=0.02 | beat=74371.70 px=74275.46 -12.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:12:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:48 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T22:12:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:48 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T22:12:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:12:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=55.00 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-56L 已实现PnL=$-31.76 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=4862
2026-03-16T22:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:14:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.71 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-57L 已实现PnL=$-31.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=4962
2026-03-16T22:15:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:15:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.71 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-57L 已实现PnL=$-31.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5062
2026-03-16T22:16:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:16:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.71 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-57L 已实现PnL=$-31.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5158
2026-03-16T22:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-180s | p=DN60% σ=0.68 | Up=0.32/622 Dn=0.71/689 spd=0.03 | beat=74320.48 px=74291.14 -3.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=near_beat diff=3.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.32/622 Dn=0.71/689 spd=0.03 | beat=74320.48 px=74291.14 -3.9bp
2026-03-16T22:17:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.71 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-57L 已实现PnL=$-31.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5260
2026-03-16T22:17:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.064 thr=0.068 margin=-0.132 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.27/184 Dn=0.75/297 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74256.69 -8.6bp
2026-03-16T22:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-174s | p=DN71% σ=0.68 | Up=0.30/9 Dn=0.72/55 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74253.33 -9.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:17:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.33/10 Dn=0.72/0 spd=0.05 | beat=74320.48 px=74249.84 -9.5bp
2026-03-16T22:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-169s | p=DN73% σ=0.69 | Up=0.27/53 Dn=0.75/168 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74249.16 -9.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:17:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.003 thr=0.067 margin=-0.064 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.28/78 Dn=0.74/54 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74235.47 -11.4bp
2026-03-16T22:17:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-164s | p=DN77% σ=0.68 | Up=0.28/86 Dn=0.75/328 spd=0.03 | beat=74320.48 px=74234.86 -11.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:17:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.32/47 Dn=0.72/108 spd=0.04 | beat=74320.48 px=74234.34 -11.6bp
2026-03-16T22:17:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-159s | p=DN78% σ=0.68 | Up=0.32/310 Dn=0.70/102 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74234.34 -11.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T22:17:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.012 thr=0.068 margin=-0.055 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/286 Dn=0.69/86 spd=0.01 | beat=74320.48 px=74252.09 -9.2bp
2026-03-16T22:17:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-154s | p=DN72% σ=0.68 | Up=0.36/15 Dn=0.67/18 spd=0.03 | beat=74320.48 px=74254.23 -8.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-16T22:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-148s | p=DN73% σ=0.66 | Up=0.26/80 Dn=0.78/181 spd=0.04 | beat=74320.48 px=74256.19 -8.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.26/80 Dn=0.78/181 spd=0.04 | beat=74320.48 px=74256.19 -8.7bp
2026-03-16T22:17:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.114 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.24/49 Dn=0.78/258 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74249.95 -9.5bp
2026-03-16T22:17:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-143s | p=DN80% σ=0.65 | Up=0.23/15 Dn=0.78/271 spd=0.01 | beat=74320.48 px=74233.94 -11.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:17:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.23/66 Dn=0.78/5 spd=0.01 | beat=74320.48 px=74229.94 -12.2bp
2026-03-16T22:17:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:17:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670500 T-137s | p=DN82% σ=0.65 | Up=0.23/320 Dn=0.79/78 spd=0.02 | beat=74320.48 px=74228.96 -12.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:18:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:18:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.51 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-57L 已实现PnL=$-31.84 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=5339
2026-03-16T22:19:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:19:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.39 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.55 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5441
2026-03-16T22:20:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:20:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.39 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.55 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5543
2026-03-16T22:21:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:21:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.39 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.55 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5646
2026-03-16T22:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-179s | p=UP86% σ=0.59 | Up=0.82/29 Dn=0.19/236 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74298.31 +15.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.025 thr=0.067 margin=-0.042 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.82/29 Dn=0.19/236 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74298.31 +15.4bp
2026-03-16T22:22:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.39 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 102W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.55 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5747
2026-03-16T22:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-174s | p=UP87% σ=0.59 | Up=0.81/88 Dn=0.20/85 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74298.31 +15.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.82/128 Dn=0.25/26 spd=0.07 | beat=74183.82 px=74298.28 +15.4bp
2026-03-16T22:22:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:09 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.82/97 Dn=0.25/26 spd=0.07 | beat=74183.82 px=74297.93 +15.4bp
2026-03-16T22:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.065 thr=0.067 margin=-0.002 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.78/31 Dn=0.25/1 spd=0.03 | beat=74183.82 px=74295.90 +15.1bp
2026-03-16T22:22:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-168s | p=UP86% σ=0.59 | Up=0.74/24 Dn=0.28/37 spd=0.02 | beat=74183.82 px=74290.85 +14.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.006 thr=0.067 margin=-0.073 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.77/254 Dn=0.24/51 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74261.36 +10.5bp
2026-03-16T22:22:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-163s | p=UP78% σ=0.59 | Up=0.77/207 Dn=0.24/39 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74260.70 +10.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.75/153 Dn=0.29/41 spd=0.04 | beat=74183.82 px=74259.98 +10.3bp
2026-03-16T22:22:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-157s | p=UP77% σ=0.58 | Up=0.72/72 Dn=0.29/91 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74255.64 +9.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.077 thr=0.067 margin=-0.145 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.84/232 Dn=0.18/15 spd=0.02 | beat=74183.82 px=74255.32 +9.6bp
2026-03-16T22:22:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-151s | p=UP76% σ=0.59 | Up=0.80/5 Dn=0.21/52 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74252.50 +9.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.82/3 Dn=0.20/6 spd=0.02 | beat=74183.82 px=74255.75 +9.7bp
2026-03-16T22:22:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-146s | p=UP78% σ=0.59 | Up=0.79/49 Dn=0.22/140 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74255.48 +9.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.010 thr=0.067 margin=-0.077 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.80/90 Dn=0.23/368 spd=0.03 | beat=74183.82 px=74265.28 +11.0bp
2026-03-16T22:22:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-140s | p=UP82% σ=0.60 | Up=0.84/43 Dn=0.17/0 spd=0.01 | beat=74183.82 px=74267.50 +11.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:22:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773670800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.86/4 Dn=0.16/87 spd=0.02 | beat=74183.82 px=74270.79 +11.7bp
2026-03-16T22:22:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:22:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773670800 T-135s | p=UP84% σ=0.60 | Up=0.88/49 Dn=0.14/92 spd=0.02 | beat=74183.82 px=74274.38 +12.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:23:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:23:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5824
2026-03-16T22:24:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:24:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=5924
2026-03-16T22:25:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:25:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6018
2026-03-16T22:26:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:26:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6118
2026-03-16T22:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-180s | p=DN88% σ=0.54 | Up=0.21/613 Dn=0.81/119 spd=0.02 | beat=74180.58 px=74070.30 -14.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.051 thr=0.067 margin=-0.016 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.21/613 Dn=0.81/119 spd=0.02 | beat=74180.58 px=74070.30 -14.9bp
2026-03-16T22:27:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-174s | p=DN88% σ=0.53 | Up=0.16/293 Dn=0.86/67 spd=0.02 | beat=74180.58 px=74070.29 -14.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:27:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6215
2026-03-16T22:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.18/737 Dn=0.83/17 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74069.73 -14.9bp
2026-03-16T22:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-169s | p=DN89% σ=0.53 | Up=0.16/65 Dn=0.85/73 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74069.62 -15.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.027 thr=0.067 margin=-0.040 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.16/65 Dn=0.85/73 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74069.62 -15.0bp
2026-03-16T22:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-164s | p=DN90% σ=0.53 | Up=0.15/11 Dn=0.86/506 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74066.25 -15.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓12s
2026-03-16T22:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-159s | p=DN90% σ=0.53 | Up=0.12/69 Dn=0.89/257 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74065.79 -15.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.005 thr=0.067 margin=-0.062 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/69 Dn=0.89/257 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74065.79 -15.5bp
2026-03-16T22:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:22 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x3c04f151eaa5bb
2026-03-16T22:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:22 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x3c04f151eaa5bb 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T22:27:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-154s | p=DN93% σ=0.52 | Up=0.09/119 Dn=0.92/43 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74054.51 -17.0bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:27:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.09/271 Dn=0.93/1950 spd=0.02 | beat=74180.58 px=74054.48 -17.0bp
2026-03-16T22:27:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-149s | p=DN94% σ=0.52 | Up=0.08/264 Dn=0.93/100 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74052.35 -17.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:27:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.019 thr=0.067 margin=-0.048 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/761 Dn=0.91/41 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74051.52 -17.4bp
2026-03-16T22:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-143s | p=DN95% σ=0.52 | Up=0.12/377 Dn=0.89/6 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74043.40 -18.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671100 T-138s | p=DN96% σ=0.51 | Up=0.09/15 Dn=0.92/493 spd=0.01 | beat=74180.58 px=74043.40 -18.5bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:27:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.020 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.13/316 Dn=0.90/79 spd=0.03 | beat=74180.58 px=74044.78 -18.3bp
2026-03-16T22:28:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:28:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6295
2026-03-16T22:29:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:29:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6395
2026-03-16T22:30:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:30:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6492
2026-03-16T22:31:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:31:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6589
2026-03-16T22:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 T-180s | p=DN94% σ=1.05 | Up=0.06/278 Dn=0.95/617 spd=0.01 | beat=73627.33 px=73341.35 -38.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.06/278 Dn=0.95/617 spd=0.01 | beat=73627.33 px=73341.35 -38.8bp
2026-03-16T22:32:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.020 thr=0.067 margin=-0.047 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/830 Dn=0.91/119 spd=0.01 | beat=73627.33 px=73340.81 -38.9bp
2026-03-16T22:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 T-174s | p=DN94% σ=1.07 | Up=0.15/183 Dn=0.87/44 spd=0.02 | beat=73627.33 px=73340.26 -39.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:32:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.07 usdc.e | traded=113 | 今日 103W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.50 | BTC5 trade=37 21W-15L WR=58.3% PnL=$-37.97 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6685
2026-03-16T22:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:16 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | Down avg≈0.850 6.0shares limit=0.850 order=0x7d6b449d24468c4d05860887247695ee1f8440d01f140a1218a593c97e739a46
2026-03-16T22:32:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:48 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | Down avg≈0.860 6.110000shares limit=0.860 order=0x854b559efeba41f4d4787e6dddf82fa81bc5cb8767efc1b5d0d182d126843f9a drawdown=0.0%
2026-03-16T22:32:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:53 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-16T22:32:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:56 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | Down limit=0.810 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-16T22:32:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:32:57 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-16T22:33:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:33:00 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773671400 | Down limit=0.840 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-16T22:33:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:33:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6749
2026-03-16T22:34:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:34:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6851
2026-03-16T22:35:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:35:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=6949
2026-03-16T22:36:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:36:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7051
2026-03-16T22:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-179s | p=UP69% σ=0.85 | Up=0.79/82 Dn=0.22/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73526.77 +10.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.106 thr=0.067 margin=-0.173 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.79/82 Dn=0.22/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73526.77 +10.3bp
2026-03-16T22:37:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.78/12 Dn=0.23/225 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73526.77 +10.3bp
2026-03-16T22:37:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-174s | p=UP70% σ=0.82 | Up=0.76/350 Dn=0.27/136 spd=0.03 | beat=73451.44 px=73527.02 +10.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7149
2026-03-16T22:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.009 thr=0.067 margin=-0.076 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.70/99 Dn=0.31/140 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73528.95 +10.6bp
2026-03-16T22:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-168s | p=UP71% σ=0.82 | Up=0.71/263 Dn=0.31/346 spd=0.02 | beat=73451.44 px=73528.95 +10.6bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.67/5 Dn=0.35/13 spd=0.02 | beat=73451.44 px=73521.92 +9.6bp
2026-03-16T22:37:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-163s | p=UP67% σ=0.81 | Up=0.67/5 Dn=0.36/78 spd=0.03 | beat=73451.44 px=73511.76 +8.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑8s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.054 thr=0.070 margin=-0.124 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.69/23 Dn=0.32/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73503.77 +7.1bp
2026-03-16T22:37:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-158s | p=UP65% σ=0.81 | Up=0.70/116 Dn=0.31/411 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73503.05 +7.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑4s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-153s | p=UP66% σ=0.81 | Up=0.70/383 Dn=0.31/345 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73504.13 +7.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑6s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.70/441 Dn=0.36/50 spd=0.06 | beat=73451.44 px=73503.35 +7.1bp
2026-03-16T22:37:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-148s | p=UP66% σ=0.79 | Up=0.67/240 Dn=0.38/24 spd=0.05 | beat=73451.44 px=73503.35 +7.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.031 thr=0.070 margin=-0.101 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.67/177 Dn=0.34/113 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73503.20 +7.0bp
2026-03-16T22:37:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-143s | p=UP60% σ=0.79 | Up=0.66/194 Dn=0.35/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73482.39 +4.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773671700 T-138s | p=UP60% σ=0.78 | Up=0.69/132 Dn=0.32/30 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73480.51 +4.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:37:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=near_beat diff=4.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.69/132 Dn=0.32/30 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73480.51 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T22:37:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:37:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773671700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.043 thr=0.070 margin=-0.027 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.66/5 Dn=0.35/435 spd=0.01 | beat=73451.44 px=73480.53 +4.0bp
2026-03-16T22:38:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:38:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.20 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 104W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.37 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7232
2026-03-16T22:39:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:39:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.06 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 105W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.28 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7334
2026-03-16T22:40:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:40:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.06 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 105W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.28 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7431
2026-03-16T22:41:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:41:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.06 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 105W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.28 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7533
2026-03-16T22:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-180s | p=DN73% σ=1.00 | Up=0.31/7 Dn=0.70/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73092.28 -14.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.31/7 Dn=0.70/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73092.28 -14.5bp
2026-03-16T22:42:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.065 thr=0.067 margin=-0.132 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/469 Dn=0.81/25 spd=0.03 | beat=73198.47 px=73075.41 -16.8bp
2026-03-16T22:42:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-175s | p=DN78% σ=1.01 | Up=0.25/51 Dn=0.79/24 spd=0.04 | beat=73198.47 px=73062.78 -18.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=54.06 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 105W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.28 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7630
2026-03-16T22:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-169s | p=DN80% σ=1.02 | Up=0.23/5 Dn=0.82/74 spd=0.05 | beat=73198.47 px=73054.74 -19.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.23/5 Dn=0.82/74 spd=0.05 | beat=73198.47 px=73054.74 -19.6bp
2026-03-16T22:42:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.044 thr=0.067 margin=-0.023 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.31/477 Dn=0.71/150 spd=0.02 | beat=73198.47 px=73054.69 -19.6bp
2026-03-16T22:42:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-164s | p=DN78% σ=1.10 | Up=0.33/60 Dn=0.72/66 spd=0.05 | beat=73198.47 px=73054.74 -19.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-158s | p=DN77% σ=1.11 | Up=0.29/234 Dn=0.72/184 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73064.06 -18.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:22 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x80407037e7ea46
2026-03-16T22:42:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:22 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x80407037e7ea46 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T22:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.27/148 Dn=0.74/4 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73079.03 -16.3bp
2026-03-16T22:42:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.074 thr=0.067 margin=-0.141 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.23/260 Dn=0.78/104 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73093.26 -14.4bp
2026-03-16T22:42:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-153s | p=DN72% σ=1.11 | Up=0.23/422 Dn=0.81/50 spd=0.04 | beat=73198.47 px=73093.26 -14.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-148s | p=DN74% σ=1.12 | Up=0.16/205 Dn=0.86/188 spd=0.02 | beat=73198.47 px=73084.23 -15.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T22:42:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.14/95 Dn=0.90/405 spd=0.04 | beat=73198.47 px=73066.24 -18.1bp
2026-03-16T22:42:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.083 thr=0.067 margin=-0.150 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/24 Dn=0.87/57 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73052.73 -19.9bp
2026-03-16T22:42:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-143s | p=DN81% σ=1.12 | Up=0.15/97 Dn=0.87/20 spd=0.02 | beat=73198.47 px=73047.41 -20.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:42:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:42:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672000 T-138s | p=DN83% σ=1.12 | Up=0.17/154 Dn=0.84/3 spd=0.01 | beat=73198.47 px=73033.30 -22.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T22:43:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:43:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.83 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 106W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.13 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7713
2026-03-16T22:44:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:44:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.64 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 106W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.13 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7816
2026-03-16T22:45:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:45:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.64 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 106W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.13 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=7912
2026-03-16T22:46:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:46:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.64 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 106W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.13 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8012
2026-03-16T22:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-180s | p=UP72% σ=0.85 | Up=0.78/466 Dn=0.23/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73233.37 +11.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.074 thr=0.067 margin=-0.141 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.78/466 Dn=0.23/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73233.37 +11.8bp
2026-03-16T22:47:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.77/11 Dn=0.26/128 spd=0.03 | beat=73147.30 px=73233.37 +11.8bp
2026-03-16T22:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-174s | p=UP72% σ=0.86 | Up=0.67/2 Dn=0.38/62 spd=0.05 | beat=73147.30 px=73232.33 +11.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-169s | p=UP66% σ=0.87 | Up=0.68/10 Dn=0.34/280 spd=0.02 | beat=73147.30 px=73207.48 +8.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.71/547 Dn=0.34/213 spd=0.05 | beat=73147.30 px=73204.25 +7.8bp
2026-03-16T22:47:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.48 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 106W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.13 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8106
2026-03-16T22:47:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.035 thr=0.070 margin=-0.104 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.68/107 Dn=0.34/16 spd=0.02 | beat=73147.30 px=73201.38 +7.4bp
2026-03-16T22:47:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-163s | p=UP63% σ=0.74 | Up=0.68/194 Dn=0.34/354 spd=0.02 | beat=73147.30 px=73187.87 +5.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-158s | p=UP64% σ=0.74 | Up=0.70/115 Dn=0.33/52 spd=0.03 | beat=73147.30 px=73190.85 +6.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.100 thr=0.070 margin=-0.170 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.73/65 Dn=0.28/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73190.85 +6.0bp
2026-03-16T22:47:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-153s | p=UP71% σ=0.73 | Up=0.72/5 Dn=0.30/373 spd=0.02 | beat=73147.30 px=73214.20 +9.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.72/5 Dn=0.30/373 spd=0.02 | beat=73147.30 px=73214.20 +9.1bp
2026-03-16T22:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-148s | p=UP72% σ=0.72 | Up=0.73/170 Dn=0.28/22 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73214.20 +9.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.052 thr=0.068 margin=-0.119 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.76/211 Dn=0.27/14 spd=0.03 | beat=73147.30 px=73215.39 +9.3bp
2026-03-16T22:47:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-143s | p=UP72% σ=0.72 | Up=0.72/106 Dn=0.29/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73211.28 +8.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672300 T-138s | p=UP68% σ=0.72 | Up=0.64/42 Dn=0.37/84 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73199.57 +7.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:47:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:47:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.64/2 Dn=0.37/50 spd=0.01 | beat=73147.30 px=73197.84 +6.9bp
2026-03-16T22:48:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:48:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8191
2026-03-16T22:49:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:49:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8294
2026-03-16T22:50:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:50:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8391
2026-03-16T22:51:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:51:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8494
2026-03-16T22:51:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:51:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x5780534a07e694
2026-03-16T22:51:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:51:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x5780534a07e694 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T22:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-179s | p=UP67% σ=0.75 | Up=0.78/115 Dn=0.23/457 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73187.46 +8.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.116 thr=0.069 margin=-0.185 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.78/115 Dn=0.23/457 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73187.46 +8.1bp
2026-03-16T22:52:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.83/2 Dn=0.19/20 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73196.79 +9.3bp
2026-03-16T22:52:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-174s | p=UP71% σ=0.73 | Up=0.84/28 Dn=0.18/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73198.40 +9.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.104 thr=0.067 margin=-0.171 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.86/33 Dn=0.16/73 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73217.32 +12.1bp
2026-03-16T22:52:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-168s | p=UP78% σ=0.72 | Up=0.86/28 Dn=0.16/64 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73225.04 +13.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8588
2026-03-16T22:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-163s | p=UP85% σ=0.72 | Up=0.88/168 Dn=0.13/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73251.81 +16.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.038 thr=0.067 margin=-0.105 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/20 Dn=0.11/27 spd=0.03 | beat=73128.55 px=73276.24 +20.2bp
2026-03-16T22:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-158s | p=UP91% σ=0.73 | Up=0.93/1491 Dn=0.10/214 spd=0.03 | beat=73128.55 px=73291.71 +22.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.93/1491 Dn=0.10/214 spd=0.03 | beat=73128.55 px=73291.71 +22.3bp
2026-03-16T22:52:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-152s | p=UP93% σ=0.74 | Up=0.92/71 Dn=0.09/62 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73302.65 +23.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.022 thr=0.067 margin=-0.045 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.90/54 Dn=0.12/324 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73303.47 +23.9bp
2026-03-16T22:52:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-147s | p=UP94% σ=0.73 | Up=0.94/506 Dn=0.11/27 spd=0.05 | beat=73128.55 px=73304.63 +24.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:价差大 | Up=0.94/506 Dn=0.11/27 spd=0.05 | beat=73128.55 px=73304.63 +24.1bp
2026-03-16T22:52:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-142s | p=UP94% σ=0.73 | Up=0.93/131 Dn=0.09/170 spd=0.02 | beat=73128.55 px=73304.63 +24.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672600 T-137s | p=UP95% σ=0.73 | Up=0.94/14 Dn=0.07/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73312.18 +25.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:52:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:52:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.94/14 Dn=0.07/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73128.55 px=73312.18 +25.1bp
2026-03-16T22:53:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:53:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8673
2026-03-16T22:54:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:54:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8775
2026-03-16T22:55:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:55:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8872
2026-03-16T22:56:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:56:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=8973
2026-03-16T22:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T22:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-180s | p=UP67% σ=0.51 | Up=0.64/505 Dn=0.37/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73427.43 +5.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.015 thr=0.070 margin=-0.055 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.64/505 Dn=0.37/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73427.43 +5.5bp
2026-03-16T22:57:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.62/10 Dn=0.39/439 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73425.58 +5.3bp
2026-03-16T22:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-174s | p=UP67% σ=0.51 | Up=0.67/4 Dn=0.34/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73424.99 +5.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-169s | p=UP67% σ=0.50 | Up=0.71/50 Dn=0.30/91 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73424.98 +5.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.046 thr=0.070 margin=-0.116 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.71/50 Dn=0.30/91 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73424.98 +5.2bp
2026-03-16T22:57:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9065
2026-03-16T22:57:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-163s | p=UP75% σ=0.48 | Up=0.74/158 Dn=0.28/282 spd=0.02 | beat=73386.82 px=73442.45 +7.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.006 thr=0.069 margin=-0.064 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.74/207 Dn=0.27/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73443.18 +7.7bp
2026-03-16T22:57:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-158s | p=UP77% σ=0.46 | Up=0.75/424 Dn=0.27/101 spd=0.02 | beat=73386.82 px=73443.29 +7.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_trend_accelerating | Up=0.82/15 Dn=0.21/26 spd=0.03 | beat=73386.82 px=73445.30 +8.0bp
2026-03-16T22:57:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-153s | p=UP78% σ=0.47 | Up=0.83/123 Dn=0.18/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73445.48 +8.0bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.016 thr=0.069 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.79/22 Dn=0.23/11 spd=0.02 | beat=73386.82 px=73447.28 +8.2bp
2026-03-16T22:57:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-148s | p=UP80% σ=0.47 | Up=0.82/184 Dn=0.22/4 spd=0.04 | beat=73386.82 px=73450.51 +8.7bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-143s | p=UP84% σ=0.47 | Up=0.81/381 Dn=0.21/6 spd=0.02 | beat=73386.82 px=73461.07 +10.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.81/10 Dn=0.20/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73386.82 px=73469.51 +11.3bp
2026-03-16T22:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773672900 T-137s | p=UP88% σ=0.47 | Up=0.83/109 Dn=0.20/80 spd=0.03 | beat=73386.82 px=73469.51 +11.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T22:57:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773672900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.029 thr=0.067 margin=-0.038 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.83/109 Dn=0.20/80 spd=0.03 | beat=73386.82 px=73469.51 +11.3bp
2026-03-16T22:57:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:52 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T22:57:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:57:52 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T22:58:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:58:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9150
2026-03-16T22:59:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 22:59:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9250
2026-03-16T23:00:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:00:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9342
2026-03-16T23:01:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:01:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9442
2026-03-16T23:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-179s | p=DN72% σ=0.66 | Up=0.36/560 Dn=0.66/152 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.65 px=73503.22 -9.0bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.034 thr=0.068 margin=-0.034 Up:contrarian_edge_below_threshold Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/560 Dn=0.66/152 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.65 px=73503.22 -9.0bp
2026-03-16T23:02:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-174s | p=DN70% σ=0.68 | Up=0.33/44 Dn=0.68/200 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73507.15 -8.5bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.34/25 Dn=0.71/29 spd=0.05 | beat=73569.65 px=73504.86 -8.8bp
2026-03-16T23:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-169s | p=DN71% σ=0.70 | Up=0.22/75 Dn=0.81/31 spd=0.03 | beat=73569.65 px=73504.86 -8.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.113 thr=0.068 margin=-0.181 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/75 Dn=0.81/31 spd=0.03 | beat=73569.65 px=73504.86 -8.8bp
2026-03-16T23:02:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-164s | p=DN83% σ=0.71 | Up=0.21/82 Dn=0.80/73 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73455.89 -15.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.76 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9534
2026-03-16T23:02:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-159s | p=DN84% σ=0.71 | Up=0.16/168 Dn=0.86/327 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.65 px=73453.31 -15.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓8s
2026-03-16T23:02:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.034 thr=0.067 margin=-0.101 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.16/168 Dn=0.86/327 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.65 px=73453.31 -15.8bp
2026-03-16T23:02:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.15/70 Dn=0.86/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73452.71 -15.9bp
2026-03-16T23:02:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-154s | p=DN87% σ=0.71 | Up=0.13/90 Dn=0.88/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73437.71 -17.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-149s | p=DN88% σ=0.72 | Up=0.15/31 Dn=0.86/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73436.10 -18.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:02:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.002 thr=0.067 margin=-0.065 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.15/31 Dn=0.86/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73436.10 -18.2bp
2026-03-16T23:02:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-144s | p=DN90% σ=0.72 | Up=0.09/73 Dn=0.92/164 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73427.63 -19.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:38 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/141 Dn=0.93/869 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73422.75 -20.0bp
2026-03-16T23:02:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673200 T-138s | p=DN91% σ=0.72 | Up=0.10/11 Dn=0.91/170 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73419.38 -20.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:02:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:02:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773673200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.067 margin=-0.075 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/11 Dn=0.91/170 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.65 px=73419.38 -20.4bp
2026-03-16T23:03:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:03:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.44 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9620
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 42 个 token
2026-03-16T23:04:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:10 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:04:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:04:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.78 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9723
2026-03-16T23:05:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:05:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.78 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9819
2026-03-16T23:06:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:06:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.78 usdc.e | traded=114 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 无持仓 | 扫描=9921
2026-03-16T23:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673500 T-180s | p=DN87% σ=0.66 | Up=0.25/216 Dn=0.78/383 spd=0.03 | beat=73521.80 px=73392.30 -17.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:07:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:10 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773673500 | Down avg≈0.770 5.0shares limit=0.770 order=0x21a11238dc893a1782a0f1b7e1c22bec80f1b35c820a383c85fa5e543d72539f
2026-03-16T23:07:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.65 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 107W-58L 已实现PnL=$-32.02 | BTC5 trade=38 22W-15L WR=59.5% PnL=$-37.81 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=10006
2026-03-16T23:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:28 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T23:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:28 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x4ed0c0255a4b65bf4d78f2c4efb0b32e06349929035e71784b867091b194cf08 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T23:07:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:30 create_order 未返回 order_id，但已通过 trades 对账恢复 | token=10893787774538706671277478599613441804297239517195264698455489829858774763790 side=sell trades=1 gross=5.020000 observed=5.020000
2026-03-16T23:07:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:07:30 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773673500 | Down avg≈0.720 5.020000shares limit=0.650 order=- drawdown=14.5%
2026-03-16T23:08:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:08:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.58 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 108W-59L 已实现PnL=$-32.27 | BTC5 trade=39 22W-16L WR=57.9% PnL=$-38.09 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10089
2026-03-16T23:09:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:09:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.58 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 108W-59L 已实现PnL=$-32.27 | BTC5 trade=39 22W-16L WR=57.9% PnL=$-38.09 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10192
2026-03-16T23:10:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:10:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.58 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 108W-59L 已实现PnL=$-32.27 | BTC5 trade=39 22W-16L WR=57.9% PnL=$-38.09 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10289
2026-03-16T23:11:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:11:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.58 usdc.e | traded=115 | 今日 108W-59L 已实现PnL=$-32.27 | BTC5 trade=39 22W-16L WR=57.9% PnL=$-38.09 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10392
2026-03-16T23:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773673800 T-180s | p=DN84% σ=0.54 | Up=0.32/35 Dn=0.69/35 spd=0.01 | beat=73583.05 px=73488.66 -12.8bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:06 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773673800 | Down avg≈0.690 6.0shares limit=0.690 order=0xc44844cbbe3369f4bae2d1f7db3f22df21208b0847545bfde69e3e292c765857
2026-03-16T23:12:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.06 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-59L 已实现PnL=$-32.27 | BTC5 trade=39 22W-16L WR=57.9% PnL=$-38.09 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773673800 Down | 扫描=10480
2026-03-16T23:12:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:29 FAK market order 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-16T23:12:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:12:29 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773673800 | Down limit=0.700 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-16T23:13:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:13:00 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773673800 | Down avg≈0.610 6.010000shares limit=0.610 order=0x05eb1c0611ba84073ebc452feac7f31ac67d8b895f86442be17854fccce3bb2c drawdown=10.3%
2026-03-16T23:13:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:13:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.20 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-61L 已实现PnL=$-32.65 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10543
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:01 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:01 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:14:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:01 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:14:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:01 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 46 个 token
2026-03-16T23:14:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:14:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.20 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-61L 已实现PnL=$-32.65 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10644
2026-03-16T23:15:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:15:19 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.20 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-61L 已实现PnL=$-32.65 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10742
2026-03-16T23:16:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:16:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.20 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-61L 已实现PnL=$-32.65 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10846
2026-03-16T23:16:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:16:50 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:16:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:16:51 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 48 个 token
2026-03-16T23:16:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:16:51 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-16T23:16:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:16:52 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 48 个 token
2026-03-16T23:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-179s | p=DN65% σ=0.66 | Up=0.39/135 Dn=0.62/146 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73635.84 -6.2bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.059 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/135 Dn=0.62/146 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73635.84 -6.2bp
2026-03-16T23:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-174s | p=DN61% σ=0.66 | Up=0.40/1449 Dn=0.61/55 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73648.95 -4.4bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:17:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.012 thr=0.070 margin=-0.082 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/771 Dn=0.61/615 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73651.61 -4.1bp
2026-03-16T23:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-169s | p=DN60% σ=0.66 | Up=0.43/41 Dn=0.59/4 spd=0.02 | beat=73681.73 px=73652.13 -4.0bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:17:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-163s | p=DN59% σ=0.67 | Up=0.51/46 Dn=0.52/33 spd=0.03 | beat=73681.73 px=73656.16 -3.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-16T23:17:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.53/8 Dn=0.51/6 spd=0.04 | beat=73681.73 px=73661.13 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T23:17:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:20 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.20 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-61L 已实现PnL=$-32.65 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=10939
2026-03-16T23:17:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.020 thr=0.070 margin=-0.050 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.54/50 Dn=0.49/28 spd=0.03 | beat=73681.73 px=73669.99 -1.6bp
2026-03-16T23:17:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-157s | p=UP55% σ=0.67 | Up=0.53/61 Dn=0.50/15 spd=0.03 | beat=73681.73 px=73696.44 +2.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-16T23:17:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-152s | p=UP56% σ=0.68 | Up=0.53/3 Dn=0.50/177 spd=0.03 | beat=73681.73 px=73699.61 +2.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:17:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.014 thr=0.070 margin=-0.084 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.54/101 Dn=0.47/110 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73692.90 +1.5bp
2026-03-16T23:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.52/10 Dn=0.52/219 spd=0.04 | beat=73681.73 px=73685.95 +0.6bp
2026-03-16T23:17:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-147s | p=UP52% σ=0.68 | Up=0.51/58 Dn=0.52/65 spd=0.03 | beat=73681.73 px=73685.95 +0.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-16T23:17:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-142s | p=UP52% σ=0.67 | Up=0.52/61 Dn=0.49/86 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73685.95 +0.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-16T23:17:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:41 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.070 thr=0.070 margin=-0.140 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.59/58 Dn=0.42/1 spd=0.01 | beat=73681.73 px=73691.66 +1.3bp
2026-03-16T23:17:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674100 T-137s | p=UP54% σ=0.67 | Up=0.60/200 Dn=0.42/7 spd=0.02 | beat=73681.73 px=73691.66 +1.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:17:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:17:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.62/232 Dn=0.43/28 spd=0.05 | beat=73681.73 px=73690.84 +1.2bp
2026-03-16T23:18:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:18:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.08 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11029
2026-03-16T23:19:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:19:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.08 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11131
2026-03-16T23:20:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:20:21 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.08 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11229
2026-03-16T23:21:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:21:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.08 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11331
2026-03-16T23:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-180s | p=UP63% σ=0.57 | Up=0.66/25 Dn=0.35/236 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73834.98 +4.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.059 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.66/25 Dn=0.35/236 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73834.98 +4.6bp
2026-03-16T23:22:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-174s | p=UP65% σ=0.57 | Up=0.62/66 Dn=0.39/29 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73839.23 +5.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-169s | p=UP67% σ=0.56 | Up=0.65/1393 Dn=0.36/143 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73842.06 +5.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.009 thr=0.070 margin=-0.079 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.65/1393 Dn=0.36/143 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73842.06 +5.6bp
2026-03-16T23:22:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.68/16 Dn=0.33/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73844.51 +5.9bp
2026-03-16T23:22:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-164s | p=UP68% σ=0.55 | Up=0.68/111 Dn=0.33/59 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73843.40 +5.7bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-159s | p=UP71% σ=0.55 | Up=0.69/78 Dn=0.32/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73850.17 +6.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.000 thr=0.070 margin=-0.070 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.69/78 Dn=0.32/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73850.17 +6.7bp
2026-03-16T23:22:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=53.08 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11420
2026-03-16T23:22:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_edge_below_threshold | Up=0.69/3 Dn=0.32/94 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73854.07 +7.2bp
2026-03-16T23:22:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-153s | p=UP73% σ=0.54 | Up=0.69/9 Dn=0.32/89 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73854.19 +7.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-148s | p=UP73% σ=0.54 | Up=0.73/12 Dn=0.28/94 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73854.36 +7.2bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.022 thr=0.070 margin=-0.092 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.74/54 Dn=0.27/12 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73854.36 +7.2bp
2026-03-16T23:22:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-143s | p=UP74% σ=0.54 | Up=0.80/216 Dn=0.23/52 spd=0.03 | beat=73801.05 px=73854.81 +7.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.85/359 Dn=0.19/37 spd=0.04 | beat=73801.05 px=73861.62 +8.2bp
2026-03-16T23:22:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674400 T-138s | p=UP80% σ=0.54 | Up=0.81/155 Dn=0.20/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73801.05 px=73870.54 +9.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:22:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:22:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.017 thr=0.067 margin=-0.085 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.80/71 Dn=0.22/28 spd=0.02 | beat=73801.05 px=73870.54 +9.4bp
2026-03-16T23:23:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:23:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.82 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11509
2026-03-16T23:24:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:24:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.69 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-62L 已实现PnL=$-32.76 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=11610
2026-03-16T23:25:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:25:22 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:25:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:25:22 UserOrderFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:25:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:25:22 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.67 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.08 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11706
2026-03-16T23:26:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:26:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.67 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.08 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11808
2026-03-16T23:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-180s | p=DN66% σ=0.46 | Up=0.34/85 Dn=0.67/553 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73832.34 -4.5bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.028 thr=0.070 margin=-0.098 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.34/85 Dn=0.67/553 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73832.34 -4.5bp
2026-03-16T23:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-174s | p=DN68% σ=0.46 | Up=0.39/25 Dn=0.63/409 spd=0.02 | beat=73865.45 px=73828.10 -5.1bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-169s | p=DN67% σ=0.47 | Up=0.45/129 Dn=0.56/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73830.01 -4.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=near_beat diff=4.8bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.45/129 Dn=0.56/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73830.01 -4.8bp
2026-03-16T23:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.49/132 Dn=0.56/68 spd=0.05 | beat=73865.45 px=73832.98 -4.4bp
2026-03-16T23:27:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.059 thr=0.070 margin=-0.011 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.50/507 Dn=0.51/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73844.93 -2.8bp
2026-03-16T23:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-164s | p=DN54% σ=0.47 | Up=0.50/13 Dn=0.51/144 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73858.11 -1.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-158s | p=DN52% σ=0.47 | Up=0.49/163 Dn=0.52/158 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73861.90 -0.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:23 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.67 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.08 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11898
2026-03-16T23:27:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.059 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.46/107 Dn=0.55/814 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73861.90 -0.5bp
2026-03-16T23:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-152s | p=DN52% σ=0.47 | Up=0.46/22 Dn=0.55/714 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73860.86 -0.6bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-147s | p=DN56% σ=0.47 | Up=0.47/169 Dn=0.54/41 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73853.85 -1.6bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773674700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.070 margin=-0.078 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.47/259 Dn=0.55/157 spd=0.02 | beat=73865.45 px=73853.45 -1.6bp
2026-03-16T23:27:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-142s | p=DN57% σ=0.46 | Up=0.51/310 Dn=0.50/59 spd=0.01 | beat=73865.45 px=73853.45 -1.6bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:27:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:27:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773674700 T-137s | p=DN55% σ=0.46 | Up=0.50/107 Dn=0.53/84 spd=0.03 | beat=73865.45 px=73856.11 -1.3bp | nb=7.6bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:28:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:28:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.67 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 108W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.08 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=11989
2026-03-16T23:29:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:29:24 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.72 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.03 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12090
2026-03-16T23:30:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:30:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.72 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.03 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12185
2026-03-16T23:31:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:31:25 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.72 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.03 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12288
2026-03-16T23:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-180s | p=UP66% σ=0.64 | Up=0.70/56 Dn=0.33/137 spd=0.03 | beat=73851.03 px=73899.50 +6.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.055 thr=0.070 margin=-0.125 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.70/56 Dn=0.33/137 spd=0.03 | beat=73851.03 px=73899.50 +6.6bp
2026-03-16T23:32:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.71/199 Dn=0.33/137 spd=0.04 | beat=73851.03 px=73899.22 +6.5bp
2026-03-16T23:32:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-175s | p=UP67% σ=0.64 | Up=0.65/351 Dn=0.36/22 spd=0.01 | beat=73851.03 px=73899.50 +6.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:32:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=near_beat diff=6.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.55/93 Dn=0.47/111 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73898.56 +6.4bp
2026-03-16T23:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-170s | p=UP66% σ=0.65 | Up=0.55/5 Dn=0.47/71 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73897.78 +6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:32:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.126 thr=0.070 margin=-0.196 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.55/5 Dn=0.47/71 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73897.78 +6.3bp
2026-03-16T23:32:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.51/21 Dn=0.53/16 spd=0.04 | beat=73851.03 px=73895.19 +6.0bp
2026-03-16T23:32:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:15 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-165s | p=UP60% σ=0.65 | Up=0.49/51 Dn=0.53/14 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73879.67 +3.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-16T23:32:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.023 thr=0.070 margin=-0.047 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.46/61 Dn=0.55/224 spd=0.01 | beat=73851.03 px=73854.83 +0.5bp
2026-03-16T23:32:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-159s | p=DN50% σ=0.66 | Up=0.42/80 Dn=0.60/655 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73850.66 -0.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑3s ↓7s
2026-03-16T23:32:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.72 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.03 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12378
2026-03-16T23:32:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-153s | p=DN56% σ=0.66 | Up=0.41/215 Dn=0.61/0 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73835.61 -2.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:32:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.42/14 Dn=0.63/187 spd=0.05 | beat=73851.03 px=73835.61 -2.1bp
2026-03-16T23:32:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.042 thr=0.070 margin=-0.028 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/30 Dn=0.63/79 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73835.61 -2.1bp
2026-03-16T23:32:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-147s | p=DN56% σ=0.66 | Up=0.42/16 Dn=0.64/278 spd=0.06 | beat=73851.03 px=73835.61 -2.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:32:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-142s | p=DN54% σ=0.67 | Up=0.43/105 Dn=0.59/109 spd=0.02 | beat=73851.03 px=73839.76 -1.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.46/40 Dn=0.58/15 spd=0.04 | beat=73851.03 px=73839.76 -1.5bp
2026-03-16T23:32:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675000 T-136s | p=DN55% σ=0.67 | Up=0.38/24 Dn=0.63/377 spd=0.01 | beat=73851.03 px=73839.18 -1.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:32:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:32:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.063 thr=0.070 margin=-0.007 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/24 Dn=0.63/377 spd=0.01 | beat=73851.03 px=73839.18 -1.6bp
2026-03-16T23:33:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:33:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.32 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-63L 已实现PnL=$-33.03 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12471
2026-03-16T23:34:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:34:26 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12574
2026-03-16T23:35:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:35:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12672
2026-03-16T23:36:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:36:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12775
2026-03-16T23:36:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:36:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x0422271ccfe531
2026-03-16T23:36:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:36:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x0422271ccfe531 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T23:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-180s | p=DN59% σ=0.57 | Up=0.42/80 Dn=0.60/155 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73710.84 -3.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.07 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.013 thr=0.070 margin=-0.083 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.42/80 Dn=0.60/155 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73710.84 -3.1bp
2026-03-16T23:37:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-175s | p=DN61% σ=0.55 | Up=0.41/136 Dn=0.60/108 spd=0.01 | beat=73733.62 px=73707.07 -3.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:37:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.010 thr=0.070 margin=-0.080 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.41/39 Dn=0.60/53 spd=0.01 | beat=73733.62 px=73705.40 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T23:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-169s | p=DN61% σ=0.55 | Up=0.41/51 Dn=0.61/75 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73706.16 -3.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:37:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-163s | p=DN62% σ=0.55 | Up=0.39/59 Dn=0.62/100 spd=0.01 | beat=73733.62 px=73705.42 -3.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:37:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.003 thr=0.070 margin=-0.067 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.37/670 Dn=0.64/0 spd=0.01 | beat=73733.62 px=73704.83 -3.9bp
2026-03-16T23:37:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | rej=near_beat diff=3.9bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.29/92 Dn=0.73/419 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73704.54 -3.9bp
2026-03-16T23:37:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-157s | p=DN64% σ=0.55 | Up=0.29/77 Dn=0.73/354 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73702.20 -4.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:37:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:27 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12864
2026-03-16T23:37:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 T-152s | p=DN73% σ=0.58 | Up=0.29/199 Dn=0.73/317 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73674.62 -8.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:37:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.015 thr=0.069 margin=-0.084 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.29/83 Dn=0.73/215 spd=0.02 | beat=73733.62 px=73674.35 -8.0bp
2026-03-16T23:37:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:40 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-16T23:37:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:40 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x01e6a6aa0658f49c75101c2f8c947c5ba941904e40c9c236125f016ceb973dc2 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-16T23:37:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:40 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x01e6a6aa0658f49c75101c2f8c947c5ba941904e40c9c236125f016ceb973dc2，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-16T23:37:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:52 FAK 订单未成交 | intent=e8cae6bb-c521-48f0-9e63-b307cef3b5f7 order=0x01e6a6aa0658f49c75101c2f8c947c5ba941904e40c9c236125f016ceb973dc2 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T23:37:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:52 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | Down limit=0.490 reason=order_unfilled order=0x01e6a6aa0658f49c75101c2f8c947c5ba941904e40c9c236125f016ceb973dc2
2026-03-16T23:37:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:37:52 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675300 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T23:38:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:38:28 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=12930
2026-03-16T23:39:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:39:28 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13033
2026-03-16T23:40:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:40:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13131
2026-03-16T23:41:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:41:29 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.89 usdc.e | traded=116 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13234
2026-03-16T23:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675600 T-180s | p=DN95% σ=0.51 | Up=0.14/317 Dn=0.87/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73665.25 px=73522.29 -19.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.062 thr=0.067 margin=-0.005 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.14/317 Dn=0.87/72 spd=0.01 | beat=73665.25 px=73522.29 -19.4bp
2026-03-16T23:42:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.23/101 Dn=0.78/2 spd=0.01 | beat=73665.25 px=73522.15 -19.4bp
2026-03-16T23:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:11 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773675600 | Down avg≈0.800 5.62378shares limit=0.800 order=0x4cad71e10676231f29724945c7ef84d785e078d3f2ba66b91416293af2999fe1
2026-03-16T23:42:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:42:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.93 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 109W-64L 已实现PnL=$-33.86 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773675600 Down | 扫描=13317
2026-03-16T23:43:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:43:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.93 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 109W-65L 已实现PnL=$-34.30 | BTC5 trade=40 22W-17L WR=56.4% PnL=$-38.56 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773675600 Down | 扫描=13385
2026-03-16T23:44:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:44:10 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773675600 | Down avg≈0.930 5.620000shares limit=0.930 order=0x06d3a16bb16f1888b7f4a9209d99152f7f37b95fab944cfcca3ddff8d83bf947 drawdown=0.0%
2026-03-16T23:44:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:44:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.15 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-65L 已实现PnL=$-33.60 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13457
2026-03-16T23:45:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:45:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.15 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-65L 已实现PnL=$-33.60 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13554
2026-03-16T23:46:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:46:30 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.15 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-65L 已实现PnL=$-33.60 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13656
2026-03-16T23:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-180s | p=UP51% σ=0.44 | Up=0.36/245 Dn=0.65/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73571.90 +0.4bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.11 | ↑6s ↓4s
2026-03-16T23:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=near_beat diff=0.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.36/245 Dn=0.65/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73571.90 +0.4bp
2026-03-16T23:47:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.058 thr=0.070 margin=-0.012 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.38/183 Dn=0.63/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73560.23 -1.2bp
2026-03-16T23:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-175s | p=DN63% σ=0.43 | Up=0.37/8 Dn=0.64/48 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73543.81 -3.4bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.10 | ↑1s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:47:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:09 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.46/121 Dn=0.58/70 spd=0.04 | beat=73569.19 px=73541.54 -3.8bp
2026-03-16T23:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-169s | p=DN66% σ=0.41 | Up=0.44/27 Dn=0.57/99 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73541.09 -3.8bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.10 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:47:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.045 thr=0.070 margin=-0.025 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.44/215 Dn=0.57/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73543.87 -3.4bp
2026-03-16T23:47:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-163s | p=DN60% σ=0.41 | Up=0.48/118 Dn=0.53/99 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73551.50 -2.4bp | nb=7.4bp flip=0.10 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:47:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-157s | p=DN54% σ=0.42 | Up=0.55/11 Dn=0.46/59 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73561.73 -1.0bp | nb=8.6bp flip=0.11 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:47:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.58/273 Dn=0.46/180 spd=0.04 | beat=73569.19 px=73562.96 -0.8bp
2026-03-16T23:47:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.061 thr=0.070 margin=-0.009 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.58/130 Dn=0.44/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73569.19 px=73563.28 -0.8bp
2026-03-16T23:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-151s | p=DN53% σ=0.43 | Up=0.58/23 Dn=0.43/41 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73564.64 -0.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.09 | ↑5s ↓5s
2026-03-16T23:47:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=52.15 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-65L 已实现PnL=$-33.60 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13743
2026-03-16T23:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-146s | p=UP71% σ=0.43 | Up=0.71/101 Dn=0.34/65 spd=0.05 | beat=73569.19 px=73607.24 +5.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.08 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:47:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.011 thr=0.070 margin=-0.059 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/117 Dn=0.32/20 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73609.74 +5.5bp
2026-03-16T23:47:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773675900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.73/874 Dn=0.33/35 spd=0.06 | beat=73569.19 px=73611.09 +5.7bp
2026-03-16T23:47:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:47:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773675900 T-140s | p=UP74% σ=0.43 | Up=0.71/102 Dn=0.30/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73569.19 px=73611.55 +5.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.07 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-16T23:48:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:48:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=50.51 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-65L 已实现PnL=$-33.60 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=13839
2026-03-16T23:49:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:49:31 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 111W-65L 已实现PnL=$-31.57 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=13940
2026-03-16T23:50:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:50:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14035
2026-03-16T23:51:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:51:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14136
2026-03-16T23:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-180s | p=DN95% σ=0.48 | Up=0.11/256 Dn=0.90/980 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73398.21 -19.2bp | nb=7.4bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.045 thr=0.067 margin=-0.022 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.11/256 Dn=0.90/980 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73398.21 -19.2bp
2026-03-16T23:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-175s | p=DN96% σ=0.48 | Up=0.10/12 Dn=0.91/160 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73391.34 -20.2bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.10/81 Dn=0.91/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73389.12 -20.5bp
2026-03-16T23:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-169s | p=DN97% σ=0.48 | Up=0.08/190 Dn=0.93/691 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73382.38 -21.4bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-164s | p=DN98% σ=0.49 | Up=0.05/217 Dn=0.96/1263 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73375.06 -22.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.05/188 Dn=0.96/1109 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73373.32 -22.6bp
2026-03-16T23:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-159s | p=DN99% σ=0.48 | Up=0.06/506 Dn=0.95/1099 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73357.29 -24.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:21 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x27e7fba408ac0b
2026-03-16T23:52:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:21 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x27e7fba408ac0b 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-16T23:52:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.09/118 Dn=0.95/1979 spd=0.04 | beat=73539.59 px=73342.25 -26.8bp
2026-03-16T23:52:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-153s | p=DN99% σ=0.51 | Up=0.09/124 Dn=0.93/105 spd=0.02 | beat=73539.59 px=73343.61 -26.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.064 thr=0.067 margin=-0.003 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.09/94 Dn=0.92/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73343.61 -26.6bp
2026-03-16T23:52:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.09/367 Dn=0.92/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73342.25 -26.8bp
2026-03-16T23:52:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-147s | p=DN98% σ=0.51 | Up=0.09/670 Dn=0.92/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73372.18 -22.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14220
2026-03-16T23:52:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:38 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-142s | p=DN98% σ=0.51 | Up=0.08/81 Dn=0.93/74 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73381.18 -21.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.08/891 Dn=0.93/107 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73380.92 -21.6bp
2026-03-16T23:52:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676200 T-136s | p=DN98% σ=0.52 | Up=0.10/107 Dn=0.91/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73381.14 -21.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:52:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:52:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.058 thr=0.067 margin=-0.009 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.10/107 Dn=0.91/58 spd=0.01 | beat=73539.59 px=73381.14 -21.5bp
2026-03-16T23:53:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:53:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14316
2026-03-16T23:54:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:54:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14419
2026-03-16T23:55:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:55:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14518
2026-03-16T23:56:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:56:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14621
2026-03-16T23:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-16T23:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-179s | p=DN78% σ=0.52 | Up=0.30/83 Dn=0.71/236 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73317.69 -9.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.050 thr=0.067 margin=-0.017 Up:contrarian_edge_below_threshold Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.30/83 Dn=0.71/236 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73317.69 -9.6bp
2026-03-16T23:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-174s | p=DN78% σ=0.52 | Up=0.24/67 Dn=0.77/271 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73318.15 -9.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-169s | p=DN79% σ=0.52 | Up=0.20/182 Dn=0.82/223 spd=0.02 | beat=73387.96 px=73316.90 -9.7bp | nb=8.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.043 thr=0.067 margin=-0.110 Up:contrarian_edge_below_threshold Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.20/182 Dn=0.82/223 spd=0.02 | beat=73387.96 px=73316.90 -9.7bp
2026-03-16T23:57:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.20/351 Dn=0.83/3 spd=0.03 | beat=73387.96 px=73312.15 -10.3bp
2026-03-16T23:57:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-163s | p=DN89% σ=0.52 | Up=0.12/9 Dn=0.89/332 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73281.46 -14.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:57:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.024 thr=0.067 margin=-0.043 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/95 Dn=0.89/101 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73271.31 -15.9bp
2026-03-16T23:57:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-157s | p=DN93% σ=0.49 | Up=0.12/260 Dn=0.89/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73271.31 -15.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.12/260 Dn=0.89/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73271.31 -15.9bp
2026-03-16T23:57:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-152s | p=DN96% σ=0.49 | Up=0.14/12 Dn=0.87/97 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73253.77 -18.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:30 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-16T23:57:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:30 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | Down limit=0.870 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-16T23:57:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-16T23:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-147s | p=DN96% σ=0.50 | Up=0.12/152 Dn=0.89/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73251.36 -18.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-16T23:57:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.058 thr=0.067 margin=-0.009 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.12/152 Dn=0.89/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73251.36 -18.6bp
2026-03-16T23:57:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14703
2026-03-16T23:57:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.11/27 Dn=0.90/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73251.86 -18.5bp
2026-03-16T23:57:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-141s | p=DN96% σ=0.52 | Up=0.07/10 Dn=0.94/811 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73251.61 -18.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676500 T-135s | p=DN98% σ=0.50 | Up=0.06/239 Dn=0.95/464 spd=0.01 | beat=73387.96 px=73236.43 -20.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-16T23:57:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:51 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-16T23:57:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:57:51 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-16T23:58:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:58:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14800
2026-03-16T23:59:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-16 23:59:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 110W-66L 已实现PnL=$-33.89 | BTC5 trade=41 23W-17L WR=57.5% PnL=$-37.86 | 无持仓 | 扫描=14903
2026-03-17T00:00:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:00:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 0W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.00 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15000
2026-03-17T00:01:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:01:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 0W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.00 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15103
2026-03-17T00:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-180s | p=DN75% σ=0.48 | Up=0.34/454 Dn=0.67/64 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73223.25 -7.7bp | nb=7.8bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.053 thr=0.069 margin=-0.017 Up:contrarian_trend_accelerating Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.34/454 Dn=0.67/64 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73223.25 -7.7bp
2026-03-17T00:02:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_trend_accelerating Down:价差大 | Up=0.31/145 Dn=0.72/343 spd=0.03 | beat=73279.38 px=73219.72 -8.1bp
2026-03-17T00:02:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-174s | p=DN78% σ=0.48 | Up=0.28/98 Dn=0.74/17 spd=0.02 | beat=73279.38 px=73216.35 -8.6bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-169s | p=DN81% σ=0.48 | Up=0.29/32 Dn=0.72/260 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73209.51 -9.5bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:02:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.063 thr=0.067 margin=-0.005 Up:contrarian_edge_below_threshold Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.29/32 Dn=0.72/260 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73209.51 -9.5bp
2026-03-17T00:02:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-164s | p=DN82% σ=0.47 | Up=0.26/182 Dn=0.76/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73279.38 px=73206.16 -10.0bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:02:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_trend_accelerating Down:量不足 | Up=0.26/182 Dn=0.76/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73279.38 px=73206.16 -10.0bp
2026-03-17T00:02:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.052 thr=0.067 margin=-0.015 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.24/20 Dn=0.77/360 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73201.47 -10.6bp
2026-03-17T00:02:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-158s | p=DN84% σ=0.47 | Up=0.24/112 Dn=0.77/184 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73200.66 -10.7bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:02:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.051 thr=0.067 margin=-0.016 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.25/191 Dn=0.78/76 spd=0.03 | beat=73279.38 px=73199.65 -10.9bp
2026-03-17T00:02:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-153s | p=DN85% σ=0.47 | Up=0.24/77 Dn=0.78/153 spd=0.02 | beat=73279.38 px=73199.65 -10.9bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:32 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T00:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:32 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | Down limit=0.770 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T00:02:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T00:02:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-147s | p=DN86% σ=0.46 | Up=0.23/355 Dn=0.78/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73199.19 -10.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:02:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.066 thr=0.067 margin=-0.001 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.23/355 Dn=0.78/21 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73199.19 -10.9bp
2026-03-17T00:02:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.24/661 Dn=0.77/19 spd=0.01 | beat=73279.38 px=73198.48 -11.0bp
2026-03-17T00:02:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=50.20 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 0W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.00 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15181
2026-03-17T00:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:42 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T00:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:42 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | Down limit=0.780 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T00:02:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T00:02:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:43 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773676800 T-137s | p=DN89% σ=0.44 | Up=0.22/5 Dn=0.80/175 spd=0.02 | beat=73279.38 px=73197.37 -11.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:02:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:02:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773676800 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.062 thr=0.067 margin=-0.005 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.22/155 Dn=0.81/96 spd=0.03 | beat=73279.38 px=73197.58 -11.2bp
2026-03-17T00:03:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:03:36 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15271
2026-03-17T00:04:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15372
2026-03-17T00:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:59 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:59 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:04:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:59 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:04:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:04:59 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 66 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:00 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:01 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:01 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:01 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:01 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:01 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:02 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:03 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:04 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 68 个 token
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:05:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:05 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:05:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:05:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15467
2026-03-17T00:06:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:06:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15568
2026-03-17T00:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-180s | p=UP82% σ=0.55 | Up=0.87/0 Dn=0.14/312 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73352.51 +12.2bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.87/0 Dn=0.14/312 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73352.51 +12.2bp
2026-03-17T00:07:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.069 thr=0.067 margin=-0.136 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.89/307 Dn=0.12/206 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73352.59 +12.2bp
2026-03-17T00:07:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-174s | p=UP83% σ=0.55 | Up=0.83/102 Dn=0.18/201 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73354.78 +12.5bp | nb=7.4bp flip=0.02 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-169s | p=UP84% σ=0.54 | Up=0.84/80 Dn=0.17/118 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73354.94 +12.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.89/299 Dn=0.15/21 spd=0.04 | beat=73263.36 px=73354.94 +12.5bp
2026-03-17T00:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.114 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.88/135 Dn=0.13/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73354.75 +12.5bp
2026-03-17T00:07:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-164s | p=UP85% σ=0.55 | Up=0.89/381 Dn=0.12/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73357.90 +12.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-159s | p=UP85% σ=0.56 | Up=0.93/738 Dn=0.08/193 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73358.45 +13.0bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.93/180 Dn=0.08/336 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73359.70 +13.1bp
2026-03-17T00:07:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-154s | p=UP87% σ=0.56 | Up=0.94/702 Dn=0.07/282 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73363.94 +13.7bp | nb=7.9bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-149s | p=UP91% σ=0.57 | Up=0.97/2206 Dn=0.04/143 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73383.14 +16.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.97/1908 Dn=0.04/381 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73383.14 +16.3bp
2026-03-17T00:07:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-144s | p=UP92% σ=0.57 | Up=0.97/353 Dn=0.04/324 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73391.44 +17.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15650
2026-03-17T00:07:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677100 T-138s | p=UP95% σ=0.57 | Up=0.98/2544 Dn=0.03/463 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73408.51 +19.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:07:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:07:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.98/2544 Dn=0.03/463 spd=0.01 | beat=73263.36 px=73408.51 +19.8bp
2026-03-17T00:08:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:08:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15747
2026-03-17T00:09:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:09:37 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15849
2026-03-17T00:10:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:10:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=15948
2026-03-17T00:11:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:11:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16051
2026-03-17T00:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-180s | p=DN63% σ=0.42 | Up=0.38/53 Dn=0.65/45 spd=0.03 | beat=73331.44 px=73307.17 -3.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑1s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.013 thr=0.070 margin=-0.083 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/53 Dn=0.65/45 spd=0.03 | beat=73331.44 px=73307.17 -3.3bp
2026-03-17T00:12:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.39/69 Dn=0.64/0 spd=0.03 | beat=73331.44 px=73298.96 -4.4bp
2026-03-17T00:12:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=near_beat diff=5.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.42/200 Dn=0.59/80 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73289.60 -5.7bp
2026-03-17T00:12:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-174s | p=DN72% σ=0.43 | Up=0.38/41 Dn=0.64/147 spd=0.02 | beat=73331.44 px=73287.66 -6.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:12:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-169s | p=DN73% σ=0.43 | Up=0.36/67 Dn=0.71/85 spd=0.07 | beat=73331.44 px=73286.23 -6.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:12:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.062 thr=0.070 margin=-0.008 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/9 Dn=0.64/232 spd=0.03 | beat=73331.44 px=73286.58 -6.1bp
2026-03-17T00:12:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=near_beat diff=5.8bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.39/143 Dn=0.62/40 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73288.93 -5.8bp
2026-03-17T00:12:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-164s | p=DN72% σ=0.43 | Up=0.39/143 Dn=0.62/28 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73288.93 -5.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:12:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.45/246 Dn=0.62/22 spd=0.07 | beat=73331.44 px=73288.93 -5.8bp
2026-03-17T00:12:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-159s | p=DN71% σ=0.42 | Up=0.43/29 Dn=0.58/6 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73293.18 -5.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:12:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=near_beat diff=5.1bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.43/95 Dn=0.58/42 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73294.03 -5.1bp
2026-03-17T00:12:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-153s | p=DN71% σ=0.41 | Up=0.42/235 Dn=0.59/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73294.16 -5.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-17T00:12:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.41/80 Dn=0.60/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73297.16 -4.7bp
2026-03-17T00:12:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-147s | p=DN70% σ=0.40 | Up=0.43/88 Dn=0.61/434 spd=0.04 | beat=73331.44 px=73297.63 -4.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:12:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=near_beat diff=4.8bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.44/15 Dn=0.57/459 spd=0.01 | beat=73331.44 px=73296.33 -4.8bp
2026-03-17T00:12:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:38 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.71 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-0L 已实现PnL=$+0.07 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16133
2026-03-17T00:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677400 T-141s | p=DN71% σ=0.41 | Up=0.58/143 Dn=0.46/96 spd=0.04 | beat=73331.44 px=73296.67 -4.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:12:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:12:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.58/143 Dn=0.46/96 spd=0.04 | beat=73331.44 px=73296.67 -4.7bp
2026-03-17T00:13:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:13:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16233
2026-03-17T00:14:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:14:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16335
2026-03-17T00:15:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:15:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16434
2026-03-17T00:16:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:16:39 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16537
2026-03-17T00:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-179s | p=UP64% σ=0.49 | Up=0.66/1 Dn=0.36/40 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73374.86 +4.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.005 thr=0.070 margin=-0.075 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.66/1 Dn=0.36/40 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73374.86 +4.2bp
2026-03-17T00:17:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-174s | p=UP66% σ=0.48 | Up=0.68/50 Dn=0.34/3 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73378.83 +4.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/19 Dn=0.33/112 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73379.12 +4.8bp
2026-03-17T00:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-169s | p=UP70% σ=0.48 | Up=0.65/102 Dn=0.37/73 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73385.22 +5.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.017 thr=0.070 margin=-0.053 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.65/102 Dn=0.37/73 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73385.22 +5.7bp
2026-03-17T00:17:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-163s | p=UP72% σ=0.47 | Up=0.69/246 Dn=0.35/188 spd=0.04 | beat=73343.72 px=73388.42 +6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.69/246 Dn=0.35/188 spd=0.04 | beat=73343.72 px=73388.42 +6.1bp
2026-03-17T00:17:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.006 thr=0.070 margin=-0.064 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/50 Dn=0.32/318 spd=0.01 | beat=73343.72 px=73390.41 +6.4bp
2026-03-17T00:17:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-157s | p=UP72% σ=0.48 | Up=0.69/40 Dn=0.32/308 spd=0.01 | beat=73343.72 px=73390.68 +6.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-152s | p=UP82% σ=0.49 | Up=0.78/500 Dn=0.24/90 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73415.78 +9.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.86/31 Dn=0.20/57 spd=0.06 | beat=73343.72 px=73439.99 +13.1bp
2026-03-17T00:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 T-146s | p=UP91% σ=0.50 | Up=0.84/190 Dn=0.18/15 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73446.79 +14.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:17:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.049 thr=0.067 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.84/190 Dn=0.18/15 spd=0.02 | beat=73343.72 px=73446.79 +14.1bp
2026-03-17T00:17:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:43 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T00:17:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:44 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x282aed7e03d619db2921addc9617eb6d7d369eb2df9678a10ae5586d96b12834 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T00:17:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:44 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x282aed7e03d619db2921addc9617eb6d7d369eb2df9678a10ae5586d96b12834，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-17T00:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:56 FAK 订单未成交 | intent=9ea481b5-6468-4675-be1a-84011ea274cf order=0x282aed7e03d619db2921addc9617eb6d7d369eb2df9678a10ae5586d96b12834 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T00:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:56 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | Up limit=0.840 reason=order_unfilled order=0x282aed7e03d619db2921addc9617eb6d7d369eb2df9678a10ae5586d96b12834
2026-03-17T00:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:56 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773677700 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T00:17:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:17:56 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16617
2026-03-17T00:18:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:18:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16721
2026-03-17T00:19:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:19:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16825
2026-03-17T00:20:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:20:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=16925
2026-03-17T00:21:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:21:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17029
2026-03-17T00:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-180s | p=DN53% σ=0.49 | Up=0.35/118 Dn=0.67/205 spd=0.02 | beat=73449.52 px=73442.26 -1.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑2s ↓8s
2026-03-17T00:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.35/118 Dn=0.67/205 spd=0.02 | beat=73449.52 px=73442.26 -1.0bp
2026-03-17T00:22:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.155 thr=0.070 margin=-0.225 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.33/9 Dn=0.69/59 spd=0.02 | beat=73449.52 px=73439.89 -1.3bp
2026-03-17T00:22:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-175s | p=DN60% σ=0.52 | Up=0.31/72 Dn=0.70/910 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73427.49 -3.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:22:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:08 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.34/244 Dn=0.70/1267 spd=0.04 | beat=73449.52 px=73430.12 -2.6bp
2026-03-17T00:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-169s | p=DN57% σ=0.52 | Up=0.51/126 Dn=0.50/38 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73433.37 -2.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:22:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.001 thr=0.070 margin=-0.069 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.51/107 Dn=0.50/33 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73443.07 -0.9bp
2026-03-17T00:22:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-163s | p=DN52% σ=0.52 | Up=0.51/206 Dn=0.50/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73445.56 -0.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-17T00:22:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-157s | p=DN52% σ=0.51 | Up=0.44/168 Dn=0.58/144 spd=0.02 | beat=73449.52 px=73445.53 -0.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑5s ↓6s
2026-03-17T00:22:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.027 thr=0.070 margin=-0.043 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.42/75 Dn=0.59/116 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73440.39 -1.2bp
2026-03-17T00:22:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-152s | p=DN57% σ=0.49 | Up=0.42/18 Dn=0.59/26 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73436.19 -1.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:22:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:31 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.42/300 Dn=0.64/96 spd=0.06 | beat=73449.52 px=73434.15 -2.1bp
2026-03-17T00:22:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-146s | p=DN59% σ=0.50 | Up=0.36/78 Dn=0.65/12 spd=0.01 | beat=73449.52 px=73431.52 -2.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:22:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.067 thr=0.070 margin=-0.003 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.32/73 Dn=0.70/416 spd=0.02 | beat=73449.52 px=73429.41 -2.7bp
2026-03-17T00:22:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678000 T-140s | p=DN68% σ=0.50 | Up=0.33/85 Dn=0.70/147 spd=0.03 | beat=73449.52 px=73412.35 -5.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:22:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678000 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.35/246 Dn=0.72/101 spd=0.07 | beat=73449.52 px=73412.21 -5.1bp
2026-03-17T00:22:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:53 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:22:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:53 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:22:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:22:57 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.64 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 1W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.13 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17110
2026-03-17T00:23:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:23:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.72 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.05 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17215
2026-03-17T00:24:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:24:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.72 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.05 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17319
2026-03-17T00:25:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:25:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.72 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.05 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17419
2026-03-17T00:26:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:26:58 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.72 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-1L 已实现PnL=$-0.05 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17523
2026-03-17T00:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-180s | p=UP58% σ=0.45 | Up=0.69/85 Dn=0.33/43 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73433.27 +2.2bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=near_beat diff=2.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.69/85 Dn=0.33/43 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73433.27 +2.2bp
2026-03-17T00:27:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.043 thr=0.070 margin=-0.027 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.70/260 Dn=0.32/71 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73439.85 +3.1bp
2026-03-17T00:27:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.69/0 Dn=0.33/284 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73447.03 +4.1bp
2026-03-17T00:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-174s | p=UP68% σ=0.41 | Up=0.70/4 Dn=0.31/504 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73450.99 +4.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-169s | p=UP78% σ=0.43 | Up=0.76/128 Dn=0.27/49 spd=0.03 | beat=73416.94 px=73472.22 +7.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.029 thr=0.069 margin=-0.039 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.75/30 Dn=0.26/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73478.40 +8.4bp
2026-03-17T00:27:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-163s | p=UP81% σ=0.43 | Up=0.71/19 Dn=0.30/202 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73479.80 +8.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.71/19 Dn=0.30/202 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73479.80 +8.6bp
2026-03-17T00:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.60/16 Dn=0.42/113 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73471.52 +7.4bp
2026-03-17T00:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-157s | p=UP77% σ=0.43 | Up=0.60/16 Dn=0.42/113 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.94 px=73470.09 +7.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.019 thr=0.070 margin=-0.051 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.60/72 Dn=0.43/138 spd=0.03 | beat=73416.94 px=73444.06 +3.7bp
2026-03-17T00:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=near_beat diff=2.6bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.50/446 Dn=0.53/33 spd=0.03 | beat=73416.94 px=73435.89 +2.6bp
2026-03-17T00:27:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-151s | p=UP61% σ=0.43 | Up=0.50/102 Dn=0.53/10 spd=0.03 | beat=73416.94 px=73435.89 +2.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:27:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-145s | p=UP51% σ=0.42 | Up=0.50/193 Dn=0.56/320 spd=0.06 | beat=73416.94 px=73418.30 +0.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-17T00:27:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.50/193 Dn=0.56/320 spd=0.06 | beat=73416.94 px=73418.30 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T00:27:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.026 thr=0.070 margin=-0.044 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.45/76 Dn=0.56/118 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73418.10 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T00:27:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678300 T-140s | p=DN52% σ=0.42 | Up=0.45/145 Dn=0.56/90 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.94 px=73413.67 -0.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑1s ↓9s
2026-03-17T00:27:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:27:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17603
2026-03-17T00:28:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:28:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17708
2026-03-17T00:29:59+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:29:59 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17813
2026-03-17T00:31:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:31:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=17913
2026-03-17T00:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-179s | p=UP51% σ=0.51 | Up=0.68/223 Dn=0.33/179 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73417.74 +0.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-17T00:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=near_beat diff=0.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.68/223 Dn=0.33/179 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73417.74 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T00:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:00 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.54 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18016
2026-03-17T00:32:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.204 thr=0.070 margin=-0.274 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.70/541 Dn=0.31/8 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73417.74 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T00:32:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:02 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.69/5 Dn=0.32/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73417.74 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T00:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-174s | p=UP54% σ=0.50 | Up=0.70/58 Dn=0.32/3 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73424.69 +1.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑8s ↓2s
2026-03-17T00:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:06 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xe455db167f9425
2026-03-17T00:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:06 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xe455db167f9425 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T00:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-169s | p=UP69% σ=0.54 | Up=0.72/111 Dn=0.29/76 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73461.52 +6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.042 thr=0.070 margin=-0.112 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.72/96 Dn=0.29/71 spd=0.01 | beat=73416.56 px=73461.97 +6.2bp
2026-03-17T00:32:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/10 Dn=0.24/103 spd=0.04 | beat=73416.56 px=73464.05 +6.5bp
2026-03-17T00:32:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-164s | p=UP76% σ=0.52 | Up=0.85/312 Dn=0.22/10 spd=0.07 | beat=73416.56 px=73477.45 +8.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-158s | p=UP86% σ=0.52 | Up=0.88/23 Dn=0.16/58 spd=0.04 | beat=73416.56 px=73506.60 +12.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.81/7 Dn=0.21/124 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73508.27 +12.5bp
2026-03-17T00:32:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-153s | p=UP88% σ=0.52 | Up=0.83/8 Dn=0.19/19 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73513.81 +13.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.051 thr=0.067 margin=-0.016 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.80/246 Dn=0.22/10 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73511.73 +13.0bp
2026-03-17T00:32:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:32 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-148s | p=UP86% σ=0.52 | Up=0.83/56 Dn=0.21/20 spd=0.04 | beat=73416.56 px=73505.20 +12.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.83/14 Dn=0.19/2 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73491.16 +10.2bp
2026-03-17T00:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:37 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-143s | p=UP78% σ=0.52 | Up=0.79/80 Dn=0.23/87 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73480.61 +8.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:42 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678600 T-137s | p=UP76% σ=0.53 | Up=0.76/80 Dn=0.26/269 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73474.02 +7.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:32:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:32:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.019 thr=0.069 margin=-0.088 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.76/80 Dn=0.26/269 spd=0.02 | beat=73416.56 px=73474.02 +7.8bp
2026-03-17T00:33:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:33:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.73 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18096
2026-03-17T00:34:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:34:01 💓 heartbeat | 余额=50.43 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-2L 已实现PnL=$-0.22 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=18199
2026-03-17T00:35:02+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:35:02 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.60 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-3L 已实现PnL=$-0.36 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18301
2026-03-17T00:36:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:36:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.60 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-3L 已实现PnL=$-0.36 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18404
2026-03-17T00:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-180s | p=UP53% σ=0.52 | Up=0.40/165 Dn=0.65/246 spd=0.05 | beat=73434.08 px=73441.31 +1.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑8s ↓3s
2026-03-17T00:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.40/165 Dn=0.65/246 spd=0.05 | beat=73434.08 px=73441.31 +1.0bp
2026-03-17T00:37:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=near_beat diff=1.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.36/77 Dn=0.65/156 spd=0.01 | beat=73434.08 px=73441.31 +1.0bp
2026-03-17T00:37:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.60 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-3L 已实现PnL=$-0.36 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18506
2026-03-17T00:37:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.154 thr=0.070 margin=-0.224 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/13 Dn=0.63/408 spd=0.03 | beat=73434.08 px=73441.31 +1.0bp
2026-03-17T00:37:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-175s | p=DN53% σ=0.52 | Up=0.38/39 Dn=0.63/312 spd=0.01 | beat=73434.08 px=73428.24 -0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑3s ↓8s
2026-03-17T00:37:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-169s | p=DN62% σ=0.50 | Up=0.37/688 Dn=0.64/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73434.08 px=73408.50 -3.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:37:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.039 thr=0.070 margin=-0.031 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.33/47 Dn=0.68/305 spd=0.01 | beat=73434.08 px=73407.74 -3.6bp
2026-03-17T00:37:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:15 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.33/176 Dn=0.73/205 spd=0.06 | beat=73434.08 px=73407.74 -3.6bp
2026-03-17T00:37:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-163s | p=DN62% σ=0.50 | Up=0.33/141 Dn=0.69/3 spd=0.02 | beat=73434.08 px=73407.64 -3.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:37:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-157s | p=DN71% σ=0.50 | Up=0.28/649 Dn=0.74/19 spd=0.02 | beat=73434.08 px=73389.64 -6.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:37:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.096 thr=0.070 margin=-0.166 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.23/34 Dn=0.80/385 spd=0.03 | beat=73434.08 px=73388.39 -6.2bp
2026-03-17T00:37:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-152s | p=DN72% σ=0.49 | Up=0.23/115 Dn=0.79/103 spd=0.02 | beat=73434.08 px=73387.31 -6.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:37:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-146s | p=DN79% σ=0.50 | Up=0.31/53 Dn=0.72/124 spd=0.03 | beat=73434.08 px=73371.95 -8.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:37:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.041 thr=0.068 margin=-0.028 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.30/1 Dn=0.72/113 spd=0.02 | beat=73434.08 px=73371.95 -8.5bp
2026-03-17T00:37:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773678900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.29/138 Dn=0.74/10 spd=0.03 | beat=73434.08 px=73371.95 -8.5bp
2026-03-17T00:37:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:37:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773678900 T-140s | p=DN79% σ=0.49 | Up=0.33/297 Dn=0.70/118 spd=0.03 | beat=73434.08 px=73373.48 -8.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:38:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:38:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18589
2026-03-17T00:39:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:39:03 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18693
2026-03-17T00:40:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:40:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18793
2026-03-17T00:41:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:41:04 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18897
2026-03-17T00:41:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:41:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x2c03975ea2b512
2026-03-17T00:41:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:41:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x2c03975ea2b512 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T00:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-180s | p=UP95% σ=0.47 | Up=0.93/367 Dn=0.08/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73582.89 +18.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:量不足 | Up=0.93/367 Dn=0.08/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73582.89 +18.8bp
2026-03-17T00:42:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.031 thr=0.067 margin=-0.036 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/74 Dn=0.09/131 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73587.53 +19.5bp
2026-03-17T00:42:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=18999
2026-03-17T00:42:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-174s | p=UP96% σ=0.47 | Up=0.92/15 Dn=0.09/267 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73590.75 +19.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-168s | p=UP97% σ=0.46 | Up=0.91/215 Dn=0.10/193 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73596.57 +20.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.046 thr=0.067 margin=-0.021 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/193 Dn=0.09/55 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73596.92 +20.7bp
2026-03-17T00:42:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:量不足 | Up=0.93/923 Dn=0.08/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73596.78 +20.7bp
2026-03-17T00:42:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-163s | p=UP98% σ=0.46 | Up=0.92/37 Dn=0.09/64 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73596.57 +20.7bp | nb=7.3bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-157s | p=UP98% σ=0.46 | Up=0.92/37 Dn=0.09/86 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73595.58 +20.6bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.050 thr=0.067 margin=-0.017 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.92/37 Dn=0.09/86 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73595.58 +20.6bp
2026-03-17T00:42:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:24 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.93/235 Dn=0.09/163 spd=0.02 | beat=73444.65 px=73595.58 +20.6bp
2026-03-17T00:42:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-151s | p=UP98% σ=0.46 | Up=0.91/150 Dn=0.10/64 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73594.88 +20.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-145s | p=UP98% σ=0.45 | Up=0.95/1101 Dn=0.07/324 spd=0.02 | beat=73444.65 px=73594.79 +20.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:42:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.95/1101 Dn=0.07/324 spd=0.02 | beat=73444.65 px=73594.79 +20.4bp
2026-03-17T00:42:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:42:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679200 T-140s | p=UP98% σ=0.46 | Up=0.96/960 Dn=0.05/425 spd=0.01 | beat=73444.65 px=73595.43 +20.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:43:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:43:05 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19083
2026-03-17T00:44:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:44:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19188
2026-03-17T00:45:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:45:06 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19286
2026-03-17T00:46:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:46:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19389
2026-03-17T00:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 T-180s | p=UP82% σ=0.36 | Up=0.82/34 Dn=0.23/70 spd=0.05 | beat=73663.79 px=73721.23 +7.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.82/34 Dn=0.23/70 spd=0.05 | beat=73663.79 px=73721.23 +7.8bp
2026-03-17T00:47:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.067 thr=0.067 margin=-0.000 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.82/94 Dn=0.21/12 spd=0.03 | beat=73663.79 px=73745.60 +11.1bp
2026-03-17T00:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 T-174s | p=UP90% σ=0.36 | Up=0.81/21 Dn=0.22/54 spd=0.03 | beat=73663.79 px=73745.45 +11.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:47:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.81/70 Dn=0.23/372 spd=0.04 | beat=73663.79 px=73745.60 +11.1bp
2026-03-17T00:47:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=51.38 usdc.e | traded=117 | 今日 2W-4L 已实现PnL=$-0.58 | BTC5 trade=0 0W-0L WR=0.0% PnL=$+0.00 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19486
2026-03-17T00:47:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:14 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T00:47:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:15 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x1fd8d3dd393d7bf5179f05b0d491a03990349e887a63d614577fed35c7b1329d is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T00:47:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:15 恢复 duplicated 订单: 0x1fd8d3dd393d7bf5179f05b0d491a03990349e887a63d614577fed35c7b1329d | status=MATCHED
2026-03-17T00:47:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:19 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | Up avg≈0.790 5.0shares limit=0.790 order=0x1fd8d3dd393d7bf5179f05b0d491a03990349e887a63d614577fed35c7b1329d
2026-03-17T00:47:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:35 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T00:47:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:36 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x81f62b02fd78b77fe370bc0773c101d877d2d01372ca41275ff6d51b0feb5c17 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T00:47:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:39 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | Up limit=0.540 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T00:47:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:46 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | Up avg≈0.530 5.080000shares limit=0.530 order=0x4d3555bdac14f8ca9c8544dda418a32ec27508fbb052b2e395838089971e7ca1 drawdown=30.4%
2026-03-17T00:47:55+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:55 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-17T00:47:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:47:58 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773679500 | Up limit=0.450 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T00:48:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:48:07 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19532
2026-03-17T00:49:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:49:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19636
2026-03-17T00:50:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:50:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19734
2026-03-17T00:51:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:51:08 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19838
2026-03-17T00:51:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:51:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xd4929c945227f1
2026-03-17T00:51:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:51:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xd4929c945227f1 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T00:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-180s | p=UP83% σ=0.50 | Up=0.76/166 Dn=0.25/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73819.42 +11.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.054 thr=0.067 margin=-0.013 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.76/166 Dn=0.25/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73819.42 +11.5bp
2026-03-17T00:52:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:01 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xd389f5068c9b89
2026-03-17T00:52:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:01 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xd389f5068c9b89 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T00:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-174s | p=UP83% σ=0.52 | Up=0.83/211 Dn=0.19/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73734.31 px=73820.51 +11.7bp | nb=8.7bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=19938
2026-03-17T00:52:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-169s | p=UP88% σ=0.52 | Up=0.85/7 Dn=0.17/160 spd=0.02 | beat=73734.31 px=73837.75 +14.0bp | nb=8.9bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.85/7 Dn=0.17/160 spd=0.02 | beat=73734.31 px=73837.75 +14.0bp
2026-03-17T00:52:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.036 thr=0.067 margin=-0.031 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/49 Dn=0.17/67 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73842.87 +14.7bp
2026-03-17T00:52:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-164s | p=UP92% σ=0.52 | Up=0.87/63 Dn=0.14/147 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73856.53 +16.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-158s | p=UP94% σ=0.52 | Up=0.91/326 Dn=0.10/75 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73865.65 +17.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.035 thr=0.067 margin=-0.032 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.90/70 Dn=0.12/11 spd=0.02 | beat=73734.31 px=73873.21 +18.8bp
2026-03-17T00:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.92/799 Dn=0.13/288 spd=0.05 | beat=73734.31 px=73876.27 +19.3bp
2026-03-17T00:52:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:27 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-152s | p=UP96% σ=0.53 | Up=0.92/655 Dn=0.13/144 spd=0.05 | beat=73734.31 px=73888.24 +20.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-147s | p=UP97% σ=0.54 | Up=0.95/1545 Dn=0.09/39 spd=0.04 | beat=73734.31 px=73892.51 +21.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:量不足 | Up=0.95/1542 Dn=0.09/10 spd=0.04 | beat=73734.31 px=73892.55 +21.5bp
2026-03-17T00:52:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-141s | p=UP98% σ=0.54 | Up=0.94/63 Dn=0.08/336 spd=0.02 | beat=73734.31 px=73900.76 +22.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773679800 T-135s | p=UP98% σ=0.54 | Up=0.96/1208 Dn=0.05/47 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73901.27 +22.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T00:52:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:52:45 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773679800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:ask超范围 Down:ask超范围 | Up=0.96/1208 Dn=0.05/47 spd=0.01 | beat=73734.31 px=73901.27 +22.6bp
2026-03-17T00:53:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:53:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20023
2026-03-17T00:54:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:54:09 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20126
2026-03-17T00:55:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:55:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20224
2026-03-17T00:56:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:56:10 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20328
2026-03-17T00:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T00:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-180s | p=DN53% σ=0.58 | Up=0.40/8 Dn=0.61/67 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73820.66 -0.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑2s ↓9s
2026-03-17T00:57:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.098 thr=0.070 margin=-0.168 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/8 Dn=0.61/67 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73820.66 -0.9bp
2026-03-17T00:57:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=near_beat diff=1.2bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.37/51 Dn=0.64/66 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73818.28 -1.2bp
2026-03-17T00:57:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-174s | p=DN64% σ=0.56 | Up=0.44/31 Dn=0.57/3 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73791.91 -4.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:57:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.069 thr=0.070 margin=-0.139 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.43/60 Dn=0.58/10 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73791.77 -4.8bp
2026-03-17T00:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20426
2026-03-17T00:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-168s | p=DN63% σ=0.56 | Up=0.51/72 Dn=0.57/42 spd=0.08 | beat=73827.15 px=73794.81 -4.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-17T00:57:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.51/72 Dn=0.57/42 spd=0.08 | beat=73827.15 px=73794.81 -4.4bp
2026-03-17T00:57:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=near_beat diff=4.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.53/36 Dn=0.48/119 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73797.43 -4.0bp
2026-03-17T00:57:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-163s | p=DN61% σ=0.56 | Up=0.51/17 Dn=0.51/95 spd=0.02 | beat=73827.15 px=73800.29 -3.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-17T00:57:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:20 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.007 thr=0.070 margin=-0.077 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.50/25 Dn=0.51/172 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73820.45 -0.9bp
2026-03-17T00:57:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-157s | p=DN53% σ=0.56 | Up=0.44/35 Dn=0.59/197 spd=0.03 | beat=73827.15 px=73820.97 -0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T00:57:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-151s | p=DN54% σ=0.55 | Up=0.43/494 Dn=0.59/171 spd=0.02 | beat=73827.15 px=73818.51 -1.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓12s
2026-03-17T00:57:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:30 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.42/109 Dn=0.64/65 spd=0.06 | beat=73827.15 px=73808.80 -2.5bp
2026-03-17T00:57:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-146s | p=DN61% σ=0.55 | Up=0.36/89 Dn=0.67/143 spd=0.03 | beat=73827.15 px=73803.30 -3.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓12s
2026-03-17T00:57:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:34 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.024 thr=0.070 margin=-0.046 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/89 Dn=0.67/143 spd=0.03 | beat=73827.15 px=73803.30 -3.2bp
2026-03-17T00:57:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680100 T-140s | p=DN68% σ=0.56 | Up=0.33/12 Dn=0.68/229 spd=0.01 | beat=73827.15 px=73785.31 -5.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T00:57:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:57:44 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.009 thr=0.068 margin=-0.059 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.27/28 Dn=0.75/231 spd=0.02 | beat=73827.15 px=73760.77 -9.0bp
2026-03-17T00:58:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:58:09 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T00:58:09+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:58:09 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T00:58:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:58:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20512
2026-03-17T00:59:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 00:59:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20613
2026-03-17T01:00:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:00:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20710
2026-03-17T01:01:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:01:11 💓 heartbeat | 余额=49.31 usdc.e | traded=118 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20811
2026-03-17T01:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:02:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 T-180s | p=UP92% σ=0.59 | Up=0.78/83 Dn=0.23/14 spd=0.01 | beat=73762.99 px=73906.73 +19.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:02:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:03 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T01:02:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:03 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | Up limit=0.750 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T01:02:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T01:02:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:05 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.74/5 Dn=0.27/859 spd=0.01 | beat=73762.99 px=73892.42 +17.5bp
2026-03-17T01:02:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 T-174s | p=UP88% σ=0.59 | Up=0.75/106 Dn=0.26/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73762.99 px=73885.52 +16.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:02:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:12 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | Up avg≈0.740 3.96299shares limit=0.740 order=0x3fbabc5e7f74f4c42ee6c976f84f6d732133f27f9b0060df72de43f39b590434
2026-03-17T01:02:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:02:12 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.35 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 无持仓 | 扫描=20897
2026-03-17T01:03:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.35 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 2W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.65 | BTC5 trade=1 0W-1L WR=0.0% PnL=$-1.26 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773680400 Up | 扫描=20985
2026-03-17T01:03:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:19 FAK market order 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T01:03:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:19 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | Up limit=0.780 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T01:03:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:24 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | Up avg≈0.770 3.960000shares limit=0.770 order=0x1dfb35268e9b93095e5c7b3af523e42c17d602d04e0945a20c13e00a0d70afa0 drawdown=0.0%
2026-03-17T01:03:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:31 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-17T01:03:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:03:34 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773680400 | Up limit=0.890 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T01:04:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:13 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.97 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.50 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21067
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:56 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T01:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 90 个 token
2026-03-17T01:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 90 个 token
2026-03-17T01:04:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:57 📖 OrderBookWS 断开
2026-03-17T01:04:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:04:58 📖 OrderBookWS 已连接 | 订阅 90 个 token
2026-03-17T01:05:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:05:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.88 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.50 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21167
2026-03-17T01:06:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:06:14 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.88 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.50 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21268
2026-03-17T01:06:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:06:51 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x49ec192ba28f9e
2026-03-17T01:06:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:06:51 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x49ec192ba28f9e 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-180s | p=UP63% σ=0.55 | Up=0.52/29 Dn=0.49/539 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73805.79 +4.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:07:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=near_beat diff=4.4bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.52/29 Dn=0.49/539 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73805.79 +4.4bp
2026-03-17T01:07:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.064 thr=0.070 margin=-0.006 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.53/564 Dn=0.48/380 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73804.44 +4.2bp
2026-03-17T01:07:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-174s | p=UP61% σ=0.55 | Up=0.56/191 Dn=0.45/144 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73799.67 +3.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-169s | p=UP61% σ=0.56 | Up=0.55/97 Dn=0.47/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73773.26 px=73799.22 +3.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:07:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.023 thr=0.070 margin=-0.047 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.55/97 Dn=0.47/80 spd=0.02 | beat=73773.26 px=73798.51 +3.4bp
2026-03-17T01:07:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.54/75 Dn=0.50/152 spd=0.04 | beat=73773.26 px=73797.80 +3.3bp
2026-03-17T01:07:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.88 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-6L 已实现PnL=$-2.50 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21362
2026-03-17T01:07:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-164s | p=UP58% σ=0.56 | Up=0.48/104 Dn=0.55/131 spd=0.03 | beat=73773.26 px=73793.35 +2.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:07:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=near_beat diff=2.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.48/104 Dn=0.55/131 spd=0.03 | beat=73773.26 px=73793.35 +2.7bp
2026-03-17T01:07:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:21 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-159s | p=UP53% σ=0.54 | Up=0.49/414 Dn=0.56/255 spd=0.05 | beat=73773.26 px=73779.40 +0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:07:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.054 thr=0.070 margin=-0.124 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.48/8 Dn=0.53/153 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73778.95 +0.8bp
2026-03-17T01:07:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:26 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-154s | p=UP52% σ=0.54 | Up=0.43/8 Dn=0.59/456 spd=0.02 | beat=73773.26 px=73777.08 +0.5bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑9s ↓2s
2026-03-17T01:07:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.46/247 Dn=0.59/395 spd=0.05 | beat=73773.26 px=73776.94 +0.5bp
2026-03-17T01:07:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=near_beat diff=0.5bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.40/26 Dn=0.63/331 spd=0.03 | beat=73773.26 px=73776.79 +0.5bp
2026-03-17T01:07:31+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:31 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-149s | p=DN52% σ=0.54 | Up=0.39/160 Dn=0.62/18 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73768.84 -0.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑4s ↓7s
2026-03-17T01:07:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.052 thr=0.070 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.39/153 Dn=0.63/98 spd=0.02 | beat=73773.26 px=73763.39 -1.3bp
2026-03-17T01:07:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:36 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-144s | p=DN60% σ=0.54 | Up=0.39/92 Dn=0.62/280 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73751.12 -3.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:07:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773680700 T-139s | p=DN61% σ=0.54 | Up=0.36/271 Dn=0.65/538 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73748.91 -3.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:07:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:07:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773680700 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.019 thr=0.070 margin=-0.051 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.36/20 Dn=0.65/320 spd=0.01 | beat=73773.26 px=73748.91 -3.3bp
2026-03-17T01:08:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:08:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.85 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.54 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21448
2026-03-17T01:09:15+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:09:15 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.85 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.54 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21551
2026-03-17T01:10:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:10:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.85 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.54 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21652
2026-03-17T01:11:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:11:16 💓 heartbeat | 余额=48.85 usdc.e | traded=119 | 今日 3W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.54 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21757
2026-03-17T01:11:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:11:52 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x554b23f868c47f
2026-03-17T01:11:52+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:11:52 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x554b23f868c47f 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681000 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:12:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:12:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681000 T-180s | p=UP93% σ=0.37 | Up=0.84/73 Dn=0.17/362 spd=0.01 | beat=73735.14 px=73832.35 +13.2bp | nb=7.5bp flip=0.02 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:12:08+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:12:08 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773681000 | Up avg≈0.830 5.0shares limit=0.830 order=0xc6f6041d17bde6a601cd7c6a26523b07c76669fe96c986d4f91278657f96b851
2026-03-17T01:12:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:12:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=43.12 usdc.e | traded=120 | 今日 3W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.54 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 无持仓 | 扫描=21847
2026-03-17T01:13:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:13:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.83 usdc.e | traded=120 | 今日 4W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.40 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681000 Up | 扫描=21920
2026-03-17T01:14:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:14:17 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.83 usdc.e | traded=120 | 今日 4W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.40 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681000 Up | 扫描=21990
2026-03-17T01:15:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:15:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.83 usdc.e | traded=120 | 今日 4W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.40 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681000 Up | 扫描=22067
2026-03-17T01:16:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:18 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.83 usdc.e | traded=120 | 今日 4W-7L 已实现PnL=$-2.40 | BTC5 trade=2 1W-1L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.17 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681000 Up | 扫描=22171
2026-03-17T01:16:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:53 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x68d0016c692ceb
2026-03-17T01:16:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:53 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x68d0016c692ceb 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:16:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:57 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x32173551e3c323
2026-03-17T01:16:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:57 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x32173551e3c323 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:16:58+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:16:58    📡 CTF redeem (gasless) tx 已发送: 0x67bac5d49d4628fc22c6b1e9552d4d343885bcbc85e4616e15192c9ddcd65537
2026-03-17T01:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:06 redeem 确认成功 | slug=btc-updown-5m-1773681000 outcome=Up tx=0x67bac5d49d4628fc22c6b1e9552d4d343885bcbc85e4616e15192c9ddcd65537
2026-03-17T01:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | 进入决策窗口 T-173s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 T-173s | p=DN79% σ=0.34 | Up=0.28/19 Dn=0.73/452 spd=0.01 | beat=73839.06 px=73792.40 -6.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:17:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.033 thr=0.070 margin=-0.037 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.28/19 Dn=0.73/452 spd=0.01 | beat=73839.06 px=73792.40 -6.3bp
2026-03-17T01:17:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.31/11 Dn=0.72/0 spd=0.03 | beat=73839.06 px=73789.29 -6.7bp
2026-03-17T01:17:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:12 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 T-168s | p=DN81% σ=0.34 | Up=0.35/50 Dn=0.68/13 spd=0.03 | beat=73839.06 px=73788.38 -6.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:17:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:23 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T01:17:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:24 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0xcd79db488ba9c97b1947108e103b3b6e4a60107eb9c67a5a0c6ed6100679a9e2 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T01:17:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:24 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0xcd79db488ba9c97b1947108e103b3b6e4a60107eb9c67a5a0c6ed6100679a9e2，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-17T01:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:32 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down avg≈0.690 4.0shares limit=0.690 order=0xcd79db488ba9c97b1947108e103b3b6e4a60107eb9c67a5a0c6ed6100679a9e2
2026-03-17T01:17:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:17:32 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.42 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-7L 已实现PnL=$-1.20 | BTC5 trade=3 2W-1L WR=66.7% PnL=$+0.03 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22244
2026-03-17T01:18:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:18:19 FAK market order 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T01:18:19+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:18:19 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down limit=0.770 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T01:18:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:18:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.42 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-7L 已实现PnL=$-1.20 | BTC5 trade=3 2W-1L WR=66.7% PnL=$+0.03 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681300 Down | 扫描=22315
2026-03-17T01:18:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:18:57 FAK market order 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T01:18:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:18:57 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down limit=0.320 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T01:19:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:07 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down avg≈0.270 4.010000shares limit=0.270 order=0xbca4d67a0419f397842207cc5dc3c799fe5ca2f1b43f097e849c3517079b396a drawdown=60.3%
2026-03-17T01:19:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:13 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-17T01:19:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:16 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down limit=0.290 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T01:19:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:18 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'not enough balance / allowance'}]
2026-03-17T01:19:20+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:20 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681300 | Down limit=0.340 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T01:19:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:19:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.91 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-9L 已实现PnL=$-3.11 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22381
2026-03-17T01:20:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:20:33 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.91 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-9L 已实现PnL=$-3.11 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22479
2026-03-17T01:21:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:21:34 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.91 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-9L 已实现PnL=$-3.11 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22582
2026-03-17T01:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-180s | p=DN75% σ=0.38 | Up=0.28/57 Dn=0.73/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73803.84 -6.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:22:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.000 thr=0.070 margin=-0.070 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.28/57 Dn=0.73/37 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73803.84 -6.2bp
2026-03-17T01:22:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:量不足 | Up=0.27/97 Dn=0.74/16 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73803.59 -6.3bp
2026-03-17T01:22:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-175s | p=DN79% σ=0.38 | Up=0.21/59 Dn=0.80/61 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73795.96 -7.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.008 thr=0.069 margin=-0.078 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.21/76 Dn=0.80/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73793.20 -7.7bp
2026-03-17T01:22:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-169s | p=DN82% σ=0.38 | Up=0.21/104 Dn=0.80/135 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73791.08 -8.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.02 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:13 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_below_floor Down:量不足 | Up=0.19/221 Dn=0.83/14 spd=0.02 | beat=73849.99 px=73783.70 -9.0bp
2026-03-17T01:22:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-163s | p=DN86% σ=0.38 | Up=0.15/91 Dn=0.87/222 spd=0.02 | beat=73849.99 px=73781.72 -9.2bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.024 thr=0.067 margin=-0.043 Up:量不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.17/14 Dn=0.84/84 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73775.74 -10.1bp
2026-03-17T01:22:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-157s | p=DN91% σ=0.38 | Up=0.17/83 Dn=0.84/127 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73763.87 -11.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.19/177 Dn=0.85/412 spd=0.04 | beat=73849.99 px=73762.76 -11.8bp
2026-03-17T01:22:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-152s | p=DN92% σ=0.38 | Up=0.19/113 Dn=0.84/82 spd=0.03 | beat=73849.99 px=73762.76 -11.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:32 FAK 无可匹配对手盘: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'no orders found to match with FAK order. FAK orders are partially filled or killed if no match is found.'}]
2026-03-17T01:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:32 ❌ v11买入未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | Down limit=0.830 reason=order_unfilled order=-
2026-03-17T01:22:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | 执行层放弃 reason=order_unfilled
2026-03-17T01:22:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 T-146s | p=DN92% σ=0.37 | Up=0.18/80 Dn=0.83/49 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73764.64 -11.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:22:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.18/212 Dn=0.83/12 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73764.89 -11.5bp
2026-03-17T01:22:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:35 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.91 usdc.e | traded=121 | 今日 5W-9L 已实现PnL=$-3.11 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22663
2026-03-17T01:22:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:contrarian_probability_too_low Down:量不足 | Up=0.18/130 Dn=0.83/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73849.99 px=73765.05 -11.5bp
2026-03-17T01:22:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:44 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T01:22:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:45 订单重复(可能已成功): PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x8a14de61a9dd2e163c6c549df7c7ab4e485af7d6cfb6425ecd30d4345c178e2d is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T01:22:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:45 duplicated 错误已返回 order_id=0x8a14de61a9dd2e163c6c549df7c7ab4e485af7d6cfb6425ecd30d4345c178e2d，后续交给订单/成交对账继续确认
2026-03-17T01:22:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:22:49 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | Down avg≈0.780 6.0shares limit=0.780 order=0x8a14de61a9dd2e163c6c549df7c7ab4e485af7d6cfb6425ecd30d4345c178e2d
2026-03-17T01:23:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:23:37 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T01:23:38+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:23:38 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x9e922b4e226fc85500687645cecb11fab7dfb56295e58ff827fb5538ce8c51ec is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T01:23:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:23:41 ❌ v11止损卖出未成交 btc-updown-5m-1773681600 | Down limit=0.770 reason=create_order_failed order=-
2026-03-17T01:23:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:23:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=43.19 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-10L 已实现PnL=$-3.15 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773681600 Down | 扫描=22719
2026-03-17T01:24:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:24:42 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.86 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-11L 已实现PnL=$-3.16 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22814
2026-03-17T01:25:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:25:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.86 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-11L 已实现PnL=$-3.16 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=22911
2026-03-17T01:26:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:26:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.86 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-11L 已实现PnL=$-3.16 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23014
2026-03-17T01:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-180s | p=DN56% σ=0.31 | Up=0.54/48 Dn=0.53/185 spd=0.07 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.28 -1.2bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.04 | ↑5s ↓5s
2026-03-17T01:27:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.54/48 Dn=0.53/185 spd=0.07 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.28 -1.2bp
2026-03-17T01:27:01+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:01 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.018 thr=0.070 margin=-0.088 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.47/239 Dn=0.56/327 spd=0.03 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.36 -1.2bp
2026-03-17T01:27:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-175s | p=DN50% σ=0.31 | Up=0.44/14 Dn=0.58/49 spd=0.02 | beat=73789.13 px=73788.97 -0.0bp | nb=7.2bp flip=0.04 | ↑7s ↓4s
2026-03-17T01:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-169s | p=DN56% σ=0.31 | Up=0.43/49 Dn=0.58/137 spd=0.01 | beat=73789.13 px=73781.74 -1.0bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑2s ↓9s
2026-03-17T01:27:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.001 thr=0.070 margin=-0.071 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.43/49 Dn=0.58/137 spd=0.01 | beat=73789.13 px=73781.74 -1.0bp
2026-03-17T01:27:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-163s | p=DN56% σ=0.30 | Up=0.42/25 Dn=0.59/13 spd=0.01 | beat=73789.13 px=73781.14 -1.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:27:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.001 thr=0.070 margin=-0.071 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.42/22 Dn=0.60/1660 spd=0.02 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.95 -1.1bp
2026-03-17T01:27:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-158s | p=DN57% σ=0.30 | Up=0.42/258 Dn=0.59/101 spd=0.01 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.71 -1.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:27:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.46/5 Dn=0.56/15 spd=0.02 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.71 -1.1bp
2026-03-17T01:27:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-152s | p=DN56% σ=0.30 | Up=0.41/85 Dn=0.63/101 spd=0.04 | beat=73789.13 px=73781.28 -1.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:27:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.010 thr=0.070 margin=-0.060 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.40/303 Dn=0.61/22 spd=0.01 | beat=73789.13 px=73780.16 -1.2bp
2026-03-17T01:27:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:33 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-146s | p=DN58% σ=0.30 | Up=0.40/318 Dn=0.63/372 spd=0.03 | beat=73789.13 px=73778.88 -1.4bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:27:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:35 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.40/308 Dn=0.64/290 spd=0.04 | beat=73789.13 px=73777.12 -1.6bp
2026-03-17T01:27:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-141s | p=DN65% σ=0.27 | Up=0.33/50 Dn=0.69/105 spd=0.02 | beat=73789.13 px=73773.12 -2.2bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:27:42+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:42 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773681900 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.033 thr=0.070 margin=-0.103 Up:contrarian_dirty_regime Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.34/30 Dn=0.68/261 spd=0.02 | beat=73789.13 px=73771.93 -2.3bp
2026-03-17T01:27:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=47.86 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-11L 已实现PnL=$-3.16 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23095
2026-03-17T01:27:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:27:44 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773681900 T-135s | p=DN66% σ=0.27 | Up=0.34/18 Dn=0.69/88 spd=0.03 | beat=73789.13 px=73771.91 -2.3bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑0s ↓10s
2026-03-17T01:28:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:28:43 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.22 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-11L 已实现PnL=$-3.16 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 其他runtime持仓=1 | 扫描=23197
2026-03-17T01:29:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:29:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.21 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23300
2026-03-17T01:30:44+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:30:44 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.21 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23397
2026-03-17T01:31:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:31:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.21 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23501
2026-03-17T01:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | 进入决策窗口 T-179s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-179s | p=UP95% σ=0.52 | Up=0.82/9 Dn=0.19/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73840.85 +20.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.82/9 Dn=0.19/27 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73840.85 +20.4bp
2026-03-17T01:32:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.88/22 Dn=0.26/136 spd=0.14 | beat=73690.84 px=73819.75 +17.5bp
2026-03-17T01:32:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=recheck无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.049 thr=0.067 margin=-0.018 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/58 Dn=0.17/156 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73809.66 +16.1bp
2026-03-17T01:32:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:07 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-173s | p=UP90% σ=0.52 | Up=0.84/43 Dn=0.17/92 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73808.15 +15.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:07 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.047 thr=0.067 margin=-0.020 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.84/43 Dn=0.17/92 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73808.15 +15.9bp
2026-03-17T01:32:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.76/2 Dn=0.27/131 spd=0.03 | beat=73690.84 px=73787.27 +13.1bp
2026-03-17T01:32:13+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:13 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-167s | p=UP84% σ=0.52 | Up=0.76/26 Dn=0.27/39 spd=0.03 | beat=73690.84 px=73777.85 +11.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:17 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.064 thr=0.067 margin=-0.003 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.74/75 Dn=0.28/201 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73774.87 +11.4bp
2026-03-17T01:32:18+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:18 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-161s | p=UP83% σ=0.53 | Up=0.75/335 Dn=0.26/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73774.87 +11.4bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:24+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:24 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-156s | p=UP86% σ=0.53 | Up=0.79/68 Dn=0.22/54 spd=0.01 | beat=73690.84 px=73783.36 +12.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:26+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:26 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_below_floor | Up=0.76/7 Dn=0.26/143 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73784.03 +12.6bp
2026-03-17T01:32:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.032 thr=0.067 margin=-0.035 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.81/330 Dn=0.21/71 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73784.03 +12.6bp
2026-03-17T01:32:30+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:30 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-150s | p=UP86% σ=0.53 | Up=0.81/145 Dn=0.21/18 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73784.03 +12.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑12s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-144s | p=UP85% σ=0.54 | Up=0.75/70 Dn=0.27/99 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73778.33 +11.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=recheck无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/138 Dn=0.27/89 spd=0.07 | beat=73690.84 px=73775.33 +11.5bp
2026-03-17T01:32:37+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:37 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.80/132 Dn=0.27/35 spd=0.07 | beat=73690.84 px=73771.92 +11.0bp
2026-03-17T01:32:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682200 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.040 thr=0.067 margin=-0.027 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.76/20 Dn=0.26/102 spd=0.02 | beat=73690.84 px=73768.41 +10.5bp
2026-03-17T01:32:41+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:41 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682200 T-139s | p=UP78% σ=0.53 | Up=0.73/77 Dn=0.30/164 spd=0.03 | beat=73690.84 px=73754.32 +8.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:32:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:32:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.21 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23577
2026-03-17T01:33:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:33:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=44.99 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23681
2026-03-17T01:34:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:34:45 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.36 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23785
2026-03-17T01:35:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:35:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.36 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23883
2026-03-17T01:36:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:36:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.36 usdc.e | traded=122 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 无持仓 | 扫描=23987
2026-03-17T01:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682500 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:37:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682500 T-180s | p=UP98% σ=0.46 | Up=0.88/620 Dn=0.13/11 spd=0.01 | beat=73669.48 px=73839.73 +23.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.03 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:37:07+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:07 ✅ v11买入 btc-updown-5m-1773682500 | Up avg≈0.870 4.98402shares limit=0.870 order=0x462bb120648e7741dfa5afc86b93eabc98e8b6743c60687723790fe2e9135545
2026-03-17T01:37:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=40.45 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 5W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.82 | BTC5 trade=4 2W-2L WR=50.0% PnL=$-1.65 | 持仓: btc-updown-5m-1773682500 Up | 扫描=24059
2026-03-17T01:37:54+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:54 API error (attempt 1/3): PolyApiException[status_code=None, error_message=Request exception!]
2026-03-17T01:37:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:56 market order 失败: PolyApiException[status_code=400, error_message={'error': 'order 0x847b1644109df39e0072d447b2d59a2049fa4304995f4b73a09d470203c73874 is invalid. Duplicated.'}]
2026-03-17T01:37:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:56 create_order 未返回 order_id，但已通过 trades 对账恢复 | token=69446918477130379363849994707724791882567573900173878101330363674426737335971 side=sell trades=1 gross=4.980000 observed=4.980000
2026-03-17T01:37:57+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:37:57 🛑 v11止损卖出 btc-updown-5m-1773682500 | Up avg≈0.940 4.980000shares limit=0.890 order=- drawdown=0.0%
2026-03-17T01:38:46+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:38:46 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.70 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.47 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24148
2026-03-17T01:39:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:39:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.70 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.47 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24253
2026-03-17T01:40:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:40:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.70 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.47 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24353
2026-03-17T01:41:47+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:41:47 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.70 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.47 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24457
2026-03-17T01:41:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:41:53 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x062ffe20c929ba
2026-03-17T01:41:53+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:41:53 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x062ffe20c929ba 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:41:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:41:56 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0xba5ca623f1c3db
2026-03-17T01:41:56+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:41:56 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0xba5ca623f1c3db 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-180s | p=UP57% σ=0.49 | Up=0.58/109 Dn=0.44/26 spd=0.02 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.79 +1.9bp | nb=8.7bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=-0.013 thr=0.070 margin=-0.083 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.58/109 Dn=0.44/26 spd=0.02 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.79 +1.9bp
2026-03-17T01:42:03+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:03 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.57/8 Dn=0.45/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.73 +1.9bp
2026-03-17T01:42:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:06 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-174s | p=UP56% σ=0.49 | Up=0.64/60 Dn=0.40/38 spd=0.04 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.10 +1.8bp | nb=8.3bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.118 thr=0.070 margin=-0.188 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.67/143 Dn=0.35/5 spd=0.02 | beat=73946.66 px=73959.49 +1.7bp
2026-03-17T01:42:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-168s | p=UP56% σ=0.49 | Up=0.66/333 Dn=0.39/110 spd=0.05 | beat=73946.66 px=73959.49 +1.7bp | nb=8.4bp flip=0.05 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=near_beat diff=1.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.66/294 Dn=0.35/52 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73959.37 +1.7bp
2026-03-17T01:42:17+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:17 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-163s | p=UP57% σ=0.48 | Up=0.66/33 Dn=0.35/78 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73959.90 +1.8bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.05 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:21+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:21 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.027 thr=0.070 margin=-0.043 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.62/24 Dn=0.39/175 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.45 +1.9bp
2026-03-17T01:42:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:23 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-157s | p=UP57% σ=0.48 | Up=0.62/73 Dn=0.39/79 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.29 +1.8bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.05 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.66/17 Dn=0.37/8 spd=0.03 | beat=73946.66 px=73960.10 +1.8bp
2026-03-17T01:42:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:28 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=near_beat diff=2.0bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.68/254 Dn=0.33/85 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73961.44 +2.0bp
2026-03-17T01:42:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:29 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-151s | p=UP58% σ=0.48 | Up=0.67/219 Dn=0.34/34 spd=0.01 | beat=73946.66 px=73961.44 +2.0bp | nb=8.1bp flip=0.04 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:32+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:32 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Down net=+0.004 thr=0.070 margin=-0.066 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.62/60 Dn=0.40/136 spd=0.02 | beat=73946.66 px=73962.17 +2.1bp
2026-03-17T01:42:35+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:35 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-145s | p=UP57% σ=0.48 | Up=0.59/3 Dn=0.46/75 spd=0.05 | beat=73946.66 px=73959.32 +1.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.06 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773682800 T-139s | p=UP52% σ=0.43 | Up=0.59/14 Dn=0.45/2 spd=0.04 | beat=73946.66 px=73950.06 +0.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.07 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:42:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:40 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.59/14 Dn=0.45/2 spd=0.04 | beat=73946.66 px=73950.06 +0.5bp
2026-03-17T01:42:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773682800 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.027 thr=0.070 margin=-0.097 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.52/80 Dn=0.51/5 spd=0.03 | beat=73946.66 px=73947.89 +0.2bp
2026-03-17T01:42:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:42:48 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-12L 已实现PnL=$-4.47 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24537
2026-03-17T01:43:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:43:48 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24639
2026-03-17T01:44:48+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:44:48 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24741
2026-03-17T01:45:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:45:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24838
2026-03-17T01:46:49+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:46:49 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=24941
2026-03-17T01:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-180s | p=DN56% σ=0.38 | Up=0.38/181 Dn=0.64/52 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73889.23 -1.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓8s
2026-03-17T01:47:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=+0.049 thr=0.070 margin=-0.021 Up:执行edge不足 Down:执行edge不足 | Up=0.38/181 Dn=0.64/52 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73889.23 -1.3bp
2026-03-17T01:47:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-175s | p=DN63% σ=0.37 | Up=0.37/9 Dn=0.65/150 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73877.39 -2.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-17T01:47:06+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:06 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.34/10 Dn=0.68/14 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73876.34 -3.1bp
2026-03-17T01:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:11 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-169s | p=DN64% σ=0.38 | Up=0.52/21 Dn=0.49/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73898.97 px=73876.34 -3.1bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑0s ↓11s
2026-03-17T01:47:11+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:11 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.150 thr=0.070 margin=-0.220 Up:执行edge不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.52/21 Dn=0.49/15 spd=0.01 | beat=73898.97 px=73876.34 -3.1bp
2026-03-17T01:47:12+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:12 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=near_beat diff=3.1bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.53/5 Dn=0.49/130 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73876.34 -3.1bp
2026-03-17T01:47:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-163s | p=DN53% σ=0.44 | Up=0.66/8 Dn=0.38/5 spd=0.04 | beat=73898.97 px=73894.07 -0.7bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑6s ↓5s
2026-03-17T01:47:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:16 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.66/8 Dn=0.38/5 spd=0.04 | beat=73898.97 px=73894.07 -0.7bp
2026-03-17T01:47:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-158s | p=UP53% σ=0.44 | Up=0.81/24 Dn=0.22/75 spd=0.03 | beat=73898.97 px=73905.04 +0.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑11s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:47:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:22 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=near_beat diff=0.8bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.81/24 Dn=0.22/75 spd=0.03 | beat=73898.97 px=73905.04 +0.8bp
2026-03-17T01:47:25+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:25 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.026 thr=0.068 margin=-0.095 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_dirty_regime | Up=0.82/29 Dn=0.21/58 spd=0.03 | beat=73898.97 px=73962.37 +8.6bp
2026-03-17T01:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-152s | p=UP84% σ=0.44 | Up=0.81/159 Dn=0.21/105 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73969.65 +9.6bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:28 市场 resolved 事件 | condition=0x87e881f5bd11fa
2026-03-17T01:47:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:28 WS resolved 触发 | condition=0x87e881f5bd11fa 将在下次循环立即尝试 redeem
2026-03-17T01:47:29+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:29 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.84/656 Dn=0.22/6 spd=0.06 | beat=73898.97 px=73969.65 +9.6bp
2026-03-17T01:47:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-146s | p=UP85% σ=0.44 | Up=0.89/67 Dn=0.12/17 spd=0.01 | beat=73898.97 px=73971.78 +9.9bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:47:36+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:36 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 执行edge不足 best=Up net=-0.045 thr=0.067 margin=-0.112 Up:执行edge不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.89/172 Dn=0.13/56 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73972.56 +10.0bp
2026-03-17T01:47:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:39 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-141s | p=UP88% σ=0.44 | Up=0.88/3 Dn=0.13/112 spd=0.01 | beat=73898.97 px=73980.54 +11.0bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.05 | ↑9s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:47:39+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:39 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683100 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:contrarian_probability_too_low | Up=0.88/3 Dn=0.13/112 spd=0.01 | beat=73898.97 px=73980.54 +11.0bp
2026-03-17T01:47:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:45 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683100 T-135s | p=UP91% σ=0.44 | Up=0.93/526 Dn=0.09/35 spd=0.02 | beat=73898.97 px=73989.97 +12.3bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.04 | ↑10s ↓0s
2026-03-17T01:47:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:47:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25021
2026-03-17T01:48:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:48:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25124
2026-03-17T01:49:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:49:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25227
2026-03-17T01:50:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:50:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25324
2026-03-17T01:51:50+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:51:50 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25428
2026-03-17T01:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | 进入决策窗口 T-180s [135s~180s]
2026-03-17T01:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:00 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-180s | p=DN74% σ=0.52 | Up=0.50/157 Dn=0.52/167 spd=0.02 | beat=73948.22 px=73890.21 -7.8bp | nb=9.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓6s
2026-03-17T01:52:00+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:00 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=confirmation_fail ↑6s ↓0s need=8s | Up=0.50/157 Dn=0.52/167 spd=0.02 | beat=73948.22 px=73890.21 -7.8bp
2026-03-17T01:52:04+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:04 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:量不足 | Up=0.58/646 Dn=0.53/2 spd=0.11 | beat=73948.22 px=73890.21 -7.8bp
2026-03-17T01:52:05+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:05 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-174s | p=DN74% σ=0.51 | Up=0.50/43 Dn=0.51/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73891.33 -7.7bp | nb=8.7bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓6s
2026-03-17T01:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:10 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-169s | p=DN68% σ=0.51 | Up=0.48/0 Dn=0.55/20 spd=0.03 | beat=73948.22 px=73906.22 -5.7bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓5s
2026-03-17T01:52:10+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:10 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=near_beat diff=5.7bp<thr=7.0bp (base=7.0) | Up=0.48/0 Dn=0.55/20 spd=0.03 | beat=73948.22 px=73906.22 -5.7bp
2026-03-17T01:52:14+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:14 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.53/4 Dn=0.53/6 spd=0.06 | beat=73948.22 px=73910.27 -5.1bp
2026-03-17T01:52:16+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:16 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-164s | p=DN69% σ=0.46 | Up=0.48/31 Dn=0.53/5 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73910.24 -5.1bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.01 | ↑0s ↓6s
2026-03-17T01:52:22+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:22 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-158s | p=DN72% σ=0.46 | Up=0.43/20 Dn=0.60/4 spd=0.03 | beat=73948.22 px=73904.49 -5.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓6s
2026-03-17T01:52:23+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:23 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=near_beat diff=5.9bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.43/2 Dn=0.58/25 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73904.49 -5.9bp
2026-03-17T01:52:27+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:27 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:量不足 Down:量不足 | Up=0.46/5 Dn=0.55/9 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73898.19 -6.8bp
2026-03-17T01:52:28+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:28 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-152s | p=DN77% σ=0.46 | Up=0.47/30 Dn=0.57/17 spd=0.04 | beat=73948.22 px=73892.92 -7.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓4s
2026-03-17T01:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:33 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=near_beat diff=7.5bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.47/3 Dn=0.54/44 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73892.59 -7.5bp
2026-03-17T01:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:33 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 断开
2026-03-17T01:52:33+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:33 MarketResolutionFeed WebSocket 已连接
2026-03-17T01:52:34+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:34 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-146s | p=DN78% σ=0.46 | Up=0.51/64 Dn=0.50/1321 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73892.60 -7.5bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓5s
2026-03-17T01:52:40+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:40 🪟 btc-updown-5m-1773683400 T-140s | p=DN77% σ=0.46 | Up=0.53/615 Dn=0.50/123 spd=0.03 | beat=73948.22 px=73896.89 -6.9bp | nb=7.0bp flip=0.00 | ↑0s ↓9s
2026-03-17T01:52:43+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:43 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=无信号 无候选 Up:价差大 Down:价差大 | Up=0.47/646 Dn=0.59/31 spd=0.06 | beat=73948.22 px=73897.09 -6.9bp
2026-03-17T01:52:45+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:45 ⏭ btc-updown-5m-1773683400 | rej=near_beat diff=7.0bp<thr=8.0bp (base=7.0 +A1=1.0) | Up=0.37/7 Dn=0.64/750 spd=0.01 | beat=73948.22 px=73896.27 -7.0bp
2026-03-17T01:52:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:52:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25507
2026-03-17T01:53:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:53:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.67 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 7W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.51 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25611
2026-03-17T01:54:51+08:00 ip-172-26-5-159 python[170452]: 2026-03-17 01:54:51 💓 heartbeat | 余额=46.95 usdc.e | traded=123 | 今日 8W-13L 已实现PnL=$-4.43 | BTC5 trade=5 3W-2L WR=60.0% PnL=$-1.32 | 无持仓 | 扫描=25715